Use Young Bulls More Paul Van Raden and
Use Young Bulls More Paul Van. Raden and Mel Tooker Animal Improvement Programs Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD, USA Paul. Van. Raden@ars. usda. gov 2010 2007
Genomic Validation Tests Ø Predict 2010 daughter data using 2006 PA or genomic PTA • • Ø DYD 2010 = apa + bpa PA 2006 + e DYD 2010 = apta + bpta PTA 2006 + e Statistics from Jorjani, 2010 Interbull Genomics Workshop • • Foreign average includes DEU, FRA, NLD, DFS, JPN, POL, NZL, and CAN FRA not latest data (10, 000 bulls) National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (2) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Regressions and Gains in R 2 When predicting last 4 years of data Trait Regression Gain in R 2 USA Foreign Yield . 91 . 85 24 22 SCS . 80 . 97 15 23 Longevity 1. 10 . 98 15 8 Final score . 89 . 90 15 15 Udd depth . 90 1. 01 30 31 Stature . 98 26 30 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (3) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Validation Results Ø Euro. Genomics reliabilities about 5% higher than in North America • • Ø 10% REL gain from exchange Similar regressions, slightly < 1. 0 Validation expects regressions < 1 with selective genotyping of bulls • • Means of genotyped vs. nongenotyped Most countries genotyped all recent bulls National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (4) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Use Young Bulls More? National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (5) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Best Young, Proven Bulls in 2006 Ø Ranked by 2006 Net Merit • • Computed from August 2006 data Cow adjustments not included – – • Ø Genomic PTAs on ftp since Nov 2009: ftp: //aipl. arsusda. gov/pub/outgoing/validation 060 8. zip Base adjusted using: (NM$ – 132) * 1. 13 Top 7 young, old bulls in each stud • • • At least 70% reliability for traditional NM Studs 29, 14, 11, 7, 1 Young now average $495, old average $360 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (6) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 29 - Top Proven Bulls in 2006 Net Merit (adj) 2010 NM$ Dtrs Trad Gen Dtrs Gen Jet Stream 108 444 458 10, 600 392 Alton 108 484 452 6, 688 541 Mango 91 301 428 9, 201 413 Bolton 102 488 427 7, 870 378 Burt 100 368 418 12, 756 488 Boliver 117 402 24, 722 417 Turner 169 368 2, 917 359 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (7) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 29 - Top Young Bulls in 2006 NM$ (adj) Name 2010 Net Merit Trad Gen Dtrs Trad Gen Garrett 509 688 132 572 559 Fortunato 523 669 103 410 481 Mc. Cormick 442 591 135 653 595 Maury 504 589 135 349 376 Strategist 444 588 151 578 507 Coastal 394 582 94 396 492 Beacon 114 578 125 593 579 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (8) Paul Van. Raden 2010 8
Use Young Bulls More National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (9) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 14 - Top Proven Bulls in 2006 Net Merit (adj) 2010 NM$ Dtrs Trad Gen Dtrs Gen Billion 73 470 461 3, 685 232 Glen 91 286 396 1, 382 231 Potter 99 396 375 23, 883 380 Sailor 10, 463 316 298 18, 120 300 108 296 295 937 398 Scoop 86 266 287 2, 486 382 Dallas 113 298 283 1, 504 204 Alfie National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (10) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 14 - Top Young Bulls in 2006 NM$ (adj) Name 2010 Net Merit Trad Gen Dtrs Trad Gen Kramer 473 562 79 560 503 Man-O-Man 459 558 105 692 609 Columbia 394 542 106 441 372 Outkast 450 534 77 353 372 Paxton 464 524 94 505 463 Dew 518 524 124 503 Doman 223 521 108 358 386 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (11) Paul Van. Raden 201011
Use Young Bulls More National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (12) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 11 - Top Proven Bulls in 2006 Net Merit (adj) 2010 NM$ Dtrs Trad Gen Dtrs Gen 753 469 444 10, 673 435 Alta. Birdman 74 357 438 470 281 Mac 90 243 370 2, 355 380 Alta. Juryman 99 376 368 1, 063 422 Alta. Apollo 117 308 324 807 213 Alta. Ruffian 92 303 312 1, 749 379 Alta. Suede 108 278 310 13, 326 247 Alta. Ally National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (13) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 11 - Top Young Bulls in 2006 NM$ (adj) Name 2010 Net Merit Trad Gen Dtrs Trad Gen Alta. Otto 608 614 104 590 569 Alta. Ross 468 588 103 578 592 Alta. Esquire 589 547 105 652 556 Alta. Ozone 495 512 92 306 378 Alta. Uno 436 501 103 373 486 Alta. Oasis 435 459 106 358 407 Official 504 457 103 259 252 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (14) Paul Van. Raden 201014
Use Young Bulls More National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (15) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 7 - Top Proven Bulls in 2006 Net Merit (adj) 2010 NM$ Dtrs Trad Gen Dtrs Gen O Man 1, 317 653 646 58, 474 724 Boone 4, 845 419 408 16, 815 389 Binky 57 390 379 2, 633 356 Ri-Val 77 310 375 244 Matches 71 391 363 3, 457 269 Man 59 406 356 1, 781 322 1, 889 338 348 20, 696 293 Zenith National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (16) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 7 - Top Young Bulls in 2006 NM$ (adj) Name 2010 Net Merit Trad Gen Dtrs Trad Gen Caruso 605 588 147 444 411 Image 224 585 75 109 294 Niagra 403 583 158 508 430 Secret 410 576 75 438 472 Officer 545 572 223 425 406 Hanover 442 568 90 500 556 Bronco 446 564 76 571 547 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (17) Paul Van. Raden 201017
Use Young Bulls More National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (18) Paul Van. Raden 201018
Stud 1 - Top Proven Bulls in 2006 Net Merit (adj) 2010 NM$ Dtrs Trad Gen Dtrs Gen OBrian 94 385 496 1, 351 456 Sharky 99 440 441 7, 993 452 126 432 425 9, 924 390 Satire 81 406 391 4, 701 349 Bo 75 410 385 9, 004 231 29, 076 374 365 56, 624 348 102 338 365 15, 135 311 Tres Lynch Murphy National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (19) Paul Van. Raden 2010
Stud 1 - Top Young Bulls in 2006 NM$ (adj) Name 2010 Net Merit Trad Gen Dtrs Trad Gen Freddie 467 762 73 834 827 Awesome 472 731 90 524 576 Logan 521 646 104 630 588 Cavana 471 631 93 483 537 Bedrock 477 600 116 528 583 Lloyd 521 591 83 608 507 Les 376 589 121 495 550 National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (20) Paul Van. Raden 201020
Most Genotyped Progeny As of Jan 2010 Sire Progeny Shottle 1668 Ramos 766 Goldwyn 1245 O Man 746 Planet 1224 Bolton 667 Baxter 968 Armstead 558 Mac 848 Toystory 554 825 503 Boliver National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (21) Million Paul Van. Raden 2010
Use Young Bulls More National Association of Animal Breeders, April 2010 (22) Paul Van. Raden 2010
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