West Oxfordshire Data Pack 170217 Produced by District

West Oxfordshire Data Pack 17/02/17 Produced by District Data Analysis Service Bella Image iimage@oxford. gov. uk 1

West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 2

This pack 1. Population 2. Travel 3. Economy 4. Welfare & Benefits 5. Education & Skills 6. Housing 7. Crime 8. Health 9. Other (deprivation, energy) West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 3

Census-based information • Information based on the Census is available for much smaller areas and/or informs us about topics that cannot always be covered in surveys • However, it is only updated every 10 years. • Slides in this pack holding the Census logo in the top right corner have *not* been updated since the 2015 evidence pack West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 4

POPULATION Some data under this theme is from the 2011 Census and thus has not been updated since the last Evidence Pack 5

A growing population • • In mid-2015, West Oxfordshire’s total population was estimated at 108, 600. Between 2004 and 2015, the population of this district has grown by 10, 600 people or 10. 8%. CHART: Population of West Oxfordshire, 2001 -2014 2, 0% Total Population Annual change 107 118 Population 108 000 102 166 103 000 103 016 103 824 104 706 107 989 108 158 105 442 98 000 95 701 95 961 97 083 1, 6% 1, 4% 1, 2% 100 316 98 038 1, 8% 1, 0% 98 869 0, 8% 0, 6% 93 000 Annual change (%) 113 000 0, 4% 0, 2% 88 000 0, 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: ONS mid-year estimates West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 6

Population estimates by ward, 2015 In 2015, the largest ward in West Oxfordshire was Witney East (8, 100 residents). With respect to older people: • In 2015, nine wards in West Oxfordshire were estimated to have 1, 000 or more residents aged 65 and over • Eynsham & Cassington ward had the highest number of older people. The ward with the highest proportion of older people is Burford (32%). TABLE: Population by ward, 2015 Source: ONS, SAPE 18 DT 8, mid-year 2015 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Ward Name Alvescot and Filkins Ascott and Shipton Bampton and Clanfield Brize Norton and Shilton Burford Carterton North East Carterton North West Carterton South Chadlington and Churchill Charlbury and Finstock Chipping Norton Ducklington Eynsham and Cassington Freeland Hanborough Hailey, Minster Lovell and Leafield Kingham, Rollright and Enstone Milton-under-Wychwood North Leigh Standlake, Aston and Stanton Harcourt Stonesfield and Tackley The Bartons Witney Central Witney East Witney North Witney South Witney West Woodstock and Bladon All Ages 65 plus % 65+ 1, 865 352 19% 2, 043 553 27% 3, 821 937 25% 2, 291 543 24% 1, 999 646 32% 6, 345 383 6% 4, 502 730 16% 5, 643 677 12% 1, 919 470 24% 3, 747 936 25% 6, 530 1, 455 22% 2, 104 487 23% 6, 072 1, 514 25% 4, 248 1, 106 26% 4, 182 1, 022 24% 4, 264 1, 003 24% 2, 083 539 26% 1, 929 499 26% 4, 217 904 21% 4, 049 940 23% 2, 033 411 20% 5, 586 1, 101 20% 8, 136 1, 205 15% 4, 065 867 21% 6, 427 1, 358 21% 4, 303 468 11% 4, 208 1, 076 26% 7

Population change: most comes from internal (UK) migration • • The main driver of West Oxfordshire’s population growth has been internal migration (i. e. people moving from elsewhere in the UK), leading to an extra 5, 600 over the last decade. Natural change (births minus deaths) has led to an increase of 2, 800 over the last decade International migration has led to an increase of 1, 300 over the last decade ‘Other’ change has had barely any cumulative impact over the last decade. This includes movement of armed forces; e. g. in 2012 this category grew mainly as a result of the expansion of RAF Brize Norton. CHART: Population change in West Oxfordshire, 2002 -2014 2 000 Other change International Migration 1 500 Internal migration Natural Change 1 000 500 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -500 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 expansion of RAF Brize Norton Source: ONS 2014 mid year estimates 8

Population change: international immigration • • • Increase in West Oxfordshire residents born outside the UK The total number of residents of West Oxfordshire born outside the UK increased from 5, 600 in 2001 to 8, 500 in 2011 The individual country with the biggest change was Poland. The number of West Oxfordshire residents born in Poland increased from 48 to 781. West Oxfordshire: country of birth of resident population born outside the UK 2001 to 2011 (selected countries) Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV 08; Census 2011 table QS 203 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 9

Aging Population: 2015 working age ratio 75% 72% 70% 65% 64% 63% 61% 60% Oxford 55% England W. Oxfordshire 50% 20022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015 CHART: Proportion of the population that is working age (aged 15 -64) West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 In West Oxfordshire in 2015, the proportion of residents who were working age (ie 16 -64) was 61%. • This proportion has slowly decreased through time. • This is lower than the proportion for both Oxford (72%) and England (63%) This is largely due to the local population aging. • The number of residents aged 65+ exceeded those aged 0 -14 for the first time in 2009. Between 2002 and 2015, the number of young people (aged 0 -15) increased by 4%, while the number of older people increased by 44%. Source: Latest available ONS population projections, 2014 -based (Oxford, West Oxon) / 2015 -based (England & Wales) 10

