Think Tanks in a Transforming World GLOBAL THINK

Think Tanks in a Transforming World: GLOBAL THINK TANK SUMMIT 2020 & 2021 August 7 th, 2020 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania SUMMER 2020 TTCSP RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM Final PPT 08/04/2020

Our Team Abby Baggini (Project Lead) University of Pennsylvania Hilal Bazzi University of Michigan Anna Newnam University of Pennsylvania Dennis Ronel University of Pennsylvania Larissa Migotto University of Illinois Inesse Jibre Columbia University Ali Osman University of Pennsylvania Roxana Perez University of Pennsylvania Dr. James Mc. Gann Director, Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program

Presentati on Outline WHAT IS THE GLOBAL SUMMIT? Summit goals, structure, planning, and updates for 2020/2021 LOGISTICAL WORK Overview of the logistical preparation for the summit MAJOR TRENDS AND LITERATURE REVIEWS Overview of research conducted on potential programming themes and proposed panels QUESTIONS AND ANSWER Summary of forthcoming summit work, question and answer period

WHAT IS THE GLOBAL THINK TANK SUMMIT? ● Since its inception in 2014, the GTTS has been the premier forum for the most influential and innovative think tanks from around the world to discuss global issues and the role of their institutions ● Summit is conducted in a Davos-Style format with plenary panels and breakout sessions

Geneva, Switzerland The Geneva Graduate Institute 2019 GLOBAL SUMMIT AND SUMMIT HISTORY Montreal, Canada Centre for International Governance Innovation Milan, Italy Institute for International Political Studies Brussels, Belgium Bruegel Yokohama, Japan Asian Development Bank Institute 2019 SUMMIT: Managing Global Turbulence and Transitions: The Role of Think Tanks CO-HOST: Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) LOCATION: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil PARTICIPANTS: 105 participants from 88 institutions MAJOR THEMES: multilateralism, artificial intelligence, popular discontent, populism, think tank diversity and innovation, think tank partnerships, climate change, trade relations Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Fundação Getulio Vargas

2020 and 2021 GLOBAL SUMMITS 2020 2021 originally scheduled to be in Bahrain in November 2020, due to COVID-19, the summit this year will be held virtually in the late fall will be co-hosted by The Bahrain Centre for Strategic, International and Energy Studies (DERASAT) in Bahrain in October 2021 DERASAT Chairman, Dr. Shaikh Abdulla bin Ahmed Al Khalifa The 2021 Global Think Tank Summit “will be the most momentous and critically important gatherings of the leading think tanks, policymakers, and thought leaders since World War II” -Dr. James Mc. Gann

GTTS in a Global Context Think Tank Definition “Think tanks are public policy research, analysis, and engagement institutions that generate policy-oriented research, analysis, and advice on domestic and international issues that enable policymakers and the public to make informed decisions about public policy issues. Think tanks may be affiliated with a political party, a university, or a government; they are independent institutions that are structured as permanent bodies, not ad hoc commissions. ” -Dr. James Mc. Gann, The Fifth Estate Total Number of Think Tanks according to the 2019 Global Go To Think Tank Index Total: 8, 248 175 Top Think Tanks Worldwide (Non-U. S. and U. S. ) Regional Breakdown of Think Tanks: EUROPE 26. 9% NORTH AMERICA 25% ASIA 22. 2% SOUTH & CENTRAL AMERICA 12. 4% SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 7. 4% MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA 6. 1% 2219 2058 1829 1023 612 507

Analysis of Participating Institutions experts were compiled onto the GTTS list from 463 hundreds of institutions across the globe What was found? Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa had the lowest rates of participation ● 27, 34, and 18 participants respectively at the 2016 -2019 Global Summits. ● Participants were also from the same institutions the team targeted these regions and identified 5 0 key staff members from top institutions in the regions and added them to the 2020 invite list

GEOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF PAST PARTICIPANTS

GEOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF UPDATED INVITE LIST

Analyzing Past Global Summits: Major Trends & Key Issues GLOBAL POLICY ISSUES ● ● ● Populism Impact of Technological Advancement International Health Vulnerable Populations Youth Activism and Protest ○ Environmental Policy OPERATIONAL & STRATEGIC CHALLENGES FOR THINK TANKS ● Think Tank Diversity & Inclusion ● Maintaining Public Trust and Reputation ● Think Tank Sustainability

Youth Unrest and Activism FOCUS COUNTRIES Hong Kong: Extradition protests United States: Black Lives Matter Protests Lebanon: Protests against government, unemployment

Impact of Climate Change A GENERATIONAL DIFFERENCE 70% of 18 to 34 years olds are concerned about climate change but only 56% of people 55 and older 89% of youth believe their generation can make a difference on climate change A POLITICAL BATTLE 85% of Democrats or left-leaning voters consider protecting the environment a top priority for the president, while only 39% of Republicans or right-leaning voters agree A GLOBAL THREAT A 1. 5 degree Celsius global temperature increase will “expose some 350 million additional people to drought and push roughly 120 million people into extreme poverty by 2030” Sources: (Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, 2019), (TIME, 2019)

