Demand Rises by 10% Should demand rise by 10%: Rewrite demand function costs: TC = 9. 94 q + 15030 demand: p= -. 0035 q + 32. 14 profit=pq-TC profit = (-. 0035 q^2+32. 14 q)-9. 94 q-15030 profit = -. 0035 q^2 +22. 2 q -15030 max profit : 0 = -. 007 q + 22. 2 q = 3171 We revise our profit maximizing production to q = 3171 This changes TC to 46549. 74 Using demand function, p = 21. 0415
Sensitivity Analysis Assuming actual demand was 10% less than reported: Revised demand function costs: TC = 9. 94 q + 15030 demand: p= -. 0035 q + 26. 3 profit=pq-TC profit = (-. 0035 q^2+26. 3 q)-9. 94 q-15030 profit = -. 0035 q^2 +16. 3 q -15030 max profit : 0 = -. 007 q+16. 3 q = 2337 Comparing to our first case, we see that quantity produced was too high and is now revised down to 2337. Reinserting q = 2337 into the demand function we get p = 18. 12. We would have set price too high had we used the optimistic predictions.