Aging population: the oldest group Proportionally, those aged 85+ represented 2% of the district’s total population in 1993, and 3% in 2014. – This is higher than the England rate, where 2% of residents were estimated to be 85+ in 2014. • By 2039, the number of people aged 85+ in West Oxfordshire is expected to reach 8, 300. – This is 7% of the local population. (The England figure is 5%) • Thus, the number of individuals aged 85+ will grow by 267% between 2014 and 2039 – This growth is at a higher rate than the national average (237% in England). 7, 0% West Oxfordshire 6, 0% 5, 0% England 2039: 8, 300 people (7% of all residents) 2014: 3, 100 people (3% of all residents) 4, 0% 3, 0% 2, 0% 1, 0% 0, 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 • CHART: Proportion of the population that is aged 85+ Source: ONS 2014 -based SNPPs West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 11

Population growth, 2001 to 2015 Between 2001 and 2015 the population of West Oxfordshire increased by 13, 000. This growth was mainly in urban areas • Witney grew by 25% (5, 700 persons) • Carterton grew by 40% (4, 700 persons) • This growth resulted from the construction of major development sites including Madley Park (Witney) and Shilton Park (Carterton). Alvescot and Filkins Ascott and Shipton Bampton and Clanfield -452 Brize Norton and Shilton Burford Carterton North East Carterton North West Carterton South Chadlington and Churchill Charlbury and Finstock Chipping Norton Ducklington Eynsham and Cassington Freeland Hanborough Hailey, Minster Lovell and. . . Kingham, Rollright and. . . Milton-under-Wychwood North Leigh Standlake, Aston and Stanto. . . Stonesfield and Tackley The Bartons Witney Central Witney East Witney North Witney South Witney West Woodstock and Bladon 181 75 187 121 3 350 -97 1 432 -19 -30 558 41 CHART: Change in resident population by ward, 2001 to 2015 347 125 316 142 130 10 245 8 96 1 716 3 648 -99 462 25 453 Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS 01; ONS 2015 mid-year estimates West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 12

Low proportion of residents “cannot speak English well” (or at all) At the time of the Census 2011 survey, 0. 4% of the population of West Oxfordshire aged 3 and over could not speak English well. GRAPH: % of resident population aged 3+ who “cannot speak English well” or “cannot speak English” (2011) Source: ONS Census 2001 table QS 205 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 13

West Oxfordshire – a rural district • • In 2011 , the majority (57%) of the West Oxfordshire population lived in rural areas, outside the main towns of Witney, Carterton and Chipping Norton. 2015 figures suggest that this has fallen to 53%. West Oxfordshire: 2011 resident population by rural-urban classification Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS 101 Chipping Norton Witney Carterton In 2015, West Oxfordshire continues to be the second most rural district in the South East region (behind Chichester). It has 1. 5 people per hectare compared with 4. 7 across the South East and 4. 2 across England. Source: ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 14

Population projections Oxfordshire County Council creates its W. Oxfordshire population in 2040 is own population projections, which try projected to be 155, 000 persons. to adjust for scheduled building growth. • In 2040, older people (60+) are expected to Population projections by ONS do not allow for this. Projections down to ward level will be • available around Easter 2017. • • 2015: 109, 000 residents Population, in thousands 180 160 140 120 100 make up a third of the population (33% compared to 26% in 2015). The number of older people will increase by 81%. 2040: 155, 000 residents Age 60+ Age 16 -59 Age 0 -15 50 51 51 47 47 48 49 49 46 44 43 41 42 36 38 39 40 35 34 33 28 29 29 30 31 32 80 60 40 20 0 70 70 71 71 72 72 73 74 74 75 69 69 68 67 66 65 65 64 60 60 61 62 63 63 20 20 20 21 21 22 22 22 23 23 23 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 29 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 15

TRAVEL Data under theme of ‘travel’ is from the 2011 Census and thus has not been updated since the last Evidence Pack 16

A significant number of older people in rural areas are living with a disability and without access to a car According to the 2011 Census, just over 8, 000 residents of West Oxfordshire were age 65+ and living with a disability (activities limited by health “a little” or “a lot”) • Of these 5, 300 (65%) were living in rural wards. • A significant number (1, 400) of these older rural residents in poor health did not have access to a car. • 1, 400 residents in rural West Oxfordshire with activities limited by poor health have no car Source: ONS Census 2011, table LC 3407, rural-urban classification by ward West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 17