International Health FUTURE INVESTMENT RESTRUCTURING IN HEALTHCARE Virus has impacted both developed and developing countries despite varied level of healthcare investment Countries need to determine how to better reinvest in the future REGIONAL & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION expected short term push against cooperation, likely to be a long term move towards increased cooperation ECONOMIC RECOVERY FOLLOWING COVID prediction of a V-shape recovery Sources: (J. P. Morgan, 2020), (Dervis & Strauss, 2020), (World Bank, 2020)

Impact of Technological Advancement TELEMEDICINE & CONTACT TRACING Both raise significant privacy concerns but are being employed internationally as a response to the COVID pandemic SOCIAL MEDIA AND DISINFORMATION "Fake news, " coupled with technology like troll farms and deep fakes, has eroded public confidence in traditional sources of information. In many discourses there ceases to be a set of agreed upon facts. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE The GTTS has tracked AI development for several years now, as it has the potential to significantly influence the face of Sources: (CDC, 2020), (Turner-Lee, Karsten, & Roberts, security, business, and personal 2020), (Reuters, 2018) relationships.

Populism A political approach that strives to appeal to ordinary people who feel that their concerns are disregarded by established elite groups

Populism 22% of the world population is populist, jumping as high as 40 percent in countries with recent political upheaval such as Brazil and Ukraine. The election of Donald Trump, the Brexit vote, and increasing isolationism are recent examples of growing populism. POPULISM IS A REACTION AND AN OPPOSITION TO GLOBALIZATION Why populism has succeeded as an ideology opposed to a globalized world? the Great Recession of 2008, a failure to control widespread migration, and growing economic inequality along educational and geographical lines Increase of far right parties that oppose the International Human Rights Movement, collective organizations such as the EU and the UN, and laws that allow for increased movement and liberalism POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF POPULISM backsliding of global economic activity xenophobia and limited migration isolationism end of neoliberalism inability to keep up with dramatic technological change Sources: (Jordi, 2017), (Galston, 2018), (Schoen, 2019)

Vulnerable Population s MIGRANTS Worsening conditions for 70 million forcibly displaced people—including refugees, asylum seekers, IDPs, and other forced migrants. MINORITIES HUMANITARIAN CRISES Disproportionate exposure, risk, and consequences for minority communities during the pandemic. Already weak healthcare system and the targeted exploitation of these systems threaten lives in places like Yemen. Sources: (Refugees International, 2020), (Kurtzer, 2020), (CDC, 2020)

Methodology Research: ● Analyzed past summit reports to identify transregional trends ● Researched the recent key initiatives of top think tanks ● Reviewed relevant literature and news articles on distinct 2020 issues ● Synthesize literature on the identified trends Logistics and Invite Lists: ● Reviewed Past Participant Lists ○ Identified repeat attendees ○ Tallied the amount of attendees from each country/region ● Targeted new individuals and institutions that focus on the critical issues the summit is trying to address ○ Drafted panel proposals on these issues with panelist proposals ● Added executive staff from top think tanks in targets regions to the list ● Used TTCSP’s regional databases to update and compile contact info for invitees

Additional Themes: Global Think Tank Town Halls ● Many of the issues identified were raised in the virtual Global Think Tank Town Halls ○ Breakout Group Topics: 1) The Public Health Crisis 2) National and International Economic Recovery Strategies 3) Innovative and Inclusive Intervention Public and Private Strategies to Help Vulnerable Groups 4) Fostering International Cooperation 5) Fit for Uncertain Future -New Operating Models for Think Tanks Research, Communications and Funding ● The Global Town Hall themes will continue to be tracked and likely examined through a regional lense in the fall 2020 virtual Global Summit

Conclusions The 2021 summit in Bahrain will be a critically important gathering for think tanks and top thought leaders. The summit, as well as the 2020 virtual summit preceding it, will draw a geographically diverse group of hundreds of think tanks. 2020 has given rise to a variety of newer issues that have not yet been covered by past Global Summits. Specifically, international health (COVID-19), youth activism, and safeguarding vulnerable populations will be likely be important topics for summit programming.

