International Finance Lecture 4 Page 1 International Finance

International Finance Lecture 4 Page 1

International Finance • Course topics – Foundations of International Financial Management – World Financial Markets and Institutions – Foreign Exchange Exposure – Financial Management for a Multinational Firm 2

World Financial Markets and Institutions • International Banking and Money Market • International Bond Market • International Equity Markets • Futures and Options on Foreign Exchange • Currency and Interest Rate Swaps • International Portfolio Investment 3

International Banking and Money Market • _______ Banking • International Money Market • International Debt Crises 4

International Banking • What are the main business activities of banks and near banks? How do they make a profit? – • International banks – Take deposits, issue loans denominated in different ____, facilitate ______trade, and trade currencies • Rapid growth in international banking 1. Rapid growth of international ______ 2. Banks abroad can pursue activities not ______in home country 3. Tap into Eurodollar market 5

Canadian banking industry • The banking industry includes 19 ______banks, 23 ______bank subsidiaries and 21 foreign bank ______operating in Canada. • In total, these institutions manage almost $1. 8 trillion in assets. • More details at Canadian Bankers Association webpage, including how Schedule I, II, and III banks differ from each other. 6

The big six • Bank of Montreal – http: //www. bmo. com/ The Bank of Nova Scotia – http: //www. scotiabank. ca/ CIBC – http: //www. cibc. com/ National Bank of Canada – http: //www. nbc. ca Royal Bank of Canada – http: //www. royalbank. com Toronto-Dominion Bank – http: //www. td. com • • • 7

International focus of the Big Six 8

Schedule II Banks in Canada 9

Ten Largest U. S. Banks 10

Types of International Banking Offices • Correspondent bank • Representative office • Foreign branch • Subsidiary and affiliate bank • Edge Act Banks (in the USA) • Offshore banking center 11

International Banking Offices • Correspondent bank – i. e. two banks maintain a correspondent bank account with each other. Service: mostly currency conversions, additionally, ____________________ on the correspondent bank. • Representative office – If one or more important clients for a domestic bank are located overseas, the bank may send an ______with a cell phone and a computer to work in that foreign country and offer service to the bank’s clients. Extra service: ________________________. 12

Foreign Branches • A foreign branch bank operates like a local bank, but is legally part of the parent. – Subject to both the banking regulations of ______country and ______country. – Can provide a much fuller range of services than a representative office. – Foreign branches are not subject to Canadian ______requirements or deposit insurance • Branch Banks are the most popular way for Canadian banks to expand overseas. (USA, Europe, shell branches in offshore centers). 13

International Banking Offices • Subsidiary and Affiliate Banks – A ______bank is a locally incorporated bank wholly or partly owned by a foreign parent. – An ______bank is one that is partly owned but not controlled by the parent. – Canadian parent banks like foreign subsidiaries because they allow Canadian banks to underwrite securities. • Edge Act Banks – In the U. S. , Edge Act banks are federally chartered subsidiaries of U. S. banks that are physically located in the U. S. that are ______to engage in a full range of international banking activities. 14

Offshore Banking Centers • An offshore banking center is a country whose banking system is organized to permit external accounts beyond the ______scope of local economic activity. • The host country usually grants complete freedom from host-country governmental banking regulations. 15 • The IMF recognizes as major _______ banking centers: – the Bahamas – Bahrain – the Cayman Islands – Hong Kong – the Netherlands Antilles – Panama – Singapore

Cost of Banking Crises in Other Countries 16

International Banking Regulation • • • International bank crises, along with the regulation (bad) experience in ______, suggests that regulation often ______. In many banking crises, the existence of government safety net increases moral ______incentives and regulatory ______makes things worse. Problems in regulating international banking 1. 2. • Lack of knowledge or ability to closely monitor bank operations in other countries Hard to identify which agency is responsible Trend: cooperation and standardization of regulatory ______ (i. e. Basel Accord) 17

Capital Adequacy Standards • Bank capital adequacy refers to the amount of equity ______and other securities a bank holds as reserves. • The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the 1988 and 2003 Basel Accords are a key part of the international institutions and standards that govern how much bank capital is “enough” to ensure the safety and soundness of the banking system. www. bis. org 18

Calculating capital requirements 19

Calculating capital requirements • We will introduce two forms of Bank Capital requirements • The first type is based on the so-called leverage ratio: Leverage Ratio = Equity Capital/Assets Well ______: a bank’s leverage ratio must exceed 5%. Is First Bank well capitalized? • Risk-based capital requirements (from the Basel 1988 Accord): assets are allocated into four categories, each with a different weight to reflect the degree of credit risk 20

Calculating capital requirements 1 st category: zero weight, reserves and government securities in OECD countries 2 nd category: 20% weight, claims on banks in OECD countries 3 rd category: 50% weight, municipal bonds and residential mortgages 4 th category: 100% weight, debts of consumers and corporations Off-balance-sheet activities are treated in a similar manner Banks must hold as capital at least 8% of their riskweighted assets. 21