Inbound and outbound commuting have each increased Between 2001 and 2011 inbound and outbound commuting to/from West Oxfordshire each increased. • There was a much smaller increase in commuting within the district. This resulted in an overall increase in the net outflow of workers up from 7, 800 in 2001 to 8, 300 in 2011. The greatest change was the increase in outbound commuting from West Oxfordshire to Oxford and to Vale of White Horse. Source: ONS 2001 Census table T 103 and T 10; 2011 Census table WU 03 From Joint Travel to Work briefing available on Oxfordshire Insight West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 18

Commuting to Oxford Commuting flows to Oxford According to the Census 2011 survey 7, 500 residents of West Oxfordshire commuted to work in Oxford. This was 13% of employed residents. In the areas around Woodstock and Eynsham, around 30% of workers commuted into Oxford. Source: ONS Census 2011 from West Oxfordshire Economic Snapshot Jan 15 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 19

THE ECONOMY 20

Counting jobs in West Oxfordshire There a number of sources of jobs data for West Oxfordshire and the table below shows the latest data with a note of what is included within each dataset. Source of jobs data West Oxfordshire Note ONS Census 2011 Workplace population 48, 222 (2011) Workplace population has a usual place of work in the area, including both individuals who live and work in area and individuals who work in the area but commute from a home elsewhere. Includes all types of jobs but with some undercounting as a proportion of people will have more than one job. Available for small areas. Updated every 10 years. ONS Business Register and Employment Survey 42, 109 (2015) “Employee jobs” – from ONS survey of businesses. Excludes self-employed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for small areas. Updated annually. ONS Jobs 57, 000 (2015) A workplace-based measure, includes employee jobs, selfemployed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for LAs only. Updated annually. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 21

Rates of self employment and home working are highest in rural areas Self employed by lower layer super output area Source: ONS Census 2011 table QS 601 Lower layer super output areas are a statistical geography used mainly for reporting Census data and have an average of around 1, 500 residents and 650 households West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Working from home by lower layer super output area Source: ONS Census 2011 table QS 701 22

A relatively high number of jobs Number of jobs: In 2015 there were Job Density: In 2015 there were around 57, 000 jobs in West Oxfordshire. 0. 87 jobs person aged 16 -64. This is one of the highest levels over the last This means more jobs are available per 15 years (the highest -- 58, 000 jobs – was in person in West Oxfordshire compared to 2013). England (0. 84) or the South East (0. 86). 70 000 60 000 52 000 50 000 46 000 44 000 46 000 2001 2002 2003 49 000 51 000 2004 2005 55 000 57 000 53 000 58 000 49 000 2009 2010 52 000 2011 2012 54 000 57 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 2006 CHART: Count of jobs in West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 2008 2013 2014 2015 Source: ONS via Nomis 23

The employed workforce in West Oxfordshire is growing GRAPH: Count of business employees, West Oxfordshire 2015 Source: ONS Business Register and Employment survey As of 2015, West Oxfordshire organizations employed 42, 100 people, nearly one third of whom were part time. (NB this excludes the FULL TIME PART TIME self-employed). Since 2009, full-time employment in West Oxfordshire has increased by 14% and part-time employment has grown by 4%. DEFINITIONS By comparison, the workingage population has grown by less than 1%. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 “Employee”: Anyone aged 16+ that an organisation directly pays from its payroll(s), in return for a full- or part-time job or being on a training scheme. It excludes the self-employed, voluntary workers, working owners who are not paid via PAYE. “Full-time”: those working more than 30 hours per week. “Part-time”: those working 30 hours or fewer per week. 24

Jobs in the hospitality sector have increased by 58% CHART: Employment by sector, West Oxfordshire 2015 In 2015, a third of West Oxfordshire employees were in Manufacturing, Construction or Trade. The series in the this form began in 2009. In the years from 2009 to 2015, the number of employees increased most in hospitality (1, 500 extra jobs), transport (1, 000 extra jobs) and education (900 extra jobs). The biggest falls over this period were in ‘professional & scientific’ (500 fewer jobs) and construction (400 fewer jobs). Other Leisure 1 600 1 800 Manufacturing 5 100 Health 3 900 Education 4 300 Public admin 1 000 Construction 2 200 42, 100 jobs Business admin 2 100 Professional & Scientific Hospitality 3 600 IT, Financial & 3 900 Property 3 700 Trade (wholesale, retail & motor) 6 900 Transport & storage 1 900 Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, 14/02/17 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 25

99% of West Oxfordshire enterprises have under 50 employees In West Oxfordshire, in 2016, 90% of enterprises are ‘micro’ (ie. Arts & recreation; 400 Education; 100 Public admin, 50 Agriculture & mining; 400 Manufacturing, 300 Health; 200 with 0 -9 employees). • This is similar to the England proportion of 89% Business admin; 400 A further 9% of enterprises are ‘small’ (ie. with 10 -49 employees). • This is similar to the England proportion of 9% Professional, scientific & technical; 1 100 5, 650 enterprises Construction; 750 Trade; 750 There are few large business (250+ employees). CHART: Number of enterprises by sector, West Oxfordshire 2016 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Financial & property; 300 IT & communication; 450 Transport & storage (inc postal); 100 Hospitality; 250 Source: Business Counts, Nomis 04/11/16 26

