Wood availability for the European woodbased industries Bernard

Wood availability for the European wood-based industries Bernard de Galembert ECE-FAO Seminar Strategies for the sound use of wood Poiana – Brasov, 24 -27 March 2003

Future wood availability in question … 300 250 Capacity Consumption 276 mill. m³ 232 mill. m³ Supply Roundwood Wood availability 234 mill. m³ 2005 & beyond 200 Sawmill chips. + recycl. wood Energy 150 Particle board 100 Mechanical pulp 50 Chemical pulp 0 2000 2005+ 2005

Further study was needed

The importance of the forest cluster Food products and beverages Forest Industry Cluster • 400 billion € turnover • 3. 5 million jobs • 9% manufacturing sector added value Industries Motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers Basic metals Pharmaceutical, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Basic chemicals 0 20 40 60 80 Value added 100 120 bill. €

Forest resources in Europe 15% Mixed 30% 55% Deciduous Conifers • 329 million ha • 30% managed for wood production

EU growing forest resource Mil ha 340000 hectares/year 116 115 114 113 112 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Forest – a growing resource Mil. m 3 over bark 800 700 600 500 Net annual increment 400 Fellings 300 200 100 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 25 m 3/sec. of which 12 are not used

How to mobilise it

Working assumptions • Average demand for wood products: 2%/year Mil m 3 400 350 300 Fibre board Particle board Chemical pulp Mechanical pulp Sawmilling 250 200 150 100 50 0 1999 2005 • Various owners supply elasticities 2010

3 policy developments • Nature oriented forest management • Climate change mitigation • Promotion of renewable energy sources

Nature-oriented management Enhance nature conservation values in the forests Reduced harvesting Changed wood quality and type

Climate change Enhance forest potential to sequester carbon Postponed harvesting Changing management practices

Renewable energy Promote the use of wood as a source of renewable energy Competing use of wood Distorted wood market

Potential wood shortfall 2010 27 million 3 m /year 2030 89 million 3 m /year 2060 195 million 3 m /year

Vision for the wood supply « Rather than waiting for the potential shortfall to become a reality, we have to start now to safeguard the availability of wood in terms of quantity, quality and costs, whilst improving the industry’s sustainability credentials »

Towards a sustainable future