V National Meeting with Analysts and Investors 1

  • Slides: 40
Download presentation
V National Meeting with Analysts and Investors 1

V National Meeting with Analysts and Investors 1

Schedule 1 2 Businesses leverage boost 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario

Schedule 1 2 Businesses leverage boost 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 Continued upgrade in productivity 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 3 Businesses leverage boost Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

Net Interest Income boosted by strong credit growth. . . R$ billion 15. 7

Net Interest Income boosted by strong credit growth. . . R$ billion 15. 7 16. 7 18. 1 14. 2 24. 1 58. 0 36. 7 31. 3 20. 8 40. 0 23. 5 33. 6 14. 4 15. 1 14. 7 34. 5 21. 6 25. 3 17. 1 19. 2 2004 2005 2006 2007 Net Interest Income 4 Loan Revenues Other Interest Revenues 2008

. . . although the reduction in interest rates brings a spread contraction. 16.

. . . although the reduction in interest rates brings a spread contraction. 16. 2 8. 4 2004 19. 1 15. 3 8. 1 8. 6 2005 Selic - % 2006 11. 9 12. 5 7. 6 7. 1 2007 2008 Spread¹ - % NIM by Loan Portfolio - % 35. 7 30. 1 5 1 Net Interest Income over Earning Assets 28. 7 25. 4 9. 0 8. 4 8. 1 6. 9 5. 6 2004 6. 0 2005 5. 5 2006 6. 3 Individuals Businesses 21. 0 6. 7 5. 1 2007 2008 Agribusiness

In this scenario, NIM decrease is more than compensated by earning assets growth. .

In this scenario, NIM decrease is more than compensated by earning assets growth. . . 8. 6% 8. 4% 4. 8 8. 1% 7. 6% 7. 1% 3. 9 2. 3 1. 3 224. 8 101. 8 160. 7 0. 9 133. 2 88. 6 0. 4 -0. 9 -1. 2 2004 2005 Spread Effect 1 – R$ billion 2006 Volume effect 2 – R$ billion 1 Net Interest Income change related to spread variation 6 2 Net Interest Income change related to the Average Earning Assets growth 3 Spread – Net Interest Margin over Earning Assets -1. 2 2007 NIM 3 -1. 5 2008 Loan Portfolio – R$ billion

. . . demonstrated by the loan portfolio growth, that overcame the banking industry.

. . . demonstrated by the loan portfolio growth, that overcame the banking industry. 15. 9 15. 3 16. 5 16. 0 17. 1 224. 8 15. 1 R$ billion 160. 8 133. 2 88. 5 9. 0 30. 0 33. 4 101. 8 9. 2 38. 5 CAGR (%): 26. 2 13. 8 51. 9 20. 7 97. 2 30. 6 65. 5 32. 0 51. 9 16. 1 18. 4 24. 0 2004 2005 2006 1 Domestic Loan portfolio 11. 4 45. 1 35. 7 Market Share 1 - % 7 12. 2 63. 7 32. 0 2007 Individuals Businesses 48. 8 2008 Agribusiness Foreign

In individual’s businesses, payroll and car loans lead the credit growth. 48. 8 6.

In individual’s businesses, payroll and car loans lead the credit growth. 48. 8 6. 7 R$ billion 2. 5 32. 0 24. 0 16. 1 0. 3 2. 0 1. 5 0. 9 2. 2 3. 1 8. 3 11. 9 10. 0 9. 7 9. 5 8. 2 10. 5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Credit Cards Overdraft Account 117. 3 18. 4 0. 2 2. 5 3. 8 Others Payroll Loans 8 3. 0 2. 3 3. 8 7. 6 CAGR (%): 32. 0 17. 6 39. 7 85. 9 1. 4 Car Loans

Businesses loan portfolio almost reaching R$ 100 billion. . . 97. 2 R$ billion

Businesses loan portfolio almost reaching R$ 100 billion. . . 97. 2 R$ billion 34. 9 65. 5 51. 9 33. 4 13. 2 38. 5 23. 1 2004 2005 18. 3 62. 3 33. 6 2006 Middle and Large Companies 9 27. 6 24. 6 15. 4 20. 2 CAGR (%): 30. 6 40. 9 2007 SME 2008 32. 5

