Understanding and Predicting Personal Navigation Jaime Teevan Daniel
- Slides: 19
Understanding and Predicting Personal Navigation Jaime Teevan, Daniel J. Liebling and Gayathri Ravichandran Geetha Microsoft Research
33% queries repeated 73% of those are navigational [Teevan et al. SIGIR 2007] (tomorrow @ 14: 00) 7 th
33% queries repeated 73% of those are navigational [Teevan et al. SIGIR 2007] Authors Tutorials Attending Workshops Sponsors Conference Venue www. wsdm 2011. org New content: WSDM 2012 to be held February 9 -12 in Seattle, WA.
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identifying general navigation – Understanding general navigation • Personal Navigation wsdm – Identifying personal navigation – Compare with general navigation – Coverage and accuracy of prediction – Consistency of behavior over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identifying general navigation – Understanding general navigation • Personal Navigation wsdm – Identifying personal navigation – Compare with general navigation – Coverage and accuracy of prediction – Consistency of behavior over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Identifying General Navigation • Ask people (“Were you looking for this site? ”) – 1 in 4 queries reported to be navigational • Query string (wsdm. org or microsoft) – 10% of queries identified as navigational • Click behavior – Look for low click entropy – Need lots of data (query instances, users, clicks)
Understanding General Navigation • Identified 390 general navigation queries – 12% of query volume • Query strings straightforward – facebook, youtube, myspace – Short (½ the length of typical Web queries) – Contain a URL fragment 20% of the time • Navigation target usually first result
General Navigation Mistakes • Click predicted only 72% of the time – Double the accuracy for the average query – But what’s going on the other 28% of the time? • Many typical navigation queries not identified – craigslist (people visit interior pages) – weather. com (people visit related pages) 3% visit http: //geo. craigslist. org/iso/us/ca 17% visit http: //weather. yahoo. com
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identify high quality common queries – Look navigational ≠ navigational • Personal Navigation wsdm – Identifying personal navigation – Compare with general navigation – Coverage and accuracy of prediction – Consistency of behavior over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identify high quality common queries – Look navigational ≠ navigational • Personal Navigation wsdm – Identifying personal navigation – Compare with general navigation – Coverage and accuracy of prediction – Consistency of behavior over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Identifying Personal Navigation • Repeat queries are often navigational • The same navigation used over and over again • Was there a unique click on the same result the last 2 times the person issued the query? wsdm hong kong wsdm sheraton sigir wsdm cfp wsdm
Understanding Personal Navigation • Identified millions of navigation queries – Most occur fewer than 25 times in the logs – 15% of the query volume • Queries more ambiguous – Rarely contain a URL fragment – Click entropy the same as for general Web queries National Enquirer – enquirer (multiple meanings) http: //www. medicinenet. com/bed_bugs/article. htm Cincinnati Enquirer – bed bugs (found navigation) Etsy. com [Informational] – etsy (serendipitous encounters) Regretsy. com (parody)
Personal Navigation Accurate • Target less likely to be ranked first. . –. . than target of general navigation –. . than the average Web search click • Nonetheless, prediction very accurate – Correct 95% of the time
Prediction Consistent Over Time • Looked at different history intervals – How much do we need to know about a person? – Offline predictions? • Prediction accuracy consistent over time • Coverage decreases with stale history Accuracy Coverage 1 month 95% 1 week 94% 13% Last week 95% 11% A week ago 90% 5%
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identify high quality common queries – Look navigational ≠ navigational • Personal Navigation wsdm – Re-finding often navigational – Identify unusual navigational queries – High coverage and accuracy – Behavior consistent over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Road Map of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identify high quality common queries – Look navigational ≠ navigational • Personal Navigation wsdm – Re-finding often navigational – Identify unusual navigational queries – High coverage and accuracy – Behavior consistent over time Bing search logs 70 million queries 21 million users • Bridging general and personal navigation
Bridging Personal and General • Some personal navigation queries are general navigation queries Personal General 12% 5% Accuracy 15% of prediction: Personal Navigation 95% General Navigation 72% Opportunity to combine aggregate and individual data to increase coverage and drop inaccurate general navigation
Summary of Talk • General Navigation microsoft research – Identify high quality common queries – Look navigational ≠ navigational • Personal Navigation wsdm An opportunity for personalization that works! – Re-finding often navigational – Identify unusual navigational queries – High coverage and accuracy – Behavior consistent over time • General & personal navigation complementary
Questions? Jaime Teevan, Daniel J. Liebling and Gayathri Ravichandran Geetha Microsoft Research
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