Dr Pat Snowdon Economics Climate Change UK Forestry
![Dr Pat Snowdon Economics & Climate Change, UK Forestry Commission Presentation to European Forestry Dr Pat Snowdon Economics & Climate Change, UK Forestry Commission Presentation to European Forestry](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-1.jpg)
![This presentation… • Aim explain how the Forestry Commission in the UK commissioned an This presentation… • Aim explain how the Forestry Commission in the UK commissioned an](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-2.jpg)
![Why do this? • IPCC 4 th Assessment Report, 2007 – brought together existing Why do this? • IPCC 4 th Assessment Report, 2007 – brought together existing](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-3.jpg)
![How can UK forestry adapt to and improve its contribution to mitigating climate change? How can UK forestry adapt to and improve its contribution to mitigating climate change?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-4.jpg)
![The process Summer 2008 • • • facilitated by the FC independent steering group The process Summer 2008 • • • facilitated by the FC independent steering group](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-5.jpg)
![The authors • Editor and Chair – Professor Sir David Read, University of Sheffield The authors • Editor and Chair – Professor Sir David Read, University of Sheffield](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-6.jpg)
![Finalising the report • Editorial group meetings • Consultation with authors over editing • Finalising the report • Editorial group meetings • Consultation with authors over editing •](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-7.jpg)
![Report structure Report structure](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-8.jpg)
![Who will use it & for what? Who will use it & for what?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-9.jpg)
![UK will continue to warm in all scenarios UK will continue to warm in all scenarios](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-10.jpg)
![But we’ve been creating fewer new woodlands But we’ve been creating fewer new woodlands](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-11.jpg)
![Can we harness this C-fixing capability to provide mitigation of emissions? Can we harness this C-fixing capability to provide mitigation of emissions?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-12.jpg)
![Oak – suitability relative to maximum productivity (greens = suitable) Changes will impact on Oak – suitability relative to maximum productivity (greens = suitable) Changes will impact on](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-13.jpg)
![Substitution – carbon lock up after felling Biomass – replacing fossil fuels Different objectives Substitution – carbon lock up after felling Biomass – replacing fossil fuels Different objectives](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-14.jpg)
![Wood products extend carbon lock up Wood products in construction are CO 2 sinks. Wood products extend carbon lock up Wood products in construction are CO 2 sinks.](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-15.jpg)
![Maximum surface temperature in Manchester +10% green cover would help cooling esp where people Maximum surface temperature in Manchester +10% green cover would help cooling esp where people](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-16.jpg)
![Key findings Key findings](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-17.jpg)
![Carbon in UK woodlands (trees only) Carbon in UK woodlands (trees only)](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-18.jpg)
![A clear need for more woodlands Enhanced planting of 23, 000 ha per year A clear need for more woodlands Enhanced planting of 23, 000 ha per year](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-19.jpg)
![Forest land cover in parts of Europe +4% change in land cover proposed would Forest land cover in parts of Europe +4% change in land cover proposed would](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-20.jpg)
![An asset to be managed wisely UK forests store 790 Mt. C and remove An asset to be managed wisely UK forests store 790 Mt. C and remove](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-21.jpg)
![The status quo is not an option Long timescales mean need for action now The status quo is not an option Long timescales mean need for action now](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-22.jpg)
![Harvesting and use of wood increases forestry’s mitigation potential Wood products act as store Harvesting and use of wood increases forestry’s mitigation potential Wood products act as store](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-23.jpg)
![Trees help people adapt Trees in urban areas provide shelter shade and runoff control Trees help people adapt Trees in urban areas provide shelter shade and runoff control](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-24.jpg)
![Plant now Use sustainably Plant now Use sustainably](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-25.jpg)
![What next? What next?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-26.jpg)
![response to the Assessment • • research priorities ongoing analysis standards incentives – GHG response to the Assessment • • research priorities ongoing analysis standards incentives – GHG](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-27.jpg)
![Tell people! Tell people!](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-28.jpg)
![Thank you www. forestry. gov. uk/climatechange www. tsoshop. co. uk Thank you www. forestry. gov. uk/climatechange www. tsoshop. co. uk](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-29.jpg)
![Net ecosystem carbon exchange Trees and forest soils lock up carbon Net ecosystem carbon exchange Trees and forest soils lock up carbon](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-30.jpg)