. . . and the Agribusiness credit growth is followed by the intensive use

. . . and the Agribusiness credit growth is followed by the intensive use of risk mitigators. 63. 7 51. 9 R$ billion 45. 1 35. 8 30. 1 2004 2005 Businesses Individuals 10 Crop 08/09 14% 4% 11% 69% 11. 7 8. 5 4. 2 30. 5 Contracted Crop 08/09 18. 5 5. 3 25. 9 Agri Insurance 36. 6 2006 40. 2 2007 45. 2 2008 31% 58% 13% Agricultural Costs Insured Livestock Costs Not Insured Investment Marketing Agroindustrial Costs

The expressive growth in funding allowed business expansion. 20. 9 19. 1 19. 8

The expressive growth in funding allowed business expansion. 20. 9 19. 1 19. 8 19. 6 19. 91 362. 6 14. 3 R$ billion 52. 0 45. 8 55. 0 160. 1 5. 8 31. 1 168. 2 5. 5 32. 8 29. 0 35. 8 44. 5 30. 5 49. 7 63. 5 76. 9 85. 5 2004 2005 2006 2007 Market Share - % Time Deposits 11 208. 1 5. 2 36. 7 260. 6 5. 6 1 As of sep/2008 51. 3 CAGR (%): 22. 7 25. 3 91. 4 40. 1 49. 3 13. 7 17. 4 72. 3 19. 7 Open Market Demand Deposits 149. 8 2008 Saving Deposits Others 31. 8

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 12 Businesses leverage boost Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

Loan Portfolio increase with maintenance of quality. . . 4. 3 4. 7 5.

Loan Portfolio increase with maintenance of quality. . . 4. 3 4. 7 5. 0 3. 7 3. 6 6, 800 5, 743 5, 378 4, 527 3, 531 6. 6 5. 8 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Provision Expenses/Loan Portfolio¹ - % Provision Expenses - R$ million 5. 1 2. 8 3. 4 2. 1 2. 0 2004 13 1 Average Loan Portfolio 2 Net of Recovery 2005 6. 4 5. 4 2. 9 2. 7 2. 4 1. 1 1. 4 6. 1 2. 5 2006 2007 2008 Additional + Required Provision / Loan Portfolio - % Past Due Loans + 90 days / Loan Portfolio - % Losses² / Loan Portfolio - %

. . . confirmed by delinquency levels, lower than Banking Industry. Businesses Delinquency¹ -

. . . confirmed by delinquency levels, lower than Banking Industry. Businesses Delinquency¹ - % 3. 9 3. 5 3. 7 2. 4 3. 4 2. 2 2. 0 1. 8 Dec/04 4. 3 Dec/05 Past Due 90 BI 3. 7 3. 2 2. 7 3. 3 2. 9 2. 4 Dec/06 Past Due 90 BB 1. 8 2. 0 1. 7 Dec/07 Past Due 15 BI 16. 4 Dec/08 Past Due 15 BB Individuals Delinquency¹ - % 13. 9 13. 8 12. 0 9. 9 12. 9 1 Contracted operations loan as reference for interest rate 9. 6 7. 6 6. 2 6. 7 Dec/04 Dec/05 Past Due 90 BI 13. 0 10. 5 8. 5 14 14. 7 6. 3 Dec/06 Past Due 90 BB 7. 0 6. 3 Dec/07 Past Due 15 BI 9. 6 8. 1 5. 9 Dec/08 Past Due 15 BB

2005’s Vintage¹ presented the highest delinquency rate Delinquency 90 days Highest Rate in 2005

2005’s Vintage¹ presented the highest delinquency rate Delinquency 90 days Highest Rate in 2005 = 6. 5% Months Annual Vintage Analysis (since 2005) Client Risk: A. B. C. D and E Delinquency: 90 days 15 1 Individual Loan Operations except overdraft account, credit cards and car loans

Agribusiness delinquency has shown lower delinquency levels than provisions. Agribusiness Delinquency - % 7.

