Update Status Key Messages MDGs EDPRS 2 Vision

Update Status & Key Messages: MDGs, EDPRS 2, Vision 2020 Dr. Uzziel NDAGIJIMANA Minister of State in charge of Economic Planning 14 th September 2015 EICV 4 Launch

Key messages from EICV 4 and DHS 5 1. Results of EICV 4 and DHS 5 and previous similar surveys reflect the impact of Rwanda’s inclusive and pro-poor policies and programs: From 2001/2001 to 2013/2014 we can observe a sustained trend in per capita GDP growth (from US$ 211 to US$ 718), in poverty reduction (from 58. 9% to 39. 1%) and in reduction of economic inequalities (Gini Coefficient dropped from 0. 507 to 0. 448) 2. Rwanda has achieved the Millennium Development Goals 3. Rwanda is on track towards achieving EDPRS 2 and Vision 2020 targets 1

Message 1. Sustained Ecosystem of Inclusive and Pro-Poor policies Sustained Growth 8% (Average 2001 – 2014) Social protection (VUP, GIRINKA, Housing. . ) Sustained Poverty Reduction from 58. 9% to 39. 1% (2000/01 -2013/14) Agricultural productivity (seeds, fertilizers) Universal Education Decent Jobs Access to health Care Sustained Reduction in Inequality from 0. 507 to 0. 448 (2000/01 -2013/14) Access to Water, Sanitation, Electricity Rwandans out of poverty 2006 -2011: > 1 million 2011 - 2014: > 650, 000 2

Message 2. Rwanda has achieved MDGs q q q Rwanda has achieved all MDGs at the Goals level All MDGs respective indicators have been met, except the ones on poverty, stunting and waged women employment. Extreme poverty and some health targets have been even exceeded. Goals 1 Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger (Met and exceeded for Extreme Poverty. Challenge remains on Stunting at 38% vs. 24. 5% target and poverty at 39. 1% vs. 30. 2% target) Status Partially met 2 Achieve Universal Primary Education Met 3 Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women Met 4 Reduce Child Mortality Met 5 Improve Maternal Health Met 6 Combat HIV/AIDS. Malaria and Other Diseases Met 7 Ensure Environmental Sustainability Met 3

Assessment of MDGs in Rwanda: Goal 1 & 2 Baseline Target Actual (2000) (2015) (2014) Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger Percentage of Population below the National Poverty Line Percentage of Population below the Extreme Poverty Line 60. 4% 30. 2% 39. 1% 40% 20% 16. 3% Percentage of underweight children under five years. 24. 3% 12. 2% 9% Percentage of under five children stunted 42. 6% 24. 5% 38% Percentage of under five children wasted 6. 8% 2% 2% 72. 6% 100% 96. 8% Goal 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education Net Enrolment Rate (Primary) 4

Assessment of MDGs in Rwanda: Goal 3, 4 & 5 Baseline Target Actual (2000) (2015) (2014) Goal 3: Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary School 1. 00 1. 03 Ratio of Girls to Boys in Secondary School 0. 51 1. 00 1. 12 Share of women in waged employment in the non-agricultural Sector Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality 7. 6% 50% 27. 3% Under Five Mortality per 1, 000 live births 196. 2 50. 1 50 107 35 32 1, 071 268 210 Infant Mortality per 1, 000 live births Goal 5: Improve Maternal Health Maternal Mortality Ratio – deaths per 100, 000 live births 5

Assessment of MDGs in Rwanda: Goal 6 & 7 Baseline Target Actual (2000) (2015) (2014) Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS. Malaria and Other Diseases HIV prevalence rate amongst women 15 -49 & men 15 -54 N/A 1% 15. 9% N/A 5% N/A 3% (2011) 4. 1% (2011) 80. 3% Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source 64. 1% 82% 84. 8% Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility 51. 5% Malaria Proportional Mortality over 5 years of age Proportion of children under five sleeping under an insecticidetreated bed net Goal 7: Ensure Environmental Sustainability 74. 5% 83. 4% 6

Message 3. On track with EDPRS 2 and Vision 2020 targets Indicator Poverty (% of HHs) Extreme Poverty (% of HHs) EDPRS 2 (2018) target Vision 2020 target 30% 20% <10% Eradication 7

Going forward: Job creation q Strengthening implementation of education, skills development, entrepreneurship and job creation programs to tap into the demographic dividend opportunities. q Strengthening implementation of urbanization and rural settlement, including the development of secondary cities to cope with rising demand for jobs that could affect urban poverty. q 146, 000 jobs created annually (2011 -2014): an indication that the EDPRS 2 target of 200, 000 jobs is achievable. q Strengthening partnership with the Private sector for job creation. q New Job creation Joint Imihigo led by MIFOTRA will ensure delivery on job creation targets. 8

Going forward: Malnutrition q Strengthening implementation of the Joint Action Plan to Eliminate Malnutrition (JAPEM). q Continue improving on agriculture productivity. q New Social Protection Joint Imihigo led by MINALOC will ensure delivery on the above action plan. q A new factory of fortified food for children, pregnant and lactating women is expected to start production in 2016. 9

Going forward: Poverty reduction in general q Current policies and programs have yielded good results in poverty reduction and economic growth and should be maintained. q Imihigo new generation will strengthen the implementation of the above policies and programs. q Special focus on monitoring of implementation of social protection programs and poverty graduation process. 10

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