Calculating capital requirements • Is First Bank well-capitalized according to Risk-based capital requirements? 22

Capital Adequacy Standards • While traditional bank capital standards may be enough to protect depositors from traditional credit risk, they may not be sufficient protection from derivative risk. • For example, Barings Bank, which collapsed in 1995 from derivative losses, looked good on paper relative to capital adequacy standards. • Value at Risk (Va. R) models provide a ______ measurement of capital adequacy. www. riskmetrics. com • We will deal with Va. R later in the course. Idea of using value at risk: compare Va. R with bank capital 23

International Money Markets • • • Money Markets Defined 1. Money market ______are usually sold in large denominations 2. They have ______default risk 3. They mature in one year ______from their issue date Investors in Money Market: Provides a place for warehousing surplus funds for short periods of time Borrowers find that money market provides low-cost source of temporary funds 24

Money Market Instruments • Treasury ______ • ______Funds • Repurchase ______ • ______Certificates of Deposit • Commercial Paper • Banker’s ______ • International Money Market Instruments 25

International Money Market • Eurocurrency Market • ______ • Forward Rate Agreement • ______ • Eurocommercial paper 26

International Money Market • Eurocurrency is a ______deposit in an international bank located in a country different than the country that issued the currency. – For example, Eurodollars are U. S. dollardenominated time deposits in banks located ______. – Euroyen are ______-denominated time deposits in banks located outside of Japan. – A deposit ______ have to be located in Europe. 27

Eurocurrency Market • Most Eurocurrency transactions are interbank transactions in the amount of $1, 000 and up. • Common reference rates include – LIBOR the London Interbank ______Rate – PIBOR the Paris Interbank ______Rate – SIBOR the ______Interbank Offered Rate • A new reference rate for the new euro currency – EURIBOR the rate at which interbank time deposits of € are offered by one prime bank to another. • View Eurodollar deposit rates the Federal Reserve 28

Eurocredits • Eurocredits are ______to medium-term loans of Eurocurrency by Eurobanks to corporations, sovereign governments, and nonprime banks. • The loans are denominated in currencies other than the ______currency of the Eurobank. • Often the loans are too large for one bank to underwrite; a number of banks form a ______to share the risk of the loan. • Eurocredits feature an adjustable rate. On Eurocredits originating in London the base rate is LIBOR. 29

Eurocredits Comparison of US lending and borrowing rates with Eurodollar rates on August 19, 2002 30

Rolling over debt • Short-term financing = exposure to interest rate risk. • Teltrex International borrows $3, 000 at LIBOR plus a lending margin ¾ percent per annum on a 3 -month rollover basis. Current LIBOR is 5 17/32 percent. What is the effective annual interest rate on borrowing? 31

Rolling over debt • If LIBOR stays the same for the first 3 months and then changes to 5 1/8 percent, what is the new effective annual rate, and what is the cost of financing for Teltrex International during the first six months? 32

Forward Rate Agreements • Recall, short-term financing/investment = exposure to • • ______rate risk. Banks use FRA to hedge this risk. FRA is an interbank ______ that involves two parties, a buyer and a seller. The buyer agrees to pay the seller the excess interest rate on a notional amount above a floating rate (e. g. , LIBOR). The seller agrees to _____ the buyer the excess interest rate on a notional amount above the agreed rate, Rfix. Forward Rate Agreements can be used to: – Hedge assets that a bank currently owns against interest rate risk. – Speculate on the future course of interest rates. 33

Interest Rate Forward Rate Agreements Time line 34

Forward Rate Agreements • In theory ______could be made at time T 2. At that time, based on the notional amount L and number of days T 2 - T 1: – If RT 1 T 2 < Rfixed, Bank 1 could pay to Bank 2 the agreed ______rate Rfixed, and receive from Bank 2 the variable rate RT 1 T 2. – This never happens; instead Bank 1 just pays the _____ (Rfixed - RT 1 T 2) to Bank 2. – If RT 1 T 2 > Rfixed, Bank 2 could pay to Bank 1 the agreed fixed rate Rfixed, and receive from Bank 2 the variable rate RT 1 T 2. – This never happens; instead Bank 2 just pays the difference (RT 1 T 2 - Rfixed) to Bank 1. 35

Forward Rate Agreements • In practice • Payment L*|Rfixed - RT 1 T 2|*(T 2 - T 1)/360 is _____ to time T 1 and paid at time T 1, since the rate is known at T 1 and no real need to wait until T 2, unless the contract allows for reference rate variability between T 1 and T 2 • Payment under standard FRA is calculated as follows 36

