WMO Climate Watch System WMO OMM Omar Baddour

WMO Climate Watch System WMO OMM Omar Baddour Chief World Climate Data and Monitoring WMO, Geneva obaddour@wmo. int Weather warning systems provide alerts on extreme weather occurring locally with a lead time of several hours to a week A natural evolution of meteorological alerts is to expand the time scale of the alerts to include information on climate conditions which can be expressed in terms of the departure from average climate conditions of the week, month or a season (called climate anomalies) and also to provide information on their persistence and evolution with time. Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Rational Climate anomalies can occur over large geographical scale with a long lasting lifetime from a week to a season. This map shows a list of such extremes which occurred during 2009. Such extreme conditions can bring heavy and extended precipitations or extended episodes of deficits, heat waves, cold waves, etc. all having serious potential negative impacts on sectors A climate Watch system is therefore such system that enables providing climate advisories including alerts on the geographical extent, time frame and the magnitude and evolution of these anomalies To enable improved Climate Risk Management 2 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Heat Wave 2003: A natural disaster Date Killed Italy 2003 20, 089 France 2003 19, 490 Spain 2003 15, 090 Germany 2003 9, 355 Portugal 2003 2, 696 India 1998 2, 541 France 2006 1, 388 United States 1980 1, 260 India 2003 1, 210 Belgium 2003 1, 175 (no. of people) 3 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Cold wave 2009 -2010 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

WMO OMM Impacts of climate extremes 1980 -2008 Impacts Heat wave Cold wave Average number of people affected per year 159, 118 6, 875, 103 Average number of people killed by year 3, 100 400 Average economic damage per year (106 US$) 758 203 Source : http: //www. preventionweb. net 5 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

WMO OMM Concept of CWS WMO-TD-N 0 1269 • Purpose • Elements • Outputs 6 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

WMO OMM Purpose - To monitor climate anomalies and related extremes - To produce and disseminate climate advisories (climate alert bulletins) on significant ongoing or foreseen climate anomalies - To heighten awareness among relevant users to initiate preparedness measures - To interact with the users prior, during and after the Alert episode 7 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Elements WMO OMM Issuing Organization Operational Components Data& Observations Forming the climate watch Climate Monitoring & Analysis Criteria Content & Format Long-range Forecast Strong partnership and feedback Dissemination Users community 8 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Template of a climate advisory / Alert WMO OMM The heading Issuing organization Name of warning, Area affected, Date and time issued, Period of validity Text Climate situation Information on update advice, NMS contact details List of attachments 9 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

WMO OMM Implementation Three founding principles - Global and Regional institutions ; e. g GPCs and RCCs provide inputs to CWS in terms of global and regional products/guidance; - Met Services deliver outputs to the national users (advisories); - Interactions with the users is an essential element( for the planning and operational levels) Need to bring a common understanding of these principles and promote a quick implementation in the regions: Regional workshops as a mechanism for enabling countries implement CWS 10 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

4 workshops: 2008 -2011 WMO OMM 2010 2009 2008 11 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

Global Framework for Climate Services Government Energy Transport Water Agriculture Water Health Sectoral Users Energy Ecosystem Tourism Private Tourism sector User Interface User Programme Interface Programme Climate Services System Climate. Information Services Information System Observations Research &and Monitoring Modeling Research & Modeling and Prediction 12 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011

WMO OMM THANK YOU 13 Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop Geneva, Switzerland, 6 -7 April 2011