A skilled workforce In West Oxfordshire, more employees than average work as managers or in technical & skilled trades fewer employees than average work in the leisure industry or in elementary occupations Source: Nomis area profiles West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 27

Enterprises across West Oxfordshire In 2016, in West Oxfordshire, …the area with the greatest number of enterprises was central Witney (560). …the area with the smallest number of enterprises was south Carterton (140). CHART: Distribution of enterprises across West Oxfordshire, 2016 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 28

High proportion of working-age are employed 90% 85% 85% 73% 80% 77% 75% 74% 72% 70% 65% West Oxfordshire England South East р16 The proportion is currently as high as it has ever been for this version of the statistical series (85%). ма р15 ма р14 ма р13 ма р12 ма р11 ма ма р09 ма р08 ма р07 ма р06 ма р05 ма р10 Source: ONS Annual Population Survey 60% The proportion of those of working age who are employed or self-employed is consistently higher than the national average. GRAPH: Proportion of those 16 -64 who are employed or self-employed West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 29

West Oxfordshire residents earn less than the regional average In 2015, the median 1 gross earnings of full-time workers resident in West Oxfordshire was £ 567 per week. • This is a fall of 1% compared with the previous year. This is higher than the national average, but less than the average for the South East. 1 median is the value at the middle of the range, such that £ 650 half of the values fall above and half below. England average: £ 533 £ 617 £ 601 £ 600 GRAPH: Median weekly earnings for full-time workers £ 559 £ 567 £ 559 £ 575 £ 550 £ 533 £ 500 NB: scale does not start at nought Cherwell Oxford West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon South East England Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings 30

Pay-gap for women is higher than national average In West Oxfordshire, full-time male employees earn an average of £ 127 more than women. This is higher than the national average (£ 101) but currently the same as the regional average. It is hard to draw conclusions though, since the local level data is volatile. £ 250 GRAPH: Gap between men’s and women’s pay, fulltime employees £ 200 £ 150 W. Oxon England £ 100 South East £ 50 £ 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours & Earnings 31

Higher economic aspirations among West Oxfordshire women… (? ) 25% England GRAPH: Proportion of women 16 -64 who do not have or want jobs 20% NB: scale does not 15% start at nought 10% сен-05 South-East West Oxfordshire сен-06 сен-07 Source: DWP сен-08 сен-09 сен-10 сен-11 сен-12 сен-13 сен-14 сен-15 In the past, fewer women in West Oxfordshire have wanted to be economically inactive compared to the national /regional averages. However, over the past ten years *more* local women have wanted not to work. This is AGAINST the national trend where the number of ‘inactive’ women has been decreasing. The pattern is not entirely clear yet due to the volatility of local-level data. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 32

NINO registrations: breakdown in 2015 757 In 2015, overseas nationals based in West Oxfordshire registered for a National Insurance number. Africa; 15 Oceania; 20 Other; 43 EU-15; 189 CHART: Number North of NINO America; 21 registrations in West Oxfordshire EU other; 469 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 01/11/16 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 71% are aged 18 to 34. 62% came from EU countries other than the EU 15. (This mostly means ‘accession’ countries and/or those in Eastern Europe. ) Definition of “EU-other”: Estonia, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Malta, Cyprus, Croatia 33

NINO registrations: change through time 1000 800 768 715 757 683 654 565 600 420 394 400 517 453 CHART: Number of NINO registrations in West Oxfordshire, 2002 -2015 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 01/11/16 418 363 281 200 177 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 This data covers NINo allocations (a) for all types of work, incl. self-employed & parttime students (b) whatever the length of stay in the UK (c) adult overseas nationals allocated a NINo to claim benefits or tax credits. In 2013 and 2014 there was a steep growth in the number of NINO registrations (42%, 32%), following a few years of decline. In 2015 there were 11% more NINO registrations than the previous year, around the same growth as in England as a whole. Mid-year figures for 2016 also suggest the growth may be slowing. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 34

WELFARE & BENEFITS 35

Steep fall in W. Oxfordshire residents claiming workless benefits In September 2016, 360 residents of West Oxfordshire were claiming benefits in respect of worklessness (either Jobseeker’s Allowance *or* Universal Credit). • This is less than a third of the post-recession peak of 1, 100 (May-99). GRAPH: West Oxfordshire Claimant Count (incl. Universal Credit), Jan-13 to Sep-16 1 000 Feb 2013 935 900 Sep 2016 360 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Source: DWP, 04/11/16 36 сен-16 июл-16 май-16 мар-16 янв-16 ноя-15 сен-15 июл-15 май-15 мар-15 янв-15 ноя-14 сен-14 июл-14 май-14 мар-14 янв-14 ноя-13 сен-13 июл-13 май-13 мар-13 0 янв-13 In Mar-16, economic activity in West Oxfordshire was at 86. 2%. • This is significantly higher than the regional figure (80. 6%)… • … and the national figure (78. 0%)