![Impacts on abatement potential compared to BAU Impacts on abatement potential compared to BAU](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-31.jpg)
![Rainfall amounts and distribution will change Rainfall amounts and distribution will change](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-32.jpg)
![Oak is coming into leaf earlier Oak is coming into leaf earlier](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-33.jpg)
![Uptake of greenhouse gases is projected to fall Uptake of greenhouse gases is projected to fall](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-34.jpg)
- Slides: 34
![Dr Pat Snowdon Economics Climate Change UK Forestry Commission Presentation to European Forestry Dr Pat Snowdon Economics & Climate Change, UK Forestry Commission Presentation to European Forestry](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-1.jpg)
Dr Pat Snowdon Economics & Climate Change, UK Forestry Commission Presentation to European Forestry Commission, 27 April 2010
![This presentation Aim explain how the Forestry Commission in the UK commissioned an This presentation… • Aim explain how the Forestry Commission in the UK commissioned an](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-2.jpg)
This presentation… • Aim explain how the Forestry Commission in the UK commissioned an assessment of the role of UK forests in tackling climate change • Structure the process key findings
![Why do this IPCC 4 th Assessment Report 2007 brought together existing Why do this? • IPCC 4 th Assessment Report, 2007 – brought together existing](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-3.jpg)
Why do this? • IPCC 4 th Assessment Report, 2007 – brought together existing science & understanding “forestry can make a very significant contribution to a low-cost global mitigation portfolio…” We needed a similarly authoritative statement of current scientific understanding across the UK
![How can UK forestry adapt to and improve its contribution to mitigating climate change How can UK forestry adapt to and improve its contribution to mitigating climate change?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-4.jpg)
How can UK forestry adapt to and improve its contribution to mitigating climate change? Sir David Read was asked to: • Review and synthesise existing knowledge of the impacts of climate change on UK forests. • Provide a baseline of the potential of UK forests to mitigate and adapt to climate change. • Identify gaps and weaknesses in our understanding so as to determine research priorities for the next 5 years.
![The process Summer 2008 facilitated by the FC independent steering group The process Summer 2008 • • • facilitated by the FC independent steering group](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-5.jpg)
The process Summer 2008 • • • facilitated by the FC independent steering group established authors invited (c 30 in total) reviewed by international experts editorial group publication and launch November 2009
![The authors Editor and Chair Professor Sir David Read University of Sheffield The authors • Editor and Chair – Professor Sir David Read, University of Sheffield](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-6.jpg)
The authors • Editor and Chair – Professor Sir David Read, University of Sheffield & Fellow of the Royal Society • Experts from universities, research institutes and Government departments and agencies • Multi-disciplinary approach
![Finalising the report Editorial group meetings Consultation with authors over editing Finalising the report • Editorial group meetings • Consultation with authors over editing •](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-7.jpg)
Finalising the report • Editorial group meetings • Consultation with authors over editing • Independent of the Forestry Commission - Sir David had editorial control • Focus on scientific rigour
![Report structure Report structure](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-8.jpg)
Report structure
![Who will use it for what Who will use it & for what?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-9.jpg)
Who will use it & for what?
![UK will continue to warm in all scenarios UK will continue to warm in all scenarios](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-10.jpg)
UK will continue to warm in all scenarios
![But weve been creating fewer new woodlands But we’ve been creating fewer new woodlands](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-11.jpg)
But we’ve been creating fewer new woodlands
![Can we harness this Cfixing capability to provide mitigation of emissions Can we harness this C-fixing capability to provide mitigation of emissions?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-12.jpg)
Can we harness this C-fixing capability to provide mitigation of emissions?
![Oak suitability relative to maximum productivity greens suitable Changes will impact on Oak – suitability relative to maximum productivity (greens = suitable) Changes will impact on](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-13.jpg)
Oak – suitability relative to maximum productivity (greens = suitable) Changes will impact on species choice and composition in native woodlands
![Substitution carbon lock up after felling Biomass replacing fossil fuels Different objectives Substitution – carbon lock up after felling Biomass – replacing fossil fuels Different objectives](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-14.jpg)
Substitution – carbon lock up after felling Biomass – replacing fossil fuels Different objectives and strategies : all +ve
![Wood products extend carbon lock up Wood products in construction are CO 2 sinks Wood products extend carbon lock up Wood products in construction are CO 2 sinks.](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-15.jpg)
Wood products extend carbon lock up Wood products in construction are CO 2 sinks. Bricks, concrete, steel are net sources.
