The Transformation of the UK Actuarial Profession Or

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The Transformation of the UK Actuarial Profession Or, Remaining Relevant in a Changing World?

The Transformation of the UK Actuarial Profession Or, Remaining Relevant in a Changing World? By Adrian Saunders

The Profession in 1980 Not much had changed in 30 years

The Profession in 1980 Not much had changed in 30 years

Life Industry • • With Profits and mutual offices Statutory Roles Status in Management

Life Industry • • With Profits and mutual offices Statutory Roles Status in Management Regulated by DTI, delegated to the GAD • Participation in the profession encouraged

Examples from Life Industry -1 • 1974 -75 Market crash

Examples from Life Industry -1 • 1974 -75 Market crash

Changing World 1986 -1996

Changing World 1986 -1996

Examples from Life Industry -2 • Mortgage Endowments

Examples from Life Industry -2 • Mortgage Endowments

Examples from Life Industry -3 • The Equitable

Examples from Life Industry -3 • The Equitable

Examples from Life Industry -4 • With Profits Bonds

Examples from Life Industry -4 • With Profits Bonds

Reviews…. The Lost Decade 2001 Actuarial Profession’s Corley Report 2001 FSA Baird Review ->

Reviews…. The Lost Decade 2001 Actuarial Profession’s Corley Report 2001 FSA Baird Review -> With Profits Review 2004 Penrose Report into Equitable 2006 Morris review of Actuarial profession 2007 EU Report on Equitable

Impact on the Profession • Loss of Appointed Actuary Role • Losing status within

Impact on the Profession • Loss of Appointed Actuary Role • Losing status within companies (adviser to the Board rather than member of Board) • Increasingly technical modeling work replacing exercise of judgment • Lack of visibility as public champion

Examples from Pensions -1 • Schemes in significant surplus – Revenue concerned that companies

Examples from Pensions -1 • Schemes in significant surplus – Revenue concerned that companies were sheltering excessive profits within schemes – Finance Act 1986 capped pension fund surpluses and introduced “Contribution Holidays” • Government saw an easy fund-raising target: 1997 “Gordon Brown’s Tax Grab” • Actuarial profession’s response muted.

Examples from Pensions -2 • FRS 17 (2001) Introduced realistic costing of pension liabilities

Examples from Pensions -2 • FRS 17 (2001) Introduced realistic costing of pension liabilities – Great work for actuarial consultancies! – Short term volatility for long term liability – Accelerated demise of DB schemes and adversely affected investment policy • Actuarial Profession’s response muted (strong differences of opinion amongst Council members)

This Debate is Still Going On

This Debate is Still Going On

Where Did This Leave the Profession? • The fallout from Equitable damaged the standing

Where Did This Leave the Profession? • The fallout from Equitable damaged the standing of actuaries in management and in the eyes of the public • In pensions, the move away from DB reduced opportunities, individuals need increased support • Increased regulation replaced freedom and judgment with technical calculation

Hope for the Future? • New Fields – General Insurance – Risk Management •

Hope for the Future? • New Fields – General Insurance – Risk Management • Growing interest in Risk Management and the creation of CRO posts provides an opportunity – If we can rise above super-technical modeling and capture the CRO role by showing how it is relevant in practical ways to companies.

A Case Study In The Making?

A Case Study In The Making?