Social and Employment Policies European Economic Integration Oldich

Social and Employment Policies European Economic Integration Oldřich Dědek Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University

Components of social policy n Labour market regulation q q q n Social expenditures q q q n Direct payments (old-age pensions, disabled and health benefits, housing subsidies, etc. ) Insurance arrangements (unemployment benefits, sickness benefits, etc. ) Active labour market policies (wage subsidies, retraining, etc. ) Relationship between workers and employers (industrial relations) q q q n Employment conditions (job protection, working hours, vacation days, minimum wages, etc. ) Equal treatment of men and women Young employees Wage bargaining Extensions of collective agreements Codetermination (representation of workers in company boards) Subsidiarity test q What role in social policy should be assigned to the European level? 2

Distribution of income between labour and capital w b MPL a L n MPL … marginal product of labour q q q a + b … value of total production a … payment to labour b … payment to capital (residual variable) 3

Benefits from labour market liberalisation w. H w. FM MPLH Migration a b c MPLF e d LFM LH n n n w. FM w. F LF Effects on home economy: losses for labour (a), gains for capital (a+b), total net gain = b Effects on foreign economy: gains for migrating (c+d) and nonmigrating labour (e), losses for capital (d+e) total net gain = c Convergence of wages and unemployment rates in home and foreign countries 4

Market rigidities n n Working conditions are highly regulated by law and collective bargaining Market failures q q q n Broader social considerations q n Abuse of excessive market power wage distortions created by dominant firms and dominant trade unions Information asymmetries difficulties in proper monitoring of labour contracts, individual work effort, contributions to productivity, etc. Negative externalities impact of work professions on health and job security Equal education opportunities and decent working conditions are seen as human rights, different ability of people to perform in LM, high unemployment increases crime and insecurity, losing job affects whole family Social dumping argument q q q Incentives of firms to locate in countries with lowest cost of social protection Countries with higher social standards may be forced to reduce these standards Worries about the „race to bottom“ 5

Labour market concepts n Working age (N) = Labour force (L) + Drop-outs (O) q q n Labour force (L)= Employed (E) + Unemployed (U) q q n n Unemployed people have no job but are actively looking for one Black market is part of U whereas it should be in E Unemployment = Involuntary + Voluntary q n Working age = 15 - 65 years-old People discouraged by searching are counted in O whereas they should be in L Involuntary U = people willing to work but cannot find a job Voluntary U = people refusing to work under given wages Participation rate = p = L / N = 1 – O / N Unemployment rate = u = U / L Employment rate = E / L = 1 - u 6

Voluntary and involuntary unemployment A* w 0 S 0 A 0 N A 1 w 1 D 0 D 1 VU 0 E 0 = L 0 E 1 = L 1 E* n n VU 1 IU* VU* In fully flexible markets the downward shift in D results in lower wages and no unemployment (all unemployment is voluntary) In rigid markets the downward shift in D causes involuntary unemployment 7

Characteristics of European labour markets n n US economy as a benchmark European labour markets are inflexible and rigid Relatively high unemployment rates q q n High rate of long-term unemployment q q n n People out of work for one year of more Labour markets do not allow people to find jobs easily Relatively low participation rates q n General tendency towards higher unemployment rates unrelated to business cycle fluctuations Difficult recovery from adverse shocks Large segments of population do not work (unemployed, not trying to find a job, participation in black market) Aging of European population Dilemmas of LM reforms q q q Pursuing greater flexibility is met with resistance and augments feeling of social insecurity Further constraints are imposed by low-growth climate and concerns about sustainability of public finances How to reform and be re-elected? 8

Typology of European social models n Nordic (Denmark, Finland, Sweden, Netherlands) q q q n Anglo-Saxon (Ireland, UK) q q q n Large safety net with basic level of benefits, moderate redistribution Active labour market polices, tough conditioning of benefits Relatively pronounced inequality of incomes, „working poor“ phenomenon Continental (Austria, Belgium, France, Germany) q q q n High taxation and social spending, strong redistribution Soft hiring and firing regulation coupled with generous unemployment benefits (flexicurity) Active labour market policies Considerable social spending, moderate redistribution Wide role of collective agreements Strict employment regulation, generous unemployment benefits Mediterranean (Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain) q q q Social spending focused on pensions (prominent early retirement) Strict employment protection, low unemployment benefits Compressed wage structures 9

