Integrating climate projections into State Government decisionmaking Ramona
- Slides: 11
Integrating climate projections into State Government decision-making Ramona Dalla Pozza, Geoff Steendam, Clare Brownridge and Jacqueline Th urgood Department of Environment, Land Water and Planning, Victoria
Victoria’s climate • Victoria’s climate has changed in recent decades, becoming warmer and drier. • These changes are expected to continue in the future. • This presents a significant challenge to Victorian communities, governments, businesses and the environment. • Understanding the drivers and impacts of these changes will help us to plan and adapt. 2
Future climate projections The Victorian Government is investing in climate projections to inform decisions that support a resilient future for Victoria. 3
Bridging the gap between data and decision-making 2100 Temperature Heatwaves Knowledge brokering Extreme rainfall Case studies 1980 2100 Rainfall Bushfire risk Vulnerability assessments Flood risk Coastal inundation Decision support tools 1980 4
Integrating climate projections into decision-making • Our challenge is to provide adequate guidance and support for users to apply these future climate projections to make meaningful decisions. Victoria's future climate mapping tool • Victoria’s Climate Science Report – is an easy to understand explanation of the observed and future changes – available soon. • Developing a mapping tool to visualise the projections data – mid-2020. • But we need to do more… 5
South East Australia Climate Initiative SEACI (2006 – 2012) Victorian Climate Initiative Vic. CI (2013 -2017) Victorian Water and Climate Initiative Vic. Wa. CI (2017 -2020) Outputs during program + Synthesis report late 2020
Focus of water resource research programs 1. Physical process understanding 2. Uncertainties in projections 3. Synthesising the science regionally & for water sector 7
Application – water resources Rosters and restrictions 8
Observed winter rainfall in Victoria has been declining CSIRO, 2019 9
Declines in streamflow past 20+ years Source: DELWP 10
For more information: www. climatechange. vic. gov. au www. water. vic. gov. au climate. science@delwp. vic. gov. au HCS. Team@delwp. vic. gov. au