Sharpest fall in claimant count is for the under-25 s GRAPH: West Oxfordshire Claimant Count, by age Source: Nomis, 04/11/16 600 490 500 400 38% of previous value Feb-13 Fall to 25% of previous value Sep-16 64% of previous value 280 185 200 In Sep-16 there were only around 70 claimants under 25, compared to 280 in Feb-13. • The most recent high peak was in May-09, when there were 320 JSA / workless UC claimants. 165 100 The under-25 s had the sharpest fall in claimant count, in line with the rest of the country. 70 By comparison, the number of claimants aged 50+ has not fallen so steeply. 0 16 -24 25 -49 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 50+ 37

Unemployment in W. Oxfordshire is nearly one-third of national average GRAPH: Claimants as % of economically active population, Jul-15 and Jul-16 In July 2015, the proportion of economically active people who were on unemployment benefit was 0. 6% for West Oxfordshire. Source: DWP through Nomis 2, 5% Jul-15 Jul-16 2, 2% 2, 0% This compares with a national average of 2. 2%. 1, 5% 1, 3% 1, 2% 1, 0% 0, 9% 0, 8% 0, 7% 0, 6% 0, 5% 0, 0% Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Vale WH W. Oxon South East England 38

Half of working-age benefit claimants are on ESA /incapacity benefits Jobseeker; 300 Disabled; 540 Bereaved, 120 Half of these are in the category “Employment Support Allowance or other incapacity benefits” Other incomerelated; 60 Carer; 580 In Feb-16, there were 4, 000 working-age benefit claimants in West Oxfordshire • This is 6. 0% of the population ESA & incapacity benefits; 2 000 Lone parent; 370 CHART: Categories of benefit claimants, Feb 2016 West Oxfordshire has a lower proportion of working-age benefit claimants than England (11. 4%) • This is also true for each of the seven sub-categories • (e. g. the ‘lone parent’ claimant group comprises 0. 6% of West Oxfordshire residents, compared to 1. 1% the England population) Source: DWP working-age client group data, accessed through Nomis West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 39

Around 6% of West Oxfordshire working-age residents are on benefits 16% In West Oxfordshire, 6. 0% of working-age residents today are on benefits, compared to 5. 7% in Aug-99. 14% England 12% England: 3. 9 million claimants (11. 4% of working-age population) 10% 8% 6% West Oxfordshire 4% In England, today’s figure is 11. 4% compared to 14. 5% in 1999. West Oxon: 4, 000 claimants (6. 0% of working-age population) 2% Source: DWP working-age client group data, accessed through Nomis West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 5 г-1 4 ав г-1 3 ав г-1 2 CHART: Numbers of benefit claimants, Aug-99 to Feb-16 ав г-1 1 ав г-1 0 ав г-1 9 ав г-0 8 ав г-0 7 ав г-0 6 ав г-0 5 ав г-0 4 ав г-0 3 ав г-0 2 ав г-0 1 ав г-0 0 ав г-0 ав ав г-9 9 0% There has been a small increase in West Oxfordshire residents claiming. 40

EDUCATION & SKILLS 41

GCSE results at West Oxfordshire schools In 2014/5, most of West Oxfordshire’s secondary schools were above the national average on the % of pupils achieving 5+ A*-C GCSEs (incl. English & Maths). 60% 57% South East England Carterton Community College (21%), Wood Green School (18%) and the Henry Box School (17%) have higher proportions of students entering Key Stage 4 in the low prior attainment band. 61% Bartholomew School Burford School and Community College CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 55% Carterton Community College 63% 66% 53% Chipping Norton School The Henry Box The Marlborough School C of E School Wood Green School Source: Department for Education (2014/15 results) 42

West Oxfordshire’s pupils above average on GCSE attainment 70% 58% In 2014/15, of KS 4 pupils resident in West Oxfordshire attained the benchmark of 5+ A*to C grades including English and Maths. This is above the national average, but below the regional average. 60% 59, 8% 57, 3% 57, 6% 65, 0% 60, 6% 61, 1% 40% 30% CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English 20% 10% 0% South East England Cherwell Source: Department for Education, 2014/15 results West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon NOTE: data excludes pupils in private schools 43

GCSE attainment of Free School Meals pupils is below national average Overall the proportion of West Oxfordshire’s resident pupils achieving five GCSEs A*-C (including English and Mathematics) continued to be higher than average in Aug-14. However only 24% of FSM pupils from West Oxfordshire attained this measure, compared with 34% nationally. 80% 68% 70% 62% 61% 58% 60% 64% 60% 63% England FSM average 50% 40% 39% 34% 30% 29% 26% 35% 24% Free School Meals 10% Not on FSM 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 44