Forthcoming GTTS Work ● Continue to refine invite list ● Send out GTTS 2021 Save the Date Letter ● Track Invitee ● Track key trends and ● Set date for the Interest for GTTS major issues for the virtual summit 2021 virtual summit ● Invite panelists as ● Narrow list to programming and for well as viewers formal invitees the 2021 programming

Bibliograp hy “Case Investigation and Contact Tracing : Part of a Multipronged Approach to Fight the COVID-19 Pandemic. ” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, April 29, 2020. https: //www. cdc. gov/coronavirus/2019 -ncov/php/principles-contact-tracing. html. “COVID-19 AND THE DISPLACED: ADDRESSING THE THREAT OF THE NOVEL CORONAVIRUS IN HUMANITARIAN EMERGENCIES. ” Refugees International, March 30, 2020. CDC. 2020. “Racial & Ethnic Minority Groups. ” June 25, 2020. Dervis, Kemal and Strauss, Sebastian. “What COVID-19 means for international cooperation. ” Brookings. March 6, 2020. https: //www. brookings. edu/opinions/what-covid-19 -means- for-international-cooperation/ Digital News Report 2018, Reuters Institute. June 13, 2018. http: //media. digitalnewsreport. org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/digital-news-report-2018. pdf “Do Younger Generations Care More about Global Warming? ” Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, June 11, 2019. https: //climatecommunication. yale. edu/publications/do-younger-generations-care-more-about-global-warming/. “Greta Thunberg: TIME's Person of the Year 2019. ” Time, 2019. https: //time. com/person-of-the-year-2019 -greta-thunberg/. Galston, William. 2018. "The Populist Challenge To Liberal Democracy". Brookings. https: //www. brookings. edu/research/the-populist-challenge-to-liberaldemocracy/. Jordi, Bacaria. 2017. "CIDOB - Populism And Its Impact On Multilateral Institutions And Economic Trade". CIDOB.

Bibliography Kurtzer, Jacob. “The Impact of COVID-19 on Humanitarian Crises. ” Center for Strategic & International Studies. March 19, 2020. Mc. Gann, James G. , "2019 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report" (2020). TTCSP Global Go To Think Tank Index Reports. https: //repository. upenn. edu/think_tanks/17 Mc. Gann, James G. 2016. The Fifth Estate: Think Tanks, Public Policy, and Governance. Washington DC: Brookings Institution. Schoen, Douglas. 2019. "Why Populism Is Back In Full Force". The Hill. https: //thehill. com/opinion/international/461450 -why-populism-is-back-in-full-force. Turner-Lee, Nicol, Karsten, Jack and Roberts, Jordan. “Removing Regulatory Barriers to Telehealth before and after COVID-19. ” Brookings, May 14, 2020. https: //www. brookings. edu/research/removing-regulatory-barriers-to-telehealth-before-and-after-covid-19/. “What Will the Recovery Look Like From the COVID-19 Recession? ” J. P. Morgan, April 10, 2020. https: //www. jpmorgan. com/global/research/2020 -covid 19 recession-recovery. "World Bank Group's Operational Response to COVID-19 (coronavirus) – Projects List. " World Bank. Accessed June 19, 2020. https: //www. worldbank. org/en/about/what-we-do/brief/world-bank-group-operational-response-covid-19 -coronavirus-projects-list. Photo Credits: Akshay Narang. https: //tfipost. com/2020/04/western-right-wing-is-a-bunch-of-morons-trump-bolsonaro-and-johnson-are-prime-examples-of-it/ Claude Paris. https: //www. thenation. com/article/archive/mounk-galston-deneen-eichengreen-the-populist-specter/ Léo Corrêa, AP. https: //www. theguardian. com/world/2019/may/01/how-brazil-and-south-africa-became-the-worlds-most-populist-countries Tjitske Akkerman. https: //www. greeneuropeanjournal. eu/dont-panic-about-populism-greater-threats-abound/ https: //www. twentyfoursevennews. com/2019/09/bahrain-at-the-forefront-in-helping-syrian-brethren/

For more information: Visit the TTCSP home page about the program: https: //www. gotothinktank. com/ Visit Scholarly Commons to view previous Global Go To Think Tank Index Reports: https: //repository. upenn. edu/think_tanks/ To view past publications: https: //www. gotothinktank. com/publications

TTCSP Mission The mission of TTCSP is to increase the profile, capacity and performance of think tanks at the national, regional and global levels so they can better serve policymakers and the public. TTCSP conducts research on the relationship between think tanks, politics and public policy, produces the annual Global Go To Think Tank Index, develops capacity-building resources and programs, manages and supports a global network of over 8, 000 think tanks and trains future think tank scholars and executives. TTCSP is often referred to as the “think tanks’ think tank. ” Copyright © July 2020. Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program, University of Pennsylvania

“Helping to bridge the gap between knowledge and policy” 2020 Copyright: All rights reserved. No part of this report may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by an information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the University of Pennsylvania, Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program. James G. Mc. Gann, Ph. D. Senior Lecturer, International Studies, Lauder Institute Director, Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program Wharton School and School of Arts and Sciences University of Pennsylvania 256 S. 37 th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104 Main Office: (215) 573 -6267 Direct Line: (215) 746 -2928 Mobile: (215) 206 -1799 Email: jmcgann@wharton. upenn. edu Website: gotothinktank. com