NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT NAME An internationally coordinated

NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT (NAME) An internationally coordinated, joint US-Mexico process study aimed at improving warm season precipitation prediction over North America. Dr. Wayne Higgins Lead Scientist for NAME and Principal Climate Scientist National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center Camp Spring, Maryland NAME Homepage: http: //www. joss. ucar. edu/name

WHO IS INVOLVED IN NAME 2004? Ø The NAME 04 Field Campaign involves researchers from more than 30 universities, government laboratories and federal agencies in several countries (United States, Mexico, Belize, Costa Rica). Ø The NAME Forecast Operations Centers (Tucson, AZ & Mexico City, MX), involve more than 40 forecasters (NWS, USAF, SMN, private, and retired). There at least 15 WFO’s and 4 NCEP Centers (CPC, HPC, SPC, TPC) that are providing forecasters, forecast assistance and / or special launches. Ø The NAME Science Working Group (responsible for implementing NAME science) involves 19 senior scientists from the US, Mexico and Central America Ø The NAME Project Office (UCAR/JOSS, Boulder, CO) provides scientific, technical and administrative support services to NAME 04. 2

PARTICIPATING AGENCIES AND INSTITUTES 3

IMPLICATIONS FOR DROUGHT MONITORING AND PREDICTION Ø NAME will improve warm season precipitation forecasts (short range, monthly, seasonal) over North America; Ø Improved warm season precipitation forecasts are of tremendous value (e. g. in areas where water is relatively scarce, such as the Desert Southwest); Ø This year much of the western United States is facing drought conditions. NAME will deliver models that are more capable of anticipating droughts months to seasons in advance. 4

WHAT IS THE NAME 2004 FIELD CAMPAIGN? The NAME 2004 Field Campaign is an unprecedented opportunity to gather extensive atmospheric, oceanic, and landsurface observations in the core region of the North American Monsoon over NW Mexico, SW United States, and adjacent oceanic areas. 5

NAME 2004 INSTRUMENT PLATFORMS The NAME 2004 Field Campaign will gather data from more than 20 different types of instrument platforms, including: • Surface Met Stations (84 in Mexico) • Radars (SMN, NCAR S-POL) • Wind Profilers (NCAR ISS’s and NOAA/ETL & AL) • Radiosondes / PIBALS • Rain gauge Networks (event logging; cooperative) • Aircraft (NOAA P-3) • Research Vessels (R/V Altair and R/V Francisco de Ulloa) • Satellite Data (JCSDA) • Soil Moisture Sensors & Remote Sensing • GPS Precipitable Water 6

NAME TEACHERS IN THE FIELD Ø NAME will have two “Teachers in the Field” Rhonda Feher is an elementary school teacher from Kayenta, Arizona. Her school is located on the Navajo Nation reservation. Selection of a teacher from Mexico is in progress Ø NAME Teachers in the Field will participate in NAME aircraft, ship and FOC activities, will do live broadcasts into the classroom, and will help develop NAME teaching materials. 7

NAME EDUCATION MODULE (K-12) NAME is compiling an Education Module for K-12. The Module will be completed by 31 August in time for FY 05 school year. The North American Monsoon Table of Contents • Why Predict the Monsoon? • What is a Monsoon? • A Case Study • Monsoons and Climate • Learning from the Past • Winds, Precipitation, and Food • When the Winds Reverse • How the Land Sea Affect the Monsoon • Global Consequences of Monsoons • Monsoon Prediction • How Predictions are Used: An Example 8 • Looking Ahead

U. S. Forecast Operations Center Erik Pytlak, U. S. Forecast Operations Center Science and Operations Officer NOAA National Weather Service, Tucson Dr. Robert Maddox Adjunct Professor, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences University of Arizona 9

SCHEDULE The NAME 2004 Field Campaign will occur during June-September 2004, with Intensive Observing Periods (as conditions warrant) during July 1 – August 15, 2004 ØEnhanced Observation Period (EOP): June 21 - August 31 ØTucson, AZ FOC Forecast Support Begins: June 6 ØFull Platform Deployment: July 1 -August 15 ØFull FOC Forecast Support: July 1 -August 19 ØScience Director Rotation: June 21 – August 31 ØMonitoring Director Rotation: June 6 – August 31 ØIntense Observing Periods (IOP’s): 20 days during EOP ØMost likely to be concentrated in July 10

SUMMARY Ø NAME 2004 is a major field campaign scheduled during June. September 2004, with intensive observing periods during July 1 – August 15, 2004 Ø NAME 2004 involves more than 30 universities, government labs and federal agencies in the United States, Mexico, Belize and Costa Rica. Ø NAME will deliver: • Observing system design for monitoring and predicting the North American monsoon (includes sustained observations); • More comprehensive understanding of North American summer climate variability and predictability; • Strengthened scientific collaboration across Pan-America; • Measurably improved climate models that predict North American summer precipitation months to seasons in advance. 11