Forward Rate Agreements • The reference rate Rfixed is normally set at today’s level of forward rate FT 1 T 2. • Continuously compounded Forward rate, ______ FT 1 T 2 = (RT 2*T 2 -RT 1*T 1)/(T 2 -T 1) • For example, you observe 6 -month LIBOR=5. 39% and 3 month LIBOR=5. 36%, both continuously compounded, you know that there are 91 days to maturity for 3 -month rate and 182 days until maturity for 6 -month LIBOR • Forward rate F 91 182 = 37

Forward Rate Agreements • Assume that today Bank 1 buys a FRA with notional amount $3, 000 from Bank 2 and fixed rate 5. 42% per annum. The FRA starts in 3 months (91 days) and will last for 3 more month, until day 180. • No payments are made at this point, but Bank 1 has a binding agreement to pay 5. 42% p. a. to Bank 2 for 3 months, and Bank 2 has a binding agreement to pay the 3 -month LIBOR rate for 3 months between day 91 and 180 to Bank 1, the rate to be determined on Day 91. 38

Forward Rate Agreements • If on day 91 the actual 3 -month LIBOR=5%, then • 5%<5. 42% Bank 1 (buyer) pays to Bank 2 (seller) the difference: • If on day 91 the actual 3 -month LIBOR=6%, then • 6%>5. 42% Bank 2 pays to Bank 1 the difference: 39

Forward Rate Agreements • Value of the FRA • If forward rate = reference rate, the value is zero • If forward rate ≠ reference rate, the value is the discounted payoff assuming the forward rate is realized • You need to check whether Rfixed < or > FT 1 T 2 to detrmine profit/loss for long/short position in the FRA. 40

Forward Rate Agreements • Example. Now it is day 0 and the FRA specifies that Rfixed=4%. Since forward rate > reference rate, expected discounted value of the payoff = ______ To buy FRA with such specifications, the buyer would have to pay to the seller ______as the seller is facing the discounted expected need to make a payment of this amount of money to the buyer 41

Euronotes • Euronotes are ______ notes underwritten by a group of international investment banks or international commercial banks. – They are sold at a ______from face value and pay back the full face value at maturity. – Maturity is typically three to six months. • Euro-Medium-Term Notes – Typically fixed rate notes issued by a corporation. – ______range from less than a year to about ten years. – Euro-MTNs is partially sold on a continuous basis –this allows the borrower to raise funds as they are needed. 42

Eurocommercial Paper • ______short-term promissory notes issued by corporations and banks. • Placed ______with the public through a dealer. • Maturities typically range from one month to six months. • Eurocommercial paper, while typically U. S. dollar denominated, is often of lower quality than U. S. commercial paper—as a result yields are ______. 43

Discount basis • Discount securities are quoted on bank discount basis. • r. BD= quoted rate • D – discount, D = ______ • t – days to maturity • F – face value • P - current price 44

Discount basis • You observe that the quoted bankers acceptance rate is 4. 8% and you are considering investment in BA with face value of US$100, 000. How much do you have to pay for the BA if it has 150 days to maturity? What is the effective annual rate on this investment? 45

International Debt Crisis • Governments issue bonds, just like companies • If a foreign company defaults on a bond, what can you do as a Canadian investor? • At most you could ______in that country and try to sue the company managers. And you will probably never buy that company’s bonds again. 46

International Debt Crisis • In 1970 s major world banks wre accepting deposits from the OPEC countries and Russia (oil dollars that gave rise to the whole Eurodollar market) • Large sums of money were invested in bonds or other debt obligations issued by governments of less developed countries LDCs 47

International Debt Crisis Ten Biggest American Bank Lenders to Mexico ($bn, September 30 th, 1987) 48

Debt-for-Equity Swaps • As part of debt ______agreements among the bank lending syndicates and the debtor nations, creditor banks would sell their loans for U. S. dollars at ______from face value to MNCs desiring to make equity investment in subsidiaries or local firms in the LDCs. • A LDC central bank would buy the ______ from a MNC at a smaller discount than the MNC paid, but in local currency. • The MNC would use the ______to make pre -approved new investment in the LDC that was economically or socially beneficial to the LDC. 49

Debt-for-Equity Swap Illustration International Bank LDC firm or MNC subsidiary Equity Investor or MNC LDC Central Bank 50

Recent Banking Crises • Japan. The collapse of the Japanese ______set in motion a downward spiral for the entire Japanese economy and in particular Japanese banks. • This put in jeopardy massive amounts of bank loans to corporations. • Asia. This crisis followed a period of economic expansion in the region financed by record private capital inflows. • Bankers from the G-10 countries actively sought to finance the growth opportunities in Asia by providing businesses with a full range of products and services. ______in East Asia, particularly in ___________. • This led to domestic price 51

Financial Crises • Factors Causing Financial Crises 1. Increase in interest rates 2. Increases in uncertainty 3. Asset market effects on balance sheets • Stock market effects on net worth • Unanticipated deflation • Cash flow effects 4. Bank panics 52