Southwest Urban Growth Area Boundary Planning Study Clearview

Southwest Urban Growth Area Boundary Planning Study Clearview Community Association Presentation March 21, 2019 Jacqueline Reid, AICP Snohomish County Planning and Development Services Lisa Grueter, AICP BERK Consulting

Content • Location • Purpose • Trends • Study Content • Relationship to Comprehensive Plan Update 2023 • Buildable Plans Report • Status of Study / Road Map • Opportunities to Hear Input • Questions 2

Location 3

Purpose The Southwest Urban Growth Area (SWUGA) Boundary Planning Study is a high-level study of existing conditions and opportunities and constraints in the study area and surroundings to inform future planning choices. 4

Study Purpose and Approach What it IS: • A high-level study to develop data and information to inform future planning choices: • Major Comprehensive Plan updates • UGA amendment proposals • • 5 Environmental analysis Social and economic analysis Vulnerability and Suitability analysis Scenario testing: Current land use patterns and hypothetical UGA adjustments High-level capital and service delivery costs Wider impacts Urban/rural transitions Regulatory and policy framework analysis

Study Purpose What it is NOT: • A subarea or land use plan • A Buildable Lands Study • Recommending changes to land use or policies 6

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Trends 22% Countywide Cities & UGA 30% 25% SWUGA City & UGA 35% 42% SWUGA Uninc 81% 64% Mill Creek MUGA (Uninc) 107% 65% Bothell MUGA (Uninc) 122% 0% 20% % of Capacity Achieved by 2017 8 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% % of Population 2035 Target Achieved as of 2017 140%

Snohomish County Urban Growth Area 9

Study Content Environmental Social Governing & Legal Frameworks 10 Capital and Service Delivery & Costs

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Relationship to Comprehensive Plan Update 2023 • SWUGA BPS is a study not a plan • SWUGA BPS can inform future planning efforts • For example: Comprehensive Plan Update 2023 2019 SWUGA BPS 12 2020 2021 2020 2022 Comprehensive Plan Update 2023

2023 Comprehensive Plan Update Project Timeline # Project/Task 1 Vision 2050 2 CPP Update 3 Buildable Lands Report 4 2043 Initial Growth Targets 5 2020 Census/OFM Forecasts 6 Major Docket Applications 7 GMA Compliance Review 8 Comprehensive Plan Update 9 State Environmental Policy Act 10 Legislative Adoption Process 13 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Comprehensive Plan Update and Compliance Review Process Growth Management Act Vision 2050 Multi-County Planning Policies (2020) GMA Compliance (2023) Office of Financial Management Population Forecast (2022) Countywide Planning Policies (2021) Comprehensive Plan (2023) General Policy Plan Transportation Element Parks and Recreation Element Capital Facilities Plan Implementing Regulations (2023 and beyond) 14 Regional Growth Strategy (2020) 2043 Initial Population and Employment Growth Targets (2021) Buildable Lands Report (2021) Colors for illustrative purpose only

Buildable Lands Report - Conceptual Model 2. What density actually happens in each zone? 1. What land in the UGAs could be developed? 15 3. What is the land capacity? 5. What are the adopted 2035 growth targets? 4. How much is likely to be available by 2035? 6. Is there enough land capacity?

Comprehensive Plan Update and Compliance Review Process Growth Management Act Vision 2050 Multi-County Planning Policies (2020) GMA Compliance (2023) Office of Financial Management Population Forecast (2022) Countywide Planning Policies (2021) Comprehensive Plan (2023) General Policy Plan Transportation Element Parks and Recreation Element Capital Facilities Plan Implementing Regulations (2023 and beyond) 16 Regional Growth Strategy (2020) 2043 Initial Population and Employment Growth Targets (2021) Buildable Lands Report (2021) Colors for illustrative purpose only