WESTERN REGIONAL AIR PARTNERSHIP WESTERN STATES AIR RESOURCES

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WESTERN REGIONAL AIR PARTNERSHIP WESTERN STATES AIR RESOURCES COUNCIL REGIONAL MODELING REPRESENTATIVE ANALYSIS 19

WESTERN REGIONAL AIR PARTNERSHIP WESTERN STATES AIR RESOURCES COUNCIL REGIONAL MODELING REPRESENTATIVE ANALYSIS 19 APRIL 2018

WRAP/WESTAR REPRESENTATIVENESS ANALYSIS: TRACKING SHEET Analysis Air Quality IMPROVE RH Components Parameters Status Light

WRAP/WESTAR REPRESENTATIVENESS ANALYSIS: TRACKING SHEET Analysis Air Quality IMPROVE RH Components Parameters Status Light extinction summaries Made additional improvements to prototype interactive graphics tool Peak urban ozone and PM concentrations Annual O 3 and PM design value summary statistic by county Produced maps of annual NAAQS summary statistics O 3 and PM means and percentiles: rural Daily max 8 -hr O 3, PM 2. 5, PM 10 Downloaded daily max 8 -hr O 3 and seasonal mean PM component concentrations from EPA CASTNET webpage Deposition Seasonal total deposition by geographic subregion from CASTNET/NTN Added annual wet deposition maps and trends to One. Note; still need dry deposition maps Exceptional AQ and climate events Identify any exceptional event flags in AQ data; review NOAA annual climate event summaries Rec’d responses from: J. Spenillo, EPA Reg. X; added NOAA annual climate anomaly summaries to One. Note EPA O 3 Adj. Factors Have annual maps and regional time series for 2000 -2016; entered into One. Note 2014 -2016 Quarterly means and anomalies for 500 mb height, 1000 mb T, SLP 2014 -2016 Quarterly means and anomalies of SLP; added ENSO timeseries to One. Note 2014 -2016 Annual and monthly total precip and % of avg; U. S. Drought Monitor infographics now in One. Note Meteorology Ozone conducive conditions: EPA method Upper air Wx Patterns Seasonal anomaly maps: 500 mb height, T Sfc Wx Patterns Seasonal anomaly maps: T, WS Precipitation Drought PRISM interpolated precip maps Drought indices Emissions Fires Quarterly avg PM 2. 5 from FINN Anthropogenic Emissions NEI totals by state for selected SIC rollups Other FINN fire emissions 2012 -2017 downloaded; 2014 -2016 quarterly maps completed; Rec’d list of SCC groups used by WA Ecology from F. Herron-Thorpe; On. Highway NOx and PM emissions by sub-region; IWDW 2008 and 2011 emissions by source sector

OZONE MET ADJUSTMENT FACTORS

OZONE MET ADJUSTMENT FACTORS

ENSO TIMESERIES 2015 -2016 El Niño

ENSO TIMESERIES 2015 -2016 El Niño

DRAUGHT

DRAUGHT

CLIMATE ANOMALY SUMMARIES Added 2014 – 2017 to One. Note

CLIMATE ANOMALY SUMMARIES Added 2014 – 2017 to One. Note

CASTNET/NTN/NADP • O 3 8 hr. Dmax 2014 – 2017 all sites • Creating

CASTNET/NTN/NADP • O 3 8 hr. Dmax 2014 – 2017 all sites • Creating trends and maps using python tool • Wet Deposition • Maps and example trend plots in One. Note • Dry Deposition • Creating trends and maps using python tool

NTN WET DEPOSITION: NH 4 + NO 3

NTN WET DEPOSITION: NH 4 + NO 3

CASTNET O 3 DATA

CASTNET O 3 DATA

AIR QUALITY STATISTICS: ANNUAL AQ STATISTICS REPORT • Interactive maps using python tool •

AIR QUALITY STATISTICS: ANNUAL AQ STATISTICS REPORT • Interactive maps using python tool • Copies of key maps added to One. Note • Available summary statistics: • O 3 2 nd high daily max 1 -hr, 4 th high daily max 8 -hr • PM 10 2 nd max 24 -hour, annual mean (from quarterly means) • PM 2. 5 98 th %’tile 24 -hour, annual mean (from quarterly means) • CO, NO 2, SO 2, Pb AQI Colors

IMPROVE DATA DISPLAY Plot width and height controls Automatic labeling

IMPROVE DATA DISPLAY Plot width and height controls Automatic labeling

EMISSIONS

EMISSIONS

HIGHWAY VEHICLE NOX EMISSIONS: 2010 - 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

HIGHWAY VEHICLE NOX EMISSIONS: 2010 - 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142015 2016

HIGHWAY VEHICLE PM 10 EMISSIONS: 2010 - 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

HIGHWAY VEHICLE PM 10 EMISSIONS: 2010 - 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

MODELED EMISSIONS (IWDW) 2008 b Base Case 2011 b Base Case

MODELED EMISSIONS (IWDW) 2008 b Base Case 2011 b Base Case

MODELED EMISSIONS (IWDW): FIRES

MODELED EMISSIONS (IWDW): FIRES

SUGGESTED SCHEDULE FOR COMPLETION OF STUDY • - 4/30: Collect comments in One. Note

SUGGESTED SCHEDULE FOR COMPLETION OF STUDY • - 4/30: Collect comments in One. Note • 5/1 – 5/18: Ramboll develops synthesis of results • 5/21 or morning of 5/22: RTOWG call to discuss draft synthesis results, content and organization of draft report • 5/30: Draft report (with description of data collected/analyzed, data synthesis, results and recommendations) • ~6/5: Handoff IMPROVE graphing tool to CIRA • 6/10: Comments on draft report • Week of 6/14: Final report https: //rambollmy. sharepoint. com/: o: /p/tstoeckenius/Ekg. Ng. Jb. L 9 Dui. Oe. Hf 0 l. D 3 c. BNv 2 g. Kusplq. Pe. K 4 epav. Uy. Gw? e=z RW 9 c 7