Strengthening Institutional Framework for the Development of the

Strengthening Institutional Framework for the Development of the VET Occupational Standards/Qualifications & Curricula IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Main project partner. Analitičke podloge za rad This project is implemented by a SQA-led consortium Sector Councils: Development of Sector Profile from Local Sources of Information Sanja Crnković-Pozaić Project office: Lastovska 23, 1000 Zagreb, Tel: + 385 1 62 74 681

Topics of the Day IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Research Objective u Key Concepts u Methodology of the Development of Sector Profile u Examples of Results u

Research objective IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia u Defining the Sector profile in order to: • Understand the market position of sector knowledge and skills • Develop sector strategies • Identify the gap between supply and demand of labour • Make the first step in the analysis of future needs for sector knowledge • Plan quotas for educational programmes in the Counties

Key Concepts IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Concept Explanation Sector The overall knowledge and skills representing an area of knowledge – all employed, unemployed or inactive persons with formal or informal qualifications in the sector Occupational area All economic actors dealing with the same type of economic activity, e. g. agriculture Occupation Knowledge and activities acquired in the workplace in a specific area of knowledge. The application of sector knowledge generates occupations Scope of the sector The overall number of occupations using knowledge and skills of the sector and the value created by these occupations Concentration indicator Employment rate for occupations from a sector in an occupational area Population of working age in the sector All persons aged 15 to 64 having occupations from the sector – the total possible supply of labour in the sector Working population in the sector Persons having occupations from the sector who work or are willing to work – they can be employed or unemployed and together they make up the working force

Knowledge Sector Concept IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia

Knowledge Serves Development IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia A – companies in which knowledge is applied and transformed into market value B – educational institutions in which knowledge is spread towards younger generations and adults C – new discoveries, innovations and products that create new knowledge B C A

Methodology IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia For each sector (13): • Define the number of occupations generated • Establish in which occupational areas these occupations are used • Define the concentration indicator and identify the key occupational areas for sector knowledge • Follow longterm trends of the occupational areas • Define the financial potential of key occupational areas

Methodology (continued) IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia u Describe the sector workforce characteristics u Establish labour demand in the sector (available jobs in occupations) u Identify the gap between supply and demand u Describe the trends of enrolments in educational programs for each sector and within a time framework u Examine the link between the influx of graduates and the outflow due to retirement on county level CREATE AN IMAGE OF THE MARKET SECTOR PROFILE

Example of Results: Two Sectors Compared IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Trade Subsector 1. Number of companies in the sector: 20. 171 (2008) 2. Revenue: 258 billion kuna (2008) 3. Share in total revenues in Croatia: RH 36, 39% 4. Share in total employment: 22, 95% Leather and Textile Sector 1. Number of companies: 908 2. Revenue: 7, 9 billion kuna (2008) 3. Share in total revenues in Croatia: 1, 12% 4. Share in total employment: 3, 6%

Concentration Indicator IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Circle 4 • 18 occupation areas • Largest share except Trade in Processing industry 5, 7% Circle 1 • 60, 93% employed in the trade occupational area • 83% employed in the sector

Longterm Employment Trends in Trade Key Occupation Area IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia G 1 – Employment in wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 2000 -2010 20, 0 250000 18, 0 16, 0 200000 14, 0 12, 0 150000 Udio trgovine u ukupnoj zaposlenosti 10, 0 8, 0 6, 0 Trgovina na veliko i na malo; popravak motornih vozila i motocikala 4, 0 2, 0 0, 0 100000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 50000 2010 0

Workforce in the Trade Subsector IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia G 4 – Labour Market Indicators of the Subsector and the Entire Economy, 2008 RH 8, 4 Sektor trgovine ukupno 8, 8 44, 5 48, 5 60, 0 65, 8 Ulički prodavači 21, 9 Prodavači i trgovački demonstratori 49, 6 11, 1 Trgovački posrednici 63, 4 58, 9 4, 8 Financijski i prodajni stručnjaci 64, 6 67, 9 2, 8 0, 0 10, 0 20, 0 Stopa nezaposlenosti Stopa aktivnosti 66, 3 30, 0 40, 0 50, 0 61, 4 63, 2 60, 0 Stopa zaposlenosti 70, 0