Over a third of FSM pupils in West Oxfordshire do not achieve 5 GCSEs 40% 36% Free School Meals 35% Not on FSM 31% 30% 25% In Aug-14, of pupils on Free School Meals in West Oxfordshire, 24% 20% 36% did not achieve 19% 20% 17% 5 GCSEs (A*-G) at end of Key Stage 4. 15% 10% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon This is more than twice the national figure of 17%. CHART: Proportion of pupils who do not achieve 5 GCSEs Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 45

NEETs (young people not in education, employment or training) 2500 2272 1961 2000 1769 1588 CHART: NEETs in Oxfordshire districts (Sep-16) 1631 1500 Source: Oxfordshire County Council, Early Intervention Service 1000 403 500 0 Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon district n/k As of Sep 2016 there were 1631 NEETs (75. 4% of the cohort). The figure jumps in September due to the influx at the beginning of the school year. Many of these young people will enter education / training / employment in the next few months. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Definition: NEETs are young people aged 17 -19 (Years 12 to 14) who are not in education, employment or training. The chart also includes young people whose status is Not Known. 46

Apprenticeship participation has grown over the past few years 2 500 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2 000 1530 1540 1590 1 500 1 000 500 0 Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon CHART: Numbers participating in apprenticeship programmes Source: FE data, through Oxfordshire LEP Apprenticeship participation has grown in West Oxfordshire over the past few years. However, trends may change in future. This will be the last year in which apprenticeship funding is largely grant funded. From April 2017, apprenticeships will be funded through a new apprenticeship levy on businesses. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 47

Proportion of W. Oxfordshire residents with NVQ 4+ has almost doubled 60% 2004 50% 2015 Bars: West Oxfordshire Crosses: England 40% 37% 30% 26% 20% 15% 18% 18% 10% 0% 9% 12% 8% 7% 12% 18% 22% 16% 26% 5% 10% 7% 14% 50% 5% No Qual NVQ 1 NVQ 2 NVQ 3 NVQ 4 Other Source: Annual Population Survey, via Nomis In 2004, 26% of West Oxfordshire residents were at NVQ 4 or NVQ 5 (indicating a BA degree /higher diploma or above). This was the same as the national average of 26%. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 But in 2015, 50% of West Oxfordshire residents were at NVQ 4+. This is almost double the earlier value, and far above the national average of 37%. 48

HOUSING 49

Housing • • • As of 2011, there were 43, 241 occupied households in West Oxfordshire, 71% of which were owned (in full or with a mortgage). Between 2001 and 2011 the total number of households in West Oxfordshire increased by 4, 800 (+13%). The highest percentage growth was in private rented households. 43, 241 occupied households +9% +7% Growth in all households = +13% +37% Source: ONS Census 2001 KS 18, Census 2011 KS 402 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 50

Housing: High proportion of detached dwellings Compared with the England average, West Oxfordshire has a much greater proportion of detached dwellings and a much lower proportion of flats. +3% +5% +6% +12% * Occupied and unoccupied West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Source: ONS Census 2011 KS 402 51

More families w children in private than in social rented accommodation • Between 2001 and 2011 there was a significant increase in the number of private rented households occupied by families with dependent children in West Oxfordshire: from 1, 600 households in 2001 to 2, 300 in 2011, a growth of 43%. • The number of families with children in private rented households in West Oxfordshire is now above the number of families in social rented housing. Households with dependent children in social rented accommodation, 2001 to 2011 Households with dependent children in private rented accommodation, 2001 to 2011 +43% +9% Source: ONS, Census 2001 table T 08 and Census 2011 table LC 4412 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 52

Social rented housing: Occupancy Single person social rented households in West Oxfordshire occupied: • • West Oxfordshire: Occupancy of social rented households by number of bedrooms (2011) 79% of 1 bed 38% of 2 bed 15% of 3 bed 11% of 4 bed or more Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 53

Social rented housing: Over-crowding • According to the Census 2011 survey, there were 5, 387 households in social rented accommodation in West Oxfordshire. • 3, 204 of these social rented households had one or two bedrooms of which 211 (6. 6%) were occupied by four or more people. • On this measure of over-crowding, West Oxfordshire was below the national average. Overcrowding: Percentage of social rented households with ONE OR TWO bedrooms that were occupied by four or more people (2011) Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 54

Social rented housing: Under-occupancy • 4, 365 social rented households in West Oxfordshire had 2 or more bedrooms and, of these, 1, 153 (26%) were occupied by one person. • West Oxfordshire had the highest rate of under-occupancy of Oxfordshire’s districts, close to the national average. Under-occupancy: Percentage of social rented homes with TWO OR MORE bedrooms that were occupied by one person (2011) Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 55

