The Logic of Logistics 2018 Joint Mathematics Meetings

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The Logic of Logistics 2018 Joint Mathematics Meetings AMS Special Session on Modeling in

The Logic of Logistics 2018 Joint Mathematics Meetings AMS Special Session on Modeling in Differential Equations High School, Two-Year College, Four-Year Institution Bill Skerbitz - Wayzata High School (Plymouth, MN)

The Logic of Logistics – Typical Introductions to Logistic Functions Foerster, Paul. Precalculus with

The Logic of Logistics – Typical Introductions to Logistic Functions Foerster, Paul. Precalculus with Trigonometry: Instructor’s Resource Book, Volume I © 2003 Key Curriculum Press.

https: //tinyurl. com/hc 3 noff Accessed 1/2/2018.

https: //tinyurl. com/hc 3 noff Accessed 1/2/2018.

Demana, Finney, Kennedy, Waits. Calculus: Graphical, Numeric, Algebraic, 3 rd ed. © 2007. Pearson/Prentice

Demana, Finney, Kennedy, Waits. Calculus: Graphical, Numeric, Algebraic, 3 rd ed. © 2007. Pearson/Prentice Hall.

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics Simulation/Modeling assumptions: • Depending on time constraints – you can

The Logic of Logistics Simulation/Modeling assumptions: • Depending on time constraints – you can talk students through the assumptions: – One person (the “index case”? ) starts with the virus on day 0, i. e. , the I. C. is (0, 1). – Each carrier of the virus can pass the virus to at most one other person on a given day – Once a person has contracted the virus, they are no longer susceptible (i. e. , we wouldn’t count them again if our simulation indicates that they are re-infected with the virus; therefore, not every “interaction” results in a new infection) – Infection is never fatal (i. e. , the population never decreases)

The Logic of Logistics Simulation setup: • The students are numbered, in no particular

The Logic of Logistics Simulation setup: • The students are numbered, in no particular order, from 1 to n, where n = # of people in the classroom (teacher participation mandatory? ) • Have some sort of tracking method (see table in subsequent slides) to track day and total # of individuals infected (it’s also helpful to keep a list of who’s been infected) – I use Geogebra to plot points in real time because it is easy to