YOUTH DEMOGRAPHICS IN THE CITY OF TORONTO Toronto

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YOUTH DEMOGRAPHICS IN THE CITY OF TORONTO Toronto Community and Neighbourhood Services: Social Development

YOUTH DEMOGRAPHICS IN THE CITY OF TORONTO Toronto Community and Neighbourhood Services: Social Development and Administration Division

Toronto’s Population - 2001 • • • The Future Baby Boom Echo Baby Bust

Toronto’s Population - 2001 • • • The Future Baby Boom Echo Baby Bust Baby Boom Pre-Seniors - born 1997 -2001 (aged 0 -4): - born 1981 -1996 (aged 5 -20): - born 1968 -1980 (aged 21 -33): - born 1948 -1967 (aged 34 -53): - born 1937 -1947 (aged 54 -64): - born before 1936 (aged 65+): 5. 8% 18. 7% 20. 3% 31. 4% 10. 2% 13. 6%

Population Projections • Youth population will remain stable over next 30 years (averaging about

Population Projections • Youth population will remain stable over next 30 years (averaging about 21% of the population) • Conversely, seniors will experience significant growth • Working age population (b/ 15 -65) is projected to decline, mostly due to out-migration and aging-out of the labour force • Projected growth shows that youth (15 -29) will increase to nearly 600, 000 by 2031 • Suggests skills shortage and need for replacement workers with appropriate skills

Toronto: Diverse and Multicultural • Almost 1/2 of Toronto residents are foreign born •

Toronto: Diverse and Multicultural • Almost 1/2 of Toronto residents are foreign born • Annually, Toronto receives almost 1/4 of all new arrivals to Canada (60, 000 - 80, 000 new arrivals each year) • Toronto has 1/12 of Canada’s population, but has 1/4 of Canada’s immigrants • International immigration is a major driver of population change in Toronto (these trends are expected to continue)

Youth: Diverse and Multicultural • 202, 065 are immigrant youths (39. 8% of all

Youth: Diverse and Multicultural • 202, 065 are immigrant youths (39. 8% of all youth aged 15 -29) • Contrasts with Canada where the proportion of youth that reported immigrant origin, is much lower • 1 in 5 youth in Toronto speak a language other than English & French at home

 • 213, 630 youth belong to a visible minority (42% of all youth

• 213, 630 youth belong to a visible minority (42% of all youth aged 15 -29) • Proportion contrasts with Canada where 14% of youth belong to a visible minority group

Youth: Learning & Education • Replacement of retiring workers: Young workers need to have

Youth: Learning & Education • Replacement of retiring workers: Young workers need to have the skills necessary to replace older workers as many babyboomers enter retirement years • Technology Change: Both hard and soft skills needed to keep pace with ever changing economy by continuous learning and on-the-job training

Youth: Employment Issues • Youth unemployment rates remain at double-digit levels • Rates are

Youth: Employment Issues • Youth unemployment rates remain at double-digit levels • Rates are higher for younger youth • Rates for youth from minority groups are even higher

 • “Under-employment” continues to be an issue, particularly for younger people (only part-time

• “Under-employment” continues to be an issue, particularly for younger people (only part-time jobs available, holding multiple part-time jobs. . . ) • Particularly an issue with immigrant youth

Youth on Social Assistance • In Toronto there approximately 11, 000 youth on social

Youth on Social Assistance • In Toronto there approximately 11, 000 youth on social assistance (representing 26% of all youth cases in Ontario) • There an additional 9, 000 youth in families that receive social assistance (representing 36% of all youth dependents in Ontario) • 12% of youth cases are employed - likely part-time

Homelessness among Youth • Despite economic growth, homelessness is getting worse • The fastest

Homelessness among Youth • Despite economic growth, homelessness is getting worse • The fastest growing group of emergency shelter users is now two parent families • • The number of children using shelters rose by 130% from 2, 700 children in 1988 to almost 6, 200 in 2000 • An estimated 6, 000 youth stay in Toronto’s emergency shelters

Summary • As of 2001 Census, there will be nearly 338, 000 people entering

Summary • As of 2001 Census, there will be nearly 338, 000 people entering retirement years. Another 252, 000 will enter retirement over the next 10 years • Youth currently represent 20% of the population, or 504, 885 persons • Need to replace these workers. Demographics suggest future skills gap • Youth are not a homogenous group. Many come from different ethnic backgrounds, households, and income situations

 • Diversity in Toronto is reflected in the youth population as well. By

• Diversity in Toronto is reflected in the youth population as well. By proving youth with Canadian work experience, there are many opportunities for youth to participate in this diverse market • Recognition of non-Canadian credentials and work experience • Need for more effective school to work transition (I. e. , Job preparation, work experience, training on the job, and job maintenance) • Awareness of job opportunities and trends is needed • Recognition of General Equivalency Diploma (GED)