Doug Lipton NOAA Fisheries Chief Economist Lee Anderson

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Doug Lipton NOAA Fisheries Chief Economist Lee Anderson Professor Emeritus University of Delaware Economics

Doug Lipton NOAA Fisheries Chief Economist Lee Anderson Professor Emeritus University of Delaware Economics and the Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries Management: A U. S. Perspective European Commission Trilogue: Economic Advice in Fisheries Management February 4, 2016 Malta

Economic Research vs. Economic Advice • Integration of economics into ecosystem research and models

Economic Research vs. Economic Advice • Integration of economics into ecosystem research and models is developing with some areas of interaction better developed than others (e. g. , water quality & fisheries interactions, multi-species models) • NOAA Integrated Ecosystem Assessment Program • Fishery/Climate Models (e. g. , Bering Sea) • The use of economic advice in informing ecosystem management decisions is limited • Institutions & ecosystem authority is developing

Numerous Modeling Approaches to Incorporate Economics Ecosyste m Models Statistical Models • Atlantis •

Numerous Modeling Approaches to Incorporate Economics Ecosyste m Models Statistical Models • Atlantis • Ecopath/ w. Ecosim • Other? • Portfolio • Other reduced form Agent Based Models Ad-Hoc and Hybrid • Approaches are developing, none have emerged as dominating others, all have strengths and weaknesses. Will need ensemble approach for application to policy. • Funding is limited to advance. Need to leverage from other areas of interest such as climate research, bycatch reduction, etc.

Opportunities to Advance Economic • Advice Maximum Sustainable Yield to Maximum Economic Yield to

Opportunities to Advance Economic • Advice Maximum Sustainable Yield to Maximum Economic Yield to Optimum Yield • National Standard 1 • Allocation of Total Allowable Catch • Among States • Recreational/Commercial • Among Fleets (e. g. small scale & large scale fishing)

Ecosystem Approaches Afford Even Greater Opportunity for Economic Advice • Trade-offs Among Species •

Ecosystem Approaches Afford Even Greater Opportunity for Economic Advice • Trade-offs Among Species • Multi-species Interactions • Predator-prey • Forage • Bycatch • Among Competing Ocean Sectors • Coastal Development (i. e. , pollution) • Oil & Gas, Mining • Transportation

National Marine Fisheries Service Finalizing Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management Policy • Provides for the

National Marine Fisheries Service Finalizing Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management Policy • Provides for the incorporation of economics into the analysis • Explicitly acknowledges the need for economics to analyze trade-offs in management decisions. • Marginal incorporation of ecosystem considerations moves us incrementally towards ecosystem based management with embedded economic analysis.