Agribusiness delinquency has shown lower delinquency levels than provisions. Agribusiness Delinquency - % 7. 4 7. 0 6. 1 5. 3 2. 2 4. 0 2. 0 1. 5 Dec/04 Dec/05 Past Due 90 BB Dec/06 1. 9 Dec/07 1. 8 Equalization Revenues – R$ million Dec/08 307 Required Provision/Loan Portfolio 287 140 1, 531 16 408 497 2004 2005 1, 351 821 2006 Equalization Revenues 2007 Weightening Factors 2008

Schedule 1 Businesses leverage boost 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for

Schedule 1 Businesses leverage boost 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 17 Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

The great diversity of BB’s loan portfolio and its huge client base allows the

The great diversity of BB’s loan portfolio and its huge client base allows the growth of non-financial income. . . Fee Income R$ billion 7. 6 6. 6 2004 2005 8. 9 2006 Accounts - million 9. 9 10. 5 24. 4 1. 4 25. 7 1. 6 20. 8 23. 0 24. 2 25. 7 28. 5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 22. 1 1. 4 2007 2008 Individuals Asset Management R$ billion 124. 0 153. 5 220. 1 2004 2005 Businesses Revenues - Debit and Credit Cards 246. 3 R$ billion 64. 3 182. 7 24. 8 18 2006 2007 30. 4 1. 9 27. 4 1. 7 2008 2004 30. 3 2005 38. 6 2006 49. 1 2007 2008

. . . with an emphasis on non-banking businesses. R$ million Cards – Added

. . . with an emphasis on non-banking businesses. R$ million Cards – Added Value 3, 607 2, 338 1, 940 1, 543 Insurance - Added Value 974 1, 511 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 720 2004 19 889 2005 1, 130 1, 209 2006 2007 2008

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 20 Businesses leverage boost Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

Banco do Brasil cost income ratio approaches the level of private banks. . .

Banco do Brasil cost income ratio approaches the level of private banks. . . Coverage Ratio 1 - % 127. 7 93. 1 102. 3 112. 9 124. 5 Efficiency Ratio 2 - % 54. 2 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2004 1 Fee Income / Personnel Expenses 21 2 Administrative Expenses / Operating Income (without one-off itens) 48. 1 47. 5 46. 2 45. 3 2005 2006 2007 2008

. . . with recurring productivity gains. . . Assets per Collaborator – R$

. . . with recurring productivity gains. . . Assets per Collaborator – R$ million Deposits per branch – R$ million 62. 4 5. 2 3. 9 2. 7 47. 0 3. 2 31. 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2004 22 234 243 2004 2005 278 2006 2007 2005 40. 0 2006 2007 2008 Loan per branch – R$ million Clients per Collaborator 301 35. 4 51. 8 313 2008 23. 8 25. 6 2004 2005 33. 5 2006 40. 1 2007 2008

. . . resultant from the mix of intensive tecnology and BB’s distribution network.

. . . resultant from the mix of intensive tecnology and BB’s distribution network. Employees - thousand 79. 7 2004 83. 8 2005 82. 7 2006 81. 9 2007 Points of Service - thousand 89. 0 2008 14. 5 14. 8 15. 1 15. 3 16. 0 3. 7 3. 9 4. 0 4. 3 10. 7 10. 9 11. 1 11. 3 11. 6 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Others ATMs - thousand 23 Branches Transaction in Automated Channels - % 39. 0 40. 2 39. 7 39. 3 39. 7 88. 4 89. 2 90. 0 91. 3 91. 1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 24 Businesses leverage boost Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

BB has incorporated in its businesses sustainable principles. . . Training Hours 1 7,

BB has incorporated in its businesses sustainable principles. . . Training Hours 1 7, 344 thousand hours 3, 759 4, 071 4 Q 07 1 Q 08 4, 888 2 Q 08 Employees Turnover - % 5, 440 3 Q 08 4 Q 08 Loan Porfolio - BB Florestal R$ million 150. 3 163. 1 177. 0 1. 19 193. 6 217. 2 4 Q 07 0. 84 0. 86 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 0. 77 3 Q 08 4 Q 08 Loan Portfolio - BB Produção Orgânica 8. 0 R$ million 5. 3 5. 1 4. 9 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 3. 3 25 4 Q 07 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 3 Q 08 1 Hours accumulated in the last 12 months 4 Q 08 4 Q 07 4 Q 08

