Monsoon Desk at NCEP NOAANWSNCEPEMC National Monsoon Mission

Monsoon Desk at NCEP NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop April 11 -15, 2011

This presentation contains… l Part 1: Introduction to the Monsoon Desk at NCEP l Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk l Part 3: Discussion l l Scientific collaboration Sharing – results, data, verification, etc. Monsoon Desk and Curriculum Monsoon Desk Curriculum finalization National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 2

Part 1: Introduction to Monsoon Desk at NCEP The Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) is supported by the Indian Ministry of Earth Sciences (Mo. ES) to provide operational numerical forecast software and training to representatives from the Mo. ES. Responsible Parties: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) l Agencies with the Mo. ES l National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 3

Part 1: Points of Contact – India & US l IITM – Dr. Suryachandra A. Rao l IMD – Mr. V. R. Durai l NCMRWF – Dr. E. N. Rajagopal l NCEP/EMC l Monsoon Desk - Ms. K. Howard National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 4

Part 1: Introduction to Monsoon Desk at NCEP As part of the Ministry of Earth Sciences (Mo. ES) “National Monsoon Mission” agreement or “MOU”: “The establishment of a “Monsoon Desk” at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will serve as the modality to coordinate numerical model simulations and diagnostics between NCEP, the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), and the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). ” “The Monsoon Desk at NCEP will also serve as a key scientific foci for United States and Indian scientists to advance prediction skills for monsoon variability, improved understanding of Indian Ocean-Atmospheric dynamical interactions and associated impact on weather and climate, and other related and relevant monsoonal studies to advance the state of the monsoon rainfall prediction. ” (From the November 2010 “Implementing Agreement on Technical Cooperation for the Study of Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall between the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the Government of the United States of America and the Ministry of Earth Sciences of the Government of the Republic of India”) National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 5

Part 1: Introduction to Monsoon Desk at NCEP Monsoon Mission Systems Data Assimilation Weather Forecasting Climate Forecasting Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation Global Forecast System Climate Forecast System National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 6

Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk Expectations and Responsibilities: l Model code l Data l Training l Scientific coordination l Simulations, diagnostics, evaluations, and feedback National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 7

Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk Model code l Initial transfer and setup of NCEP modeling software and codes for IITM and NCMRWF l Routine transfer of updates to IITM and NCMRWF l IITM will disseminate to other organizations * currently occurring National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 8

Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk Data l Help obtain initial conditions for CFSv 2 l Provide assistance as required with other data sets National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 9

Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk Training l On-site at NCEP l Train visitors from Mo. ES agencies on running the GFS and CFS l Off-site & online EMC Monsoon Desk webpage l Online model tutorials/training modules l l Monsoon Desk personnel National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 10

Part 2: Expectations of the Monsoon Desk Scientific coordination between Mo. ES agencies & NCEP l Focus on monsoon variability and predictability l Research to improve: l Understanding of ocean processes in the Indian Ocean l Convective parameterization in the atmospheric models l Extended range forecasts of break and active monsoon phases National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 11

Part 3: Discussion talking points l Scientific collaboration l Sharing – results, data, verification, etc. Focus on model evaluations and feedback from Mo. ES agencies l Monsoon Desk Curriculum l l Additions, edits, suggestions, or concerns? Other concerns or questions? National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 12

Monsoon Desk at NCEP Questions? National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop 13