EU social policy n Obstacles to EU social policy q q n Huge differences in national welfare systems Different ideological conceptions about the role of the state in the economy Different socio-economic traditions in individual member states Unwillingness of member state to give up national sovereignty Perspectives of EU social policy q q q Employment policies are going to remain almost entirely in the hands of MS EU social policy can only serve as a complement to national measures Huge gap between European rhetoric and what the EU level is exactly doing in social issues 10

Evolution of EU social policy (1) n Early years q q q n Ambitious objectives set out in Rome Treaty: free movement of workers, improvement in working conditions and standards of living, equal opportunities for men and women High growth and low unemployment in 1960 s did not press on fixed timetable for actions Principal EEC activity was concentrated on coordination of national security systems with the aim to facilitate free movement of labour Development of internal market was seen as a key instrument for achieving RT goals Establishment of European Social Fund (low profile, lack of flexile programmes, replacement of national financing) European Social Charter q q q Adopted by Council of Europe in 1961 (Co. E is not EU institution) International agreement about social and economic human rights (housing, health, education, employment, social protection, free movement of persons, non-discrimination) Starting point for future harmonization of national social policies in EEC countries 11

Social Charter n n n The improvement of living and working conditions The right to freedom of movement The right to employment with adequate remuneration The right to social protection The right to freedom and collective bargaining The right to vocational training The right of men and women to equal treatment The right to information, consultation and worker participation The right to health, protection and safety at the workplace The protection of children and adolescents The protection of elderly persons Specific measures for disabled people 12

Evolution of EU social policy (2) n Social Dimension to Single Market (1985 -92) q q n Social cohesion is necessary for correcting negative impacts of increased competition and deregulation on the weaker and more vulnerable regions and sections of population Fears of social dumping minimum social standards for working conditions, health and safety European Social Space q q q Vision advocated by the president of EC Jacques Delors Social dialogue: involvement of social partners in the EC decision -making process that affects the life of consumers and citizens, prominent role of EESC (European Economic and Social Committee) Social Charter (Community Charter of the Fundamental Social Rights of Workers): non-binding declaration about social rights of workers (not accepted by UK – excessive regulation undermining competitiveness and employment) Europe of the citizens: idea of bringing Community closer to the people European Company Statute: unified set of rules, management and reporting provisions for safeguarding workers’ rights 13

Schengen Agreement n Schengen Area q q q n Schengen group q q n Founded in 1985: Benelux countries, France, Germany Elimination of border controls and removal of all control on people when they cross frontiers between Schengen countries Safeguard clause: reinstatement of controls in case of serious threat to public policy, public health or public security EU members except for UK, Ireland, Cyprus, blocking accession of Romania and Bulgaria Some non EU members (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) Provisions q q Schengen Information System (access to data files on persons, stolen or lost vehicles, bank notes, official documents, etc. ) Common rules and procedures for checks at external borders Increased cooperation between customs authorities Common list of countries requiring visas 14

Evolution of EU social policy (3) n Social Chapter of Maastricht Treaty (1985 -92) q q q n Amsterdam Treaty q q q n Idea of balancing price stability in EMU with an explicit priority for high level of employment Legal basis for European Employment Strategy as a new major area for EU policy Substantial parts of Social Charter incorporated in the Treaty Nice Treaty q n Intention to incorporate the Social Charter into the MT Strong opposition of UK Thatcher government (policy reversed under Blair administration) Social Chapter added as a separate protocol European Social Agenda: promotion of employment, improvement of living and working conditions, appropriate level of social protection, dialogue with social partners, development of human resources, measures to combat exclusion Lisbon Treaty q q Legally binding reference to the Social Charter (UK and Poland obtained opt-out) Authority of Commission to support and complement activities of MS in selected social areas (working conditions, social security, collective actions, combating social exclusion, etc. ) 15