. . . reflecting in the company’s daily routine the concern with eco -efficiency

. . . reflecting in the company’s daily routine the concern with eco -efficiency practices. Water Comsumption / Employee Main Building (m 3) 28. 1 4 Q 07 26. 4 1 Q 08 25. 7 24. 3 23. 2 2 Q 08 3 Q 08 4 Q 08 Transactions without use of paper - % 35. 0 26 4 Q 07 White Paper Comsumption / Client (g) 133. 5 128. 5 125. 9 120. 0 116. 5 4 Q 07 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 3 Q 08 4 Q 08 Use of Toner (thousand units)1 37. 8 38. 3 39. 8 38. 6 22. 5 22. 4 22. 8 23. 1 22. 4 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 3 Q 08 4 Q 07 1 Q 08 2 Q 08 3 Q 08 4 Q 08 1 Reconditioned cartridges

Growth, effective risk management, diversification, productivity gains, compose BB’s business model. . . Boost

Growth, effective risk management, diversification, productivity gains, compose BB’s business model. . . Boost of businesses operations 1 6. 70 2004 6. 84 2005 6. 59 2006 6. 27 2007 New scenario for Fee Income 3 5. 51 2008 Stability in Delinquency 2 2. 82 3. 11 3. 24 2. 98 2. 41 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Continued evolution of cost income Ratio 4 4. 85 27 1. 51 1. 84 2. 09 1. 62 1. 56 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 Net Interest Income / Earning Assets 2004 3 Fee Income / Earning Assets 2 Allowance for loan losses / Earning Assets 4 Administrative Expenses / Earning Assets 4. 98 2005 4. 69 2006 4. 01 3. 36 2007 2008

. . . that allows BB to assume the commitment to generate value to

. . . that allows BB to assume the commitment to generate value to shareholders. . . 2. 6 2. 2 1. 8 1. 7 2. 1 1. 3 1. 4 1. 3 1. 5 507. 3 367. 2 239. 0 253. 0 296. 4 22. 8 2005 Assets 1 2006 2007 - R$ billion 28 26. 1 22. 2 22. 5 6. 0 2008 3. 0 2004 24. 7 8. 8 5. 9 4. 2 3. 4 3. 7 5. 1 2005 2006 2007 Recurring Net Income 1 Financial Consolidated 19. 5 R$ billion Recurring Return over Assets ROA 32. 5 26. 8 23. 0 CAGR: 20. 7% 2004 32. 1 6. 7 2008 Recurring Return on Equity - %

… which is also seen in our 2009 commitments. Domestic Credit Portfolio Net Interest

… which is also seen in our 2009 commitments. Domestic Credit Portfolio Net Interest Margin Domestic Credit Portfolio Individuals: 23% - 25% 6. 8% - 7. 2% Total: 13% - 17% Companies: 16% - 19% Agribusiness: 2% - 5% Fee Income Recurring ROE Total Deposits 5% - 8% 19% - 22% 10% - 14% Administrative Expenses Tax Rate 9% - 12% 26% - 29% Allowance for Loan Losses 3. 8% - 4. 2% 29

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4

Schedule 1 2 Stabilization of loan delinquency 3 New scenario for Fee Income 4 30 Businesses leverage boost Continued upgrade in productivity levels 5 Sustainable Businesses 6 What’s next?

Relating to credit, we foresee… Individuals Companies Payroll Loans • BNDES disbursement leadership. •

Relating to credit, we foresee… Individuals Companies Payroll Loans • BNDES disbursement leadership. • Leverage the public servant customer base from payroll purchases and state banks acquisitions. • Capital Markets structure strengthening. • Operational activities specialization and centralization. Auto Loans • Synergic join venture with Banco Votorantim aiming at auto loans market share growth. 31 • Increase share in the credit cooperative market. • Keep up as SME’s main partner.

5% mortgage market share by 2013. Disbursements 2 - R$ billion 30 361 Business

5% mortgage market share by 2013. Disbursements 2 - R$ billion 30 361 Business opportunities 291 18 • • 10 3 5 Assets growth Income fees increase Customer base expansion and fidelity Companies financing 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 105 Mortgage- % GDP 17 14 11 4 2 China Argentina Brazil 26 France USA 36 Italy 2 Banking Industry - Savings 43 Japan 1 Estimates Portugal 32 England Source: ABECIP Netherlands 50 Chile 69 Germany 75

Banco do Brasil’s Agribusiness market share maintenance. Opportunities • Recovery of international demand •

