Poisson Regression STA 2101442 Fall 2018 See last

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Poisson Regression STA 2101/442 Fall 2018 See last slide for copyright information

Poisson Regression STA 2101/442 Fall 2018 See last slide for copyright information

Regression: Outcomes are Counts • Poisson process model roughly applies • Examples: Relationship of

Regression: Outcomes are Counts • Poisson process model roughly applies • Examples: Relationship of explanatory variables to – Number of children – Number of typos in a short document – Number of workplace accidents in a short time period – Number of marriages • For large λ, CLT says a normality assumption is okay, but not constant variance • Yes I know, we could stabilize the variance with a square root transformation.

Linear Model for log λ • • log λ = β 0 + β

Linear Model for log λ • • log λ = β 0 + β 1 x 1 + … + βp-1 xp-1 Implicitly for i = 1, …n Everybody in the sample has a different λ=λi Take exponential function of both sides Substitute into Poisson likelihood Maximum likelihood as usual Likelihood ratio tests, etc.

log λ = β 0 + β 1 x 1 + … + βp-1

log λ = β 0 + β 1 x 1 + … + βp-1 xp-1 • Increase xk with everything else held constant, and – Log λ increases by βk – λ is multiplied by eβk

Copyright Information This slide show was prepared by Jerry Brunner, Department of Statistics, University

Copyright Information This slide show was prepared by Jerry Brunner, Department of Statistics, University of Toronto. It is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution - Share. Alike 3. 0 Unported License. Use any part of it as you like and share the result freely. These Powerpoint slides are available from the course website: http: //www. utstat. toronto. edu/brunner/oldclass/appliedf 18