ASSOCIATION OF RESIDENTIAL LETTING AGENTS The Private Rented

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ASSOCIATION OF RESIDENTIAL LETTING AGENTS The Private Rented Sector in 2025 David Cox, ARLA

ASSOCIATION OF RESIDENTIAL LETTING AGENTS The Private Rented Sector in 2025 David Cox, ARLA Managing Director WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

Rental prices in 2025: • Rents will increase: – 2015 = £ 132 pw

Rental prices in 2025: • Rents will increase: – 2015 = £ 132 pw – 2025 = £ 164 pw – c. 25% increase • Supply will not meet demand: – 4 x as many households as houses – Housing crisis will continue • Depoliticise housing: – Sustained housebuilding programme – Regulatory certainty – Institutional Investors WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

The Landscape to 2020: • No substantive change: – Tinkering around the edges –

The Landscape to 2020: • No substantive change: – Tinkering around the edges – Lots of little changes • Will this solve the problem? – Under resourced and over worked enforcing bodies – Housing Bill changes may go some way • Letting agent regulation: – Highly unlikely with current Government WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

The Corbyn Effect: • Election pledge revamp: – Mandatory 3 Year tenancies – Capping

The Corbyn Effect: • Election pledge revamp: – Mandatory 3 Year tenancies – Capping Rents – Ban on agency fees to tenants • Leadership election policies: – – – WWW. ARLA. CO. UK Security of tenure Strict rent control Rents linked to earnings Landlord regulation Council house building programme

Landlord Licensing: • Wales and Scotland: – Existed in Scotland since 2006 – In

Landlord Licensing: • Wales and Scotland: – Existed in Scotland since 2006 – In force in Wales soon – Influx of discretionary licensing • A National Register of Landlords: – A bureaucratic nightmare; – Or a consistent approach? • London Rental Standard: – This model can work – Make it mandatory WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

Longer Term Tenancies: • Tenancy Reform: – Will 3 -year contracts be the norm?

Longer Term Tenancies: • Tenancy Reform: – Will 3 -year contracts be the norm? – Does Section 21 have a future? • Wales and Scotland: – Complete overhaul of Tenancy Law – The removal of Section 21 • A European Model? – Should we look to Germany? – France’s eviction laws – Lisbon: Crippled by rent control WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

Property Conditions & Rent Control: • What is the priority: – Good quality homes

Property Conditions & Rent Control: • What is the priority: – Good quality homes – Or cheap properties • Market Economics: – House prices are unlikely to reduce – Higher standards increase costs – Rent Control reduces income • Learn the lessons of the past: – Or history will repeat itself! WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

Tax Changes: • Autumn Statement 2014: – SDLT Changes • Finance Bill 2015: –

Tax Changes: • Autumn Statement 2014: – SDLT Changes • Finance Bill 2015: – Mortgage Interest Relief – Wear and Tear Allowance • Changes to Buy-to-Let – Linked BTL to earnings? • Future Tax Changes: – Capital Gains Tax Relief – Taper Relief – Treat landlords as businesses WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

Look for the Logo: You will receive a professional service from a qualified professional

Look for the Logo: You will receive a professional service from a qualified professional but if things go wrong you will get you money back WWW. ARLA. CO. UK

For more Information: Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) Arbon House 6 Tournament Court

For more Information: Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) Arbon House 6 Tournament Court Edgehill Drive Warwick CV 34 6 LG Email: davidcox@arla. co. uk WWW. ARLA. CO. UK