Highest rate of home ownership in band around Witney Wards with a high proportion of ownership are in a band around Witney, in the south-east of the district. The highest ownership (84%) is in the ward of Freeland Hanborough. There are lower rates of ownership in the urban centres, particularly Witney Central and Carterton North East (both with 53% owned). Definition: ‘Owned’ means either ‘owned outright’ or ‘owned with a mortgage’. MAP: Proportion of households owned (by ward) Source: Census 2011, Table KS 402 EW West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 56

Social rented housing: Witney has large % of SR households Chipping Norton MAP: Proportion of households in social rented housing (by ward) Source: Census 2011, Table KS 402 EW Charlbury Witney Carterton Most West Oxfordshire wards have fewer than a fifth of households in social rented housing. The ward with the highest proportion of social rented housing is Witney (29%). If drilling down to LSOA level, there are three LSOAs with over two-fifths of households living in social rented housing. • • • West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 41. 4% (Witney 010 F) 46. 3% (Chipping Norton 001 B) 73. 0% (Witney 009 A) 57

House prices: Cheapest market housing becoming more unaffordable In 2016, the cheapest market housing was around 11 times the income of the lowest salaried workers (both measured as the lowest quartile). This is higher than the national average (7. 02), and is increasing. 12, 0 11, 13 England 10, 0 West Oxfordshire 8, 0 7, 02 6, 0 West Oxfordshire is more affordable than Oxford (11. 73) or South Oxfordshire (11. 66), but less affordable than Vale of White Horse (10. 57) or Cherwell (10. 34). *EXAMPLE: In 2012, lower quartile house price in West Oxfordshire was £ 187, 000 and lower quartile earnings was £ 20, 000. Dividing house price by earnings gives a ratio of 9. 35. NB: earnings data in this index is for individuals rather than households. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 4, 0 NB. Change of methodology in 2013 led to discontinuity in data series 2, 0 0, 0 1997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015 CHART: Ratio* of lower quartile house prices to lower quartile earnings Source: Live tables on housing market and house prices, DCLG, extracted 30/08/16 58

Median house prices (by MSOA) Median house prices for each MSOA ranged by £ 173, 000 The highest was the rural area including Burford, £ 410 k The lowest was southern Carterton, £ 237 k Note: Data can be volatile since small samples of sold houses can be skewed by housing type. In the last data evidence pack, the area with the highest median house price was around Woodstock MAP: Median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-16) Source: ONS House Prices for Small Areas (Table 2), 28/09/16 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 59

10 year increase is highest in Cotswolds Median house prices are on average 126%-162% of their value ten years previously - The highest 10 -year increase was in the rural Cotswolds area containing Enstone - The Burford rural area had the highest median price (previous slide), but has the lowest 10 -year increase (26%) Again, data is volatile (see previous slide). MAP: Ten-year increase in median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-16) Source: ONS House Prices for Small Areas (Table 2), 28/09/16 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 60

MAP 1: Median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-16) MAP 2: Ten-year increase in median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-16) Source: ONS House Prices for Small Areas (Table 2), 28/09/16 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 61

CRIME 62

Crime: West Oxfordshire has lowest crime rate in county 100 Crime rate per 1, 000 population 87, 8 75 55, 2 50 36, 0 34, 9 31, 5 25 Source: HMIC, Jan 2016 accessed via Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence Assessment 0 Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon • West Oxfordshire is the Oxfordshire district with the lowest crime rate. • In Oxfordshire as a whole, sexual offences increased 56% since the previous year. The rate is above the England average. – West Oxfordshire (1. 4) has a lower rate than both Oxfordshire county (1. 8) and – • the national average (1. 7) for sexual offences. However even in West Oxfordshire, the rate has increased over the past years. The increase over the past few years may be due partly to changes in reporting. All data on crime over the next few slides comes from the Strategic Intelligence Assessment: http: //insight. oxfordshire. go v. uk/cms/system/files/docu ments/2016 -0329_Oxon_SIA_FINAL. pdf Hate incidents are increasing in Oxfordshire. They are notably increasing in West Oxfordshire, but there is still significant under-reporting West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 63

Crime: All crime types continue below average Source: HMIC (Jan 2016), taken from Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence Assessment 2016 In 2015 in West Oxfordshire, • …overall crime was below average • …no crime type was above average. However, there was an increase in crime since 2014. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Compared to the previous period (2014), there was an increase in criminal damage, robbery, shoplifting, theft from the person, and violence /sexual offences. • None of these were increasing in the previous period, between 2013 and 2014 64

Crime: Anti-social Behaviour Orders Sources: Thames Valley Police crime data (2016); rates calculated using ONS 2014 mid-year population estimates. Taken from SIA. There were 83 anti-social behaviour orders (ASBOs) in West Oxfordshire in 2016. This gives the lowest rate of ASBOs in the county, and below the national average. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 65