![Maximum surface temperature in Manchester 10 green cover would help cooling esp where people Maximum surface temperature in Manchester +10% green cover would help cooling esp where people](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-16.jpg)
Maximum surface temperature in Manchester +10% green cover would help cooling esp where people live or gather
![Key findings Key findings](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-17.jpg)
Key findings
![Carbon in UK woodlands trees only Carbon in UK woodlands (trees only)](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-18.jpg)
Carbon in UK woodlands (trees only)
![A clear need for more woodlands Enhanced planting of 23 000 ha per year A clear need for more woodlands Enhanced planting of 23, 000 ha per year](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-19.jpg)
A clear need for more woodlands Enhanced planting of 23, 000 ha per year over next 40 years could by 2050 abate 10% of GHG emissions • Technically feasible – if challenging • All options cost-effective • Rapid growing conifers and energy crops best • But mixed woodlands still only £ 25 per tonne CO 2
![Forest land cover in parts of Europe 4 change in land cover proposed would Forest land cover in parts of Europe +4% change in land cover proposed would](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-20.jpg)
Forest land cover in parts of Europe +4% change in land cover proposed would still be one of lowest in Europe
![An asset to be managed wisely UK forests store 790 Mt C and remove An asset to be managed wisely UK forests store 790 Mt. C and remove](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-21.jpg)
An asset to be managed wisely UK forests store 790 Mt. C and remove 15 Mt. CO 2 per year • Climate change impacts are already being seen • Pests and diseases causing increasing concern • Regulatory framework important including for urban trees to ensure continued delivery of range of ecosystem services
![The status quo is not an option Long timescales mean need for action now The status quo is not an option Long timescales mean need for action now](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-22.jpg)
The status quo is not an option Long timescales mean need for action now • Changes to selection of species and origin needed now • In future need to consider new species e. g. from continental Europe • Difficult questions for conservation of biodiversity in woodland communities
![Harvesting and use of wood increases forestrys mitigation potential Wood products act as store Harvesting and use of wood increases forestry’s mitigation potential Wood products act as store](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-23.jpg)
Harvesting and use of wood increases forestry’s mitigation potential Wood products act as store Biomass can replace fossil fuels • Wood can substitute for materials with high GHG emissions in their production • Evidence of technical properties of wood needs to be better known • Carbon in wood products in UK housing = 19 Mt. C – could grow by 10 Mt in next 10 years
![Trees help people adapt Trees in urban areas provide shelter shade and runoff control Trees help people adapt Trees in urban areas provide shelter shade and runoff control](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-24.jpg)
Trees help people adapt Trees in urban areas provide shelter shade and runoff control • increased tree cover in towns where people live and gather, esp vulnerable groups • forestry practitioners need to engage with the public • policy incentives should reward non-market benefits of forests
![Plant now Use sustainably Plant now Use sustainably](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-25.jpg)
Plant now Use sustainably
![What next What next?](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-26.jpg)
What next?
![response to the Assessment research priorities ongoing analysis standards incentives GHG response to the Assessment • • research priorities ongoing analysis standards incentives – GHG](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-27.jpg)
response to the Assessment • • research priorities ongoing analysis standards incentives – GHG reporting guidelines – funding mechanisms
![Tell people Tell people!](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-28.jpg)
Tell people!
![Thank you www forestry gov ukclimatechange www tsoshop co uk Thank you www. forestry. gov. uk/climatechange www. tsoshop. co. uk](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-29.jpg)
Thank you www. forestry. gov. uk/climatechange www. tsoshop. co. uk
![Net ecosystem carbon exchange Trees and forest soils lock up carbon Net ecosystem carbon exchange Trees and forest soils lock up carbon](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-30.jpg)
Net ecosystem carbon exchange Trees and forest soils lock up carbon
![Impacts on abatement potential compared to BAU Impacts on abatement potential compared to BAU](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-31.jpg)
Impacts on abatement potential compared to BAU
![Rainfall amounts and distribution will change Rainfall amounts and distribution will change](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-32.jpg)
Rainfall amounts and distribution will change
![Oak is coming into leaf earlier Oak is coming into leaf earlier](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-33.jpg)
Oak is coming into leaf earlier
![Uptake of greenhouse gases is projected to fall Uptake of greenhouse gases is projected to fall](https://slidetodoc.com/presentation_image_h2/bdfa1820a182da786c518cd9296979c6/image-34.jpg)
Uptake of greenhouse gases is projected to fall
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