The threedimensional structure of convective storms Thorwald Stein

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The three-dimensional structure of convective storms Thorwald Stein (t. h. m. stein@reading. ac. uk)

The three-dimensional structure of convective storms Thorwald Stein (t. h. m. stein@reading. ac. uk) Robin Hogan John Nicol Robert Plant Peter Clark Kirsty Hanley Carol Halliwell Humphrey Lean (UK Met Office)

The DYMECS approach: beyond case studies Track storms in real time and automatically scan

The DYMECS approach: beyond case studies Track storms in real time and automatically scan Chilbolton radar NIMROD radar network rainfall Evaluate these properties in model varying: Resolution Microphysics scheme Sub-grid turbulence parametrization Derive properties of hundreds of storms on ~40 days: Vertical velocity 3 D structure Rain & hail Ice water content TKE & dissipation rate

40 d. BZ ce no rth (k m) 20 d. BZ Distance east (km)

40 d. BZ ce no rth (k m) 20 d. BZ Distance east (km) Dista n Radar reflectivity (d. BZ) Storm structure from radar

Median storm diameter with height Observations UKV 1500 m Drizzle from nowhere? “Shallow” “Deep”

Median storm diameter with height Observations UKV 1500 m Drizzle from nowhere? “Shallow” “Deep” Lack of anvils? 200 m

Vertical profiles of reflectivity 1. 5 -km + graupel Conditioned on average reflectivity at

Vertical profiles of reflectivity 1. 5 -km + graupel Conditioned on average reflectivity at 200 -1000 m below 0 o. C. Reflectivity distributions for profiles with this mean Z 40 -45 d. BZ are shown. Model: High rainfall rate from 200 -m shallow storms. 500 -m Or ice cloud d. BZ<0 Observations

Missing anvils? • Define anvil as cloud above 6 km with diameter larger than

Missing anvils? • Define anvil as cloud above 6 km with diameter larger than storm diameter at 3 km. • More than 40% of storms above 6 km have anvil (model and observations). Observations UKV 1500 m z 6 3 T=0 o. C R 200 m A selection of individual profiles shows anvil factors will be small (close to 1)

Missing anvils? • Define anvil as cloud above 6 km with diameter larger than

Missing anvils? • Define anvil as cloud above 6 km with diameter larger than storm diameter at 3 km. PDF of anvil factor Dmax/D 3 km z Dmax 6 3 T=0 o. C R

Updraft retrieval • Hogan et al. (2008) – Track features in radial velocity from

Updraft retrieval • Hogan et al. (2008) – Track features in radial velocity from scan to scan Chapman & Browning (1998) – In quasi-2 D features (e. g. squall lines) can assume continuity to estimate vertical velocity