HEALTH 66

Health: Year 6 obesity significantly below national rate 25% 19. 1% 20% In West Oxfordshire, in 2014/15, 15% 158 Year 6 children were 10% 14. 8% obese. This is 14. 8% of the cohort. 5% West Oxon England 0% 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 This is significantly less than the England rate of 19. 1%. • CHART: Proportion of Year 6 children who are obese Source: Public Health England West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 (i. e. the blue line is outside the error bars on the red line) Other public health info available through the West Oxfordshire Health Profile, available through Public Health England here 67

Health: long-term limiting illness (self-defined) 20% In West Oxfordshire in 2011, 15% 8, 5% 10% 5% 9, 3% (8, 900 persons) 5, 9% (6, 200 persons) Daily activities limited 'a lot' 8, 3% 0% W. Oxon Daily activities limited 'a little' England CHART: Persons feeling their activities have been limited for at least a year by health Source: Census 2011, Table QS 303 EW West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 15, 100 individuals (14%) felt that their day-to-day activities were limited either ‘a little’ or ‘a lot’ by a health problem or disability that had lasted more than 12 months. This is lower than the England rate of 18%. (This measure is self-defining, and thus would differ from DWP benefit claimants. ) 68

Health: Decline in sport participation in West Oxfordshire CHART: % of adult population (16+) playing sport at least three times a week NB scale does not start at zero Source: Active People Survey, Sport England, up to 2016. Interactive Tool http: //activepeople. sportengland. org/ Since 2008, Sports England reports that In West Oxfordshire, there has been a steady increase in the decrease in this measure between 2008 proportion of adults engaging in sport (27. 7%) and 2016 (24. 5%). at least three times a week. (However, this may not be significant). West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 69

W. Oxf’shire residents are an unhealthy weight… but eat fruit & veg CHART 2: % of adults daily eating 5+ portions of fruit and veg CHART 1: % of adults with ‘healthy’ weight 60, 0% 70, 0% 55, 0% 50, 0% 45, 0% 52, 3% 50, 2% 47, 8% 47, 1% 53, 2% 49, 0% 48, 8% 48, 4% 47, 5% 60, 0% 51, 4% 52, 6% 55, 4% 59, 1% 58, 1% 50, 0% 43, 9% 40, 0% 30, 0% 40, 0% 35, 0% Oxfordshire West Oxfordshire England 30, 0% 2012 /13 2013 /14 2014 /15 Source: Active People Survey, Sport England 20, 0% 2013 /14 10, 0% 2014 /15 0, 0% England Oxfordshire West Oxfordshire Source: Active People Survey, Sport England A healthy weight is one with a BMI between 18. 4 and 24. 9 (as defined by the World Health Organization). In 2014/5, nearly three-fifths of West Oxfordshire residents ate at least five portions of fruit or veg daily. In 2014/15, 51. 2% of West Oxfordshire residents were an unhealthy weight. This is higher than the England average, and a large increase since the previous year. West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 70

OTHER 71

Overall, West Oxfordshire has comparatively low levels of deprivation According to the Indices of Deprivation 2015, there were no areas of the district ranked within the 30% most MAP: Index of deprived in England. Multiple Deprivation (2015) Of the district’s 66 LSOAs, 59% are in the top three deciles (score 8, 9, 10). Only three of the district’s LSOAs had a score of 4 (ie they would rank in the fourth decile of all LSOAs in England): two in Witney and one in Chipping Norton. Definition: “Lower Definition: The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) is a combined index made up of seven domains: income, employment, skills, health, housing & services, crime, living environment. Super Output Areas” (LSOAs) are used for the reporting of small area statistics and typically include a population of between 1, 000 and 3, 000 West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 72

West Oxfordshire has poor geographical access to services Over the last few years, successive IMD rankings have highlighted that West Oxfordshire LSOAs score among the worst in the country for access to services • • MAP: Geographical barriers to services (2015) Currently two LSOAs are in the 10% most deprived in England (ie. with a score of 1); Eight LSOAs are in the next 10% (ie. with a score of 2) There has not been significant improvement in West Oxfordshire scores for this subdomain over the last five years. In 2004, 20 areas of West Oxfordshire were in the 10% most deprived • In 2010, 14 out of 64 were in the 10% most deprived • In 2015, 14 out of 66 are in the 10% most deprived Definition: The “geographical barriers to services” sub-domain of the IMD is made of four Same colour indicators measuring road scale as distance to GP surgery, post office, primary school, and previous map! supermarket / general store. • West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 73

Reduction in average electricity consumption Between 2005 and 2014 the average domestic electricity consumption per consumer in West Oxfordshire fell by 12% compared with a decline of 14% nationally. In 2014, electricity consumption per consumer in West Oxfordshire was 20% higher than the England average. The map shows that average energy consumption is highest in rural areas of West Oxfordshire. This is likely to be related to the size of dwellings. MAP: Mean domestic energy consumption, per meter, 2014 Source: Dept of Energy & Climate Change West Oxfordshire Data. Pack Feb 2017 74