European Employment Strategy n Underlying idea q n Objectives q q n Structural problems in European labour markets require collective action through more coordination and convergence of labour policies Improving employability through active labour market policies (training for young and long-term unemployed, keep unemployed in touch with labour market, etc. ) Encouraging adaptability of business and their employees (unionnegotiated work reorganization) Strengthening policies for equal opportunities (between men and women, job opportunities for disabled) Developing entrepreneurship (deregulation and simplification of market access for small firms) Europe 2020 quantitative targets related to EES q q q 75 % of people aged 20 -64 in work School dropouts rates below 10 % At least 40 % of 30 -34 year-olds completing third-level education 16

Unemployment rates during the crisis period 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2011 European Union (EU-27) 8, 3 7, 2 7, 1 9, 0 9, 7 10, 5 Eurozone 8, 5 7, 6 9, 6 10, 1 10, 2 11, 4 Eurozone members 7, 5 7, 0 Belgium 8, 3 7, 9 8, 3 7, 2 7, 6 Estonia 5, 9 4, 6 5, 5 13, 8 16, 9 12, 5 10, 2 Finland 7, 7 6, 9 6, 4 8, 2 8, 4 7, 8 7, 7 France 9, 2 8, 4 7, 8 9, 5 9, 7 9, 6 10, 2 Ireland 4, 5 4, 7 6, 4 12, 0 13, 9 14, 7 Italy 6, 8 6, 1 6, 7 7, 8 8, 4 10, 7 Cyprus 4, 6 3, 9 3, 7 5, 4 6, 3 7, 9 11, 9 Luxemburg 4, 6 4, 2 4, 9 5, 1 4, 6 4, 8 5, 1 Malta 6, 9 6, 5 6, 0 6, 9 6, 5 6, 4 10, 3 8, 7 7, 5 7, 8 7, 1 5, 9 5, 5 Netherlands 4, 4 3, 6 3, 1 3, 7 4, 5 4, 4 5, 3 Portugal 8, 6 8, 9 8, 5 10, 6 12, 0 12, 9 15, 9 Austria 4, 8 4, 4 3, 8 4, 4 4, 2 4, 3 Greece 8, 9 8, 3 7, 7 9, 5 12, 6 17, 7 24, 3 Slovakia 13, 5 11, 2 9, 6 12, 1 14, 5 13, 6 14, 0 Slovenia 6, 0 4, 9 4, 4 5, 9 7, 3 8, 2 8, 9 Spain 8, 5 8, 3 11, 3 18, 0 20, 1 21, 7 25, 0 Bulgaria Non-Eurozone members 9, 0 6, 9 5, 6 6, 8 10, 3 11, 3 12, 3 Czech Republic 7, 1 5, 3 4, 4 6, 7 7, 3 6, 7 7, 0 Denmark 3, 9 3, 8 3, 4 6, 0 7, 5 7, 6 7, 5 Lithuania 5, 2 3, 8 5, 3 13, 6 18, 0 15, 3 13, 3 Latvia 7, 3 6, 5 8, 0 18, 2 19, 8 16, 2 14, 9 Hungary 7, 5 7, 4 7, 8 10, 0 11, 2 10, 9 13, 9 9, 6 7, 1 8, 1 9, 7 10, 1 Rumania 7, 3 6, 4 5, 8 6, 9 7, 3 7, 4 7, 0 Sweden 7, 1 6, 2 8, 3 8, 6 7, 8 8, 0 United Kingdom 5, 4 5, 3 5, 6 7, 8 8, 0 7, 9 Germany Poland 17

Challenges of deeper monetary integration n Labour mobility was identified as one of prerequisites of optimum currency area (Mundell criterion) q q q n Loss in competitiveness caused by excessive wage growth cannot be compensated through exchange rate devaluation Without the exchange rate a country must undergo painful internal devaluation – restoration of competitiveness through depressed wage costs that unavoidably triggers recession Benefits of labour mobility: reallocation of labour from high unemployment country to low unemployment country following asymmetric shock avoids the need for prices and wages to change Complex nature of migration q q q Economic incentives: wage gap, employment possibilities Non-economic aspects: linguistic and cultural links, geographical proximity, family networks Possible negative by-products: social tensions due to cultural differences, increased unemployment in certain jobs in receiving countries, pressures on welfare systems, impact on balance of payments due to remittances, increased regional disparities 18