Educational Structure of the Employed, the Unemployed and the Inactive, 2008 IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia G 6 – The Employed, the Unemployed and the Inactive, by Education, 2008 Fakultet, umjetnička akademija i sveučilišni studij 1, 63 2, 33 Viša škola, prvi stupanj fakulteta i stručni studij NEZAPOSENI I NEAKTIVNI 6, 32 6, 28 Gimnazija ZAPOSLENI 6, 86 4, 74 Tehničke, ekonomske, medicinske i sl. srednje škole 20, 16 Škole za obrtnička i industrijska zanimanja i škole za KV i VKV radnike OŠ i niže 38, 31 50, 73 44, 14 14, 30 4, 21 0, 00 10, 00 20, 00 30, 00 40, 00 50, 00 60, 00

Net Salaries, in Sector and General IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia 25, 0 G 8 – Average Net Salary in Trade and in General Economy, 2008 20, 0 15, 0 % 10, 0 5, 0 M 0+ 10 00 99 9 00 -9 90 99 9 00 -8 00 -7 99 9 80 Trgovačka zanimanja 70 99 9 00 -6 60 99 9 00 -5 49 9 55 Ukupno gospodarstvo 50 99 9 00 -4 45 49 9 00 -4 99 9 40 00 -3 35 49 9 00 -3 30 00 -2 99 9 49 9 25 00 -2 20 99 9 00 -1 49 9 15 00 -1 10 an je od 10 00 0, 0

Employment Rates by Occupation IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia G 9 – Employment Rates by Occupation and by Sex, 2008 Fakturist 35, 1 Poslovođa trgovine 28, 0 Prodavač u kiosku i tržnici 35, 4 Dostavljač robe Prodavač kemikalija za poljoprivredu Službenik nabave 51, 5 53, 3 57, 6 53, 6 56, 8 60, 9 Ostala zanimanja 0, 0 UKUPNO 65, 5 59, 7 60, 9 60, 2 65, 4 63, 8 Prodavač Službenik prodaje 32, 0 Komercijalist 72, 2 54, 5 31, 0 Komercijalni službenik 60, 0 50, 5 59, 6 Trgovački demonstrator i prodavač 50, 0 Trgovac 69, 8 71, 4 47, 9 Prodavač vozila 69, 7 77, 8 Trgovački putnik Komercijalist unutarnje trgovine 61, 9 Voditelj poslovnice prodaje 0, 0 Stopa zapošljavanja žena 20, 0 48, 6 60, 0 94, 6 87, 3 84, 5 88, 9 93, 3 80, 0 Stopa zapošljavanja muškaraca 100, 0

Enrollment by Year IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Table 4 – Students Enrolled in Educational Programmes in 2006 -2010 2006/2007 4. 135 COMMERCIALIST ? 6. 942 SHOP ASSISTANT JMO? TOTAL 2007/2008 4. 254 6. 349 141 11. 077 10. 744 2008/2009 4. 120 5. 453 308 9. 881 2009/2010 2006 -2010 4. 135 4. 895 469 9. 499 0, 0 -29, 5 331, 9 -14, 2

Employment Replacement by Counties IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia Table 5 – VET school graduates and the natural outflow of employees in key occupational areas employed in trade occupations by counties in 2008 Number of economi c actors KRAPINA-ZAGORJE COUNTY 434 VIROVITICAPODRAVINA COUNTY 238 BJELOVAR-BILOGORA COUNTY 391 POZEGA-SLAVONIA COUNTY BROD-POSAVINA COUNTY 168 349 EMPLOYE D in key occupatio n areas in trade 092 728 246 302 073 3. 1. 2. Number of employed in key areas aged 5064 516 289 542 217 346 Number of retirem ents per year 34 19 36 14 23 Student s from 3 -year progra mmes 315 223 471 102 274 Students Number s from 4 total of -year students progra per job mmes vacancy 372 122 131 128 77 687 345 602 230 351 19, 96 17, 93 16, 66 15, 87 15, 21

Conclusions on Profile IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia u u u There is a high occupation concentration in only one occupational area, while occupations are highly dispersed in other occupational areas Trade has significant scope in general economy both in terms of population of working age and financial potential There is a longterm trend of modest growth in demand for sector occupations Labour market indicators are above-average for these occupations The age and educational structure are not favourable and growth in demand for trade occupations might be faced with the problem of a gap in the workforce There are regional discrepancies between the number of young persons leaving the education system and the local demand for the profiles in question

Conclusion IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia This analysis is the first step in the labour market needs analysis by occupations and sectors u All available sources of information have been used u This analysis is not sufficient for the planning of future needs u It is necessary to put in more time and resources in order to acquire more detailed and more substantial knowledge about knowledge sectors in Croatia to achieve our goal: u A FLEXIBLE AND COMPETITIVE EDUCATION SYSTEM

. . . IPA Component IV - Human Resources Development - European Union Program for Croatia THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! sanja. crnkovic@gmail. com