U S Climate Resilience Toolkit Steps to Resilience

U. S. Climate Resilience Toolkit Steps to Resilience Overview toolkit. climate. gov David Herring, program manager NOAA OAR/Climate Program Office 301 -734 -1207 | david. herring@noaa. gov Overview for USTTI International Cohort November 1, 2017

Online at https: //toolkit. climate. gov 2

For people seeking help in building resilience 3

Resilience is the capacity to withstand or recover from a disruption (This concept is scalable from a single organism to entire systems — natural & human-built. ) 4

Did you know? Why should we care? What can we do about it? 5

Summary overview You are here in the St. R process Video orientation for each step Links to case studies showing others taking this step. Narrative text on each step of the St. R process Glossary & downloadabl e spreadsheet to help users capture notes Links to tools useful/releva nt to this step. 6

5 Steps to Resilience Step 1: Explore climate threats Did you know? • Identify the problem, including both climate & non-climate stressors and their impacts • Garner support and build your team — select people who are willing to give support and take action • Agree upon boundaries for your problem • Define key terms & use them consistently in group discussions 7

hazards & assets Wikipedia Commons drought & water resources

hazards & assets sea level rise & coastal habitats

hazards & assets floods and infrastructure

Do weather, climate &/or environment present a threat(s) to assets you value? Threats Assets 11

A framework for systems thinking Non. Climate Stressors Hazard Asset

A framework for systems thinking Future Change Non. Climate Stressors Hazard Asset

A framework for systems thinking Future Change Non. Climate Stressors Hazard Asset Action

A framework for systems thinking Future Change Non. Climate Stressors Indicator &/or Threshold Hazard Asset Action

Who should participate? Stakeholder Groups Candidates or Leads Contact Info Notes on Role(s) Representativ e (Names) Contact Info

What are your concerns? Key Assets or Weather or Resources Climate Hazards Past or Potential Impacts Climaterelated Stressors Non-Climaterelated Stressors Tipping Point(s)?

5 Steps to Resilience Exposure Sensitivity Potential Impacts Adaptive Capacity Step 1: Explore climate threats Step 2: Assess vulnerability & risk Vulnerability 18

How might we determine sensitivity? 1. Sector 2. Current and/or Expected Planning Area Stressors (Climate & Non-climate) 3. Conditions that 4. Potential Impact Contribute to or Consequence to Stressors Planning Area (Resources and Services Affected) 5. Projected Change in Stressors and Contributing Conditions 6. Degree of Sensitivity 19

How might we determine sensitivity? 1. Sector 2. Current and/or Expected Planning Area Stressors (Climate and Non-climate) Flooding Stormwater Management 3. Conditions that 4. Potential Impact Contribute to or Consequence to Stressors Planning Area (Resources and Services Affected) 5. Projected Change in Stressors and Contributing Conditions 6. Degree of Sensitivity Heavy precipitation, amount and timing of precipitation, tropical storms, and sea level rise and storm surge Damage to property and infrastructure in floodplain, impassable roadways, threat to human safety, and business interruption Recent increase in heavy precipitation in the region is already a concern, trend can be expected to continue Erosion and/or Landslides Runoff from heavy precipitation events, steep slopes Damage to property and infrastructure, impassable roadways, threat to human safety, and business interruption Recent increase in heavy precipitation in the region is already a concern, trend can be expected to continue High [only an examplesensitivity degree must be determined by each community team] Impervious surfaces Land use of best practices in developments Storm water fees and funding levels More storm water contributing to runoff and flooding Lack of infrastructure for managing storm water Increased development into the future can be expected Funding will likely continue to be a challenge Less funding for stormwater infrastructure upgrades 20

5 Steps to Resilience Exposure Sensitivity Potential Impacts Adaptive Capacity Vulnerability Probability of Occurrence Step 1: Explore climate threats Step 2: Assess vulnerability & risk RISK 21

Sources of information inputs Exposure Sensitivity Potential Impacts Adaptive Capacity Vulnerability Probability of Occurrence Legend: Federated data are available and useful Site specific information, knowledge, and evaluation required Required output to move on to next step RISK 22

How might we determine vulnerability? SENSITIVITY High Legend: Very High Vulnerability Medium Vulnerability Low Low Medium High ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

How might we determine risk? Probability of Threat High Very High Risk Medium Risk Low Low Medium Magnitude of Consequence High

5 Steps to Resilience Step 1: Explore climate threats Did you know? Step 2: Assess vulnerability & risk Why should we care? Step 3: Investigate options Step 4: Prioritize actions What can we do about it? 25

List & prioritize adaptation options Options = Feasible Comments Increase Resilience? = Potentially Feasible Economic Feasibility? Low Environ. Impact? = Not Feasible Ability to Implement?

For example… Options Comments Build levees Questions re budget & whether can prevent floods Build sea wall Beyond budget; will impact coastal ecology Managed retreat from shoreline Viable, but only as a partial solution Increase Resilience? Restore, Viable in all = Feasible protect categories= Potentially Feasible marshland Economic Feasibility? Neg. Environ. Impact? = Not Feasible Ability to Implement?

Overview… 28

Where can I get ideas about possible adaptation actions I can take to protect my valued assets?

For people seeking help in building resilience 30

Title & summary overview Share this on social media The ‘story’, introducing a protagonist, their climate challenge, and action(s) taken You are here in ‘Steps to Resilience’ CRT tool(s) featured in this case study CRT Regions & Topics relevant to this case study Whom to contact for more details

think in systems Asset > Waterfront Properties

think in systems Threat > Flooding Waterfront Properties

think in systems Very Heavy Precipitation Storm Surge Human development ^ Climate stressors ^ ^ Non-climate stressor Flooding Waterfront Properties

think in systems Global Warming Very Heavy Precipitation Sea Level Rise Population Growth ^ Future changes ^ Storm Surge Human Development Flooding Waterfront Properties

think in systems Global Warming Very Heavy Precipitation Sea Level Rise Population Growth Storm Surge Human Development Flooding Waterfront Properties Increase Insurance Rates ^ Action

think in systems Global Warming Very Heavy Precipitation Sea Level Rise Population Growth Storm Surge Change Bldg Codes Human Development Flooding Waterfront Properties Preserve Space in Floodplain Increase Insurance Rates ^ Actions ^ Improve Drainage Systems

think in systems Sea Level Rise Global Warming Very Heavy Precipitation Population Growth Storm Surge Human Development Flooding Indicator > Fewer Floods & Damages Waterfront Properties Change Bldg Codes Preserve Space in Floodplain Increase Insurance Rates Improve Drainage Systems

think in systems Sea Level Rise Global Warming Very Heavy Precipitation Storm Surge $ Saved from CRS Credits Mosquito Control ^ Co-benefits! Population Growth Fewer Floods & Damages Human Development Flooding Waterfront Properties Change Bldg Codes Preserve Space in Floodplain Increase Insurance Rates Improve Drainage Systems

5 Steps to Resilience Step 5: Take Action! • Implement plan • Monitor progress, watching for missteps or “mal-adaptations” • Iterate as needed • Share your story — both successes & are useful for others to learn • Decision point: has implementation of your plan increased climate resilience? 43

Expertise » Find Experts map 45

Our Funding Opportunities page presents a curated list of about two dozen grants offered by federal agencies & NGOs for municipalities & businesses seeking funds to help them recover from a disaster, or to build resilience to climate hazards.

http: //iri. columbia. edu/

http: //sedac. ciesin. columbia. edu/