Lecture 1 Development Economics and Economic Development Copyright
- Slides: 34
Lecture 1 Development Economics and Economic Development Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -1
(Partly from Todaro and Smith- Development Economics, Addison-Wesley, 2012. ) – The Nature of Development Economics • Greater scope than traditional neoclassical economics and political economy. Rethinking Theory and Empirics. – Why Study Questions Development Economics? Some Critical – The Important Role of Values in Development Economics – Growth and Development Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -2
Figure 1. 1 World Income Distribution Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -3
1. 2 Economics and Development Studies • Economies as Social Systems: The Need to Go Beyond Simple Economics • Social Systems – Interdependent relationships between economic and noneconomic factors • Success or failure of development policy – Importance of taking account of institutional and structural variables along with more traditional economic variables Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -4
1. 3 What Do We Mean by Development? • Traditional Economic Measures – Gross National Income (GNI) – Income per capita – Utility of that income? • The New Economic View of Development – Leads to improvement in wellbeing, more broadly understood • Amartya Sen’s “Capability” Approach – Functionings as an achievement – Capabilities as freedoms enjoyed in terms of functionings – Development and happiness – Well being in terms of being well and having freedoms of choice – “Beings and Doings”: Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -5
1. 3 What Do We Mean by Development? (cont’d) • Three Core Values of Development – Sustenance: The Ability to Meet Basic Needs – Self-Esteem: To Be a Person – Freedom from Servitude: To Be Able to Choose – Correlation of the Above with levels of Income – Growth and Distribution Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -6
Income and Capability – A critical question is how far growth and levels of income are associated with changing capabilities – Public vs. Private provision of resources towards developmental needs – Form and Extent of State Intervention – How to tackle problems of Corruption, Leakage, Accountability – Growth related factors more talked about but effectively undermined Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -7
Figure 1. 2 Income and Happiness: Comparing Countries Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -8
1. 3 What Do We Mean by Development? (cont’d) • The Central Role of Women – To make the biggest impact on development, societies must empower and invest in women • The Three Objectives of Development – Increase availability of life-sustaining goods – Raise levels of living – Expand range of economic and social choices Can all three above be achieved by better credit conditions, markets and technology? Social Choice is the Issue with Health and Education. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -9
1. 4 The Millennium Development Goals • Millennium Development goals (MDGs) – Eight goals adopted by the United Nations in 2000 • Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger • Achieve universal primary education • Promote gender equality and empower women • Reduce child mortality • Improve maternal health • Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases • Ensure environmental sustainability • Develop a global partnership for development Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -10
• Unfortunate Exclusion of Social Mobility as a major indicator of Underdevelopment. Research has not made to the Text Books. • It is a critical indicator measuring probability distribution of jumping the fence. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -11
1. 5 Conclusions • The importance of Development Economics • Inclusion of non-economic variables in designing development strategies • Understanding why we need to go beyond Markets and Technology and Designing Policy Intervention • Financing of Development Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -12
Common Characteristics of Developing Countries • These features in common are on average and with great diversity, in comparison with developed countries: – Lower levels of living and productivity – Lower levels of human capital – Higher levels of inequality and absolute poverty – Higher population growth rates – Greater social fractionalization – Larger rural population - rapid migration to cities – Lower levels of industrialization and manufactured exports – Adverse geography – Underdeveloped financial and other markets – Colonial Legacies - poor institutions etc. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -13
2. 2 Basic Indicators of Development: Real Income, Health, and Education • Gross National Income (GNI) • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) • PPP method instead of exchange rates as conversion factors • Other possible Innovative Measure • Degree of Income/Social Mobility Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -14
Figure 2. 2 Income Per Capita in Selected Countries (2008) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -15
Table 2. 2 A Comparison of Per Capita GNI, 2008 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -16
2. 3 Holistic Measures of Living Levels and Capabilities • • Health Life Expectancy Education Human Development Index • Basic Index= (Actual – Min)/(Max- Min) • Must lie between 0 and 1 • HDI as a holistic measure of Quality of Life Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -17
Table 2. 3 Commonality and Diversity: Some Basic Indicators Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -18
Table 2. 4 2009 Human Development Index for 24 Selected Countries (2007 Data) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -19
Table 2. 5 2009 Human Development Index Variations for Similar Incomes (2007 Data) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -20
What is new in the New HDI? 1. Calculating with a geometric mean • Probably most consequential: The index is now computed with a geometric mean, instead of an arithmetic mean • New HDI takes the cube root of the product of the three component indexes • The traditional HDI calculation assumed one component traded off against another as perfect substitutes, a strong assumption • The reformulation now allows for imperfect substitutability • Note that individual impact is now conditional on other elements Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -21
What is new in the New HDI? 2. Other key changes: • Gross national income per capita replaces gross domestic product per capita • Revised education components: now using the average actual educational attainment of the whole population, and the expected attainment of today’s children • The maximum values in each dimension have been increased to the observed maximum rather than given a predefined cutoff • The lower goalpost for income has been reduced due to new evidence on lower possible income levels • ENVIRONMENT AND GENDER ISSUES –LESS DICSUSSED IN FORMATION OF INDICES. UNFORTUNATELY CANT COVER IN THIS COURSE. BUT THESE ARE CRITICAL ISSUES. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -22
Table 2. 6 The 2010 New Human Development Index, 2008 Data Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -23
Figure 2. 5 Under-5 Mortality Rates, 1990 and 2005 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -24
Table 2. 8 Primary School Enrollment and Pupil-Teacher Ratios, 2010 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -25
Figure 2. 7 Number of People Living in Poverty by Region, 1981– 2005 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -26
Table 2. 10 The Urban Population in Developed Countries and Developing Regions Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -27
Table 2. 11 Share of the Population Employed in the Industrial Sector in Selected Countries, 2004 -2008 (%) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -28
2. 4 Characteristics of the Developing World: Diversity within Commonality 9. 10. Underdeveloped Financial and Other markets – Imperfect markets – Incomplete information Colonial Legacy and External Dependence – Institutions – Private property – Personal taxation – Taxes in cash rather than in kind Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -29
2. 5 How Low-Income Countries Today Differ from Developed Countries in Their Earlier Stages • Eight differences – Physical and human resource endowments – Per capita incomes and levels of GDP in relation to the rest of the world – Climate – Population size, distribution, and growth – Historic role of international migration – International trade benefits – Basic scientific/technological research and development capabilities – Efficacy of domestic institutions Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -30
2. 6 Are Living Standards of Developing and Devolved Nations Converging? – Evidence of unconditional convergence is hard to find – But there is increasing evidence of “per capita income convergence, ” weighting changes in per capita income by population size Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -31
Figure 2. 8 Relative Country Convergence: World, Developing Countries, and OECD Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -32
Figure 2. 8 Relative Country Convergence: World, Developing Countries, and OECD (cont’d) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -33
Nature and Role of Economic Institutions • • • Institutions provide “rules of the game” of economic life Provide underpinning of a market economy Include property rights; contract enforcement Can work for improving coordination, Restricting coercive, fraudulent and anti-competitive behavior Providing access to opportunities for the broad population. Constraining the power of elites, and managing conflict Provision of social insurance Provision of predictable macroeconomic stability Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 -34
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