Banco do Brasil’s Agribusiness market share maintenance. Opportunities • Recovery of international demand • Strong domestic market • Production raise capacity • USA subsidies decrease • Agro-energy Banco do Brasil’s Guidelines Maintain Market Leadership Grow Agro book but decrease its share in BB’s total credit portfolio Increase risk mitigators use Brazilian Production Growth 1 Soybean Corn Meat 33 + 34. 7% + 25. 0% + 51. 1% 1 Source: MAPA, Crop 2018/2019 expected growth in relation to Crop 2007/2008 Reduce over rolled book Keep operations under reserve requirements level Agro book mostly with controlled rates Focus on short term operations Improve Agro book risk Social-environmental Responsibility

Active role in the Foreign Trade with efficiency gains. 2009 Estimates Foreign Exchange US$

Active role in the Foreign Trade with efficiency gains. 2009 Estimates Foreign Exchange US$ 73 billion Financing US$ 17 billion Initiatives BB • Online Foreign Trade / Digital Signature Exporting US$ 44 billion 28% share Exporting US$ 14 billion • Documents Digitalization / Electronic File • International Trade Bureau • Vanguard in Foreign Trade Credit Card Importing US$ 29 billion 25% share 34 Importing US$ 3 billion • Consult and training in international business

Cards’ Market Opportunities: 22% market share by 2014. Cards’ Market Billing Potential with the

Cards’ Market Opportunities: 22% market share by 2014. Cards’ Market Billing Potential with the perspective of market share increase by BB 15. 6% Share BB - 22% 2014 Share BB – 17% 900 867 R$ billion 446 375 159 04 35 200 05 245 • Platform integrated to banking services granting more synergy with check account. • Replacement of other payment 302 means. • Low income customers attractions. it 07 • Multiple Functions Card. • Access to a different kinds of credit 741 l 630 be a L te 532 a iv Pr bit e D Cred 06 Initiatives BB 08 09 1 Souerce: ABECS, BCG/BB analysis. 10 11 12 13 14

Insurance: doubled by 2013 following market expansion. Expected market by 2013: Insurance ( %

Insurance: doubled by 2013 following market expansion. Expected market by 2013: Insurance ( % GDP ) - 2006 Ranking Capitalization - R$11 billion Supplementary Pension Plan - R$68 billion 17. 4 Auto - R$32 billion Life - R$18 billion 11. 2 Health - R$12 billion 10. 5 8. 9 7. 5 BB Initiatives 7. 0 36 3. 2 2. 8 Chile Brazil India Italy USA Germany • Grow partnerships Japan • Grow selling through call center and Internet France • Grow cross-selling in traditional means England • Intensify selling through brokerages Spain 5. 3 4. 9

Processes optimization due to improvements in technology and back-office model seeking productivity gains Back-office

Processes optimization due to improvements in technology and back-office model seeking productivity gains Back-office model restructuring and IT platform modernization 37 Back-office Modernization of BB’s Mainframe platform creation ATM Network, the structure and all around Brazil largest of Latin America processing revision Digitalization of all documents, including the pre-existing ones Linux install in all automated teller machines New data ware center

Business management generate sustainable results. Agenda 21 Social Processes, Products and Services Economic Credit

Business management generate sustainable results. Agenda 21 Social Processes, Products and Services Economic Credit and Socio -environmental analysis Environmental Eco-efficiency Transparency Program GRI Sustainability in BB’s businesses. 3, 000 2, 500 2, 100 1, 700 1, 211 1, 300 Regional Sustainable Development 726 Families Involved - thousands 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 231 2006 38 2005 71

Customers Return Expansion Distribution Alternative Means Wide Distribution Network Diverse Product Portfolio Customers New

Customers Return Expansion Distribution Alternative Means Wide Distribution Network Diverse Product Portfolio Customers New Products Portfolio + + 48 million 9 million Organic Growth 1 8. 2% a. a. Ease Access ATMs 39 1 Check Accounts CAGR since 2004 New Technologies

Investor Relations Unit SBS - Quadra 1 - Bloco C - Ed. Sede III

Investor Relations Unit SBS - Quadra 1 - Bloco C - Ed. Sede III - 5 th floor 70073 -901 Brasília (DF) Phone: (61) 3310 3980 Fax: (61) 3310 3735 bb. com. br ri@bb. com. br For further information access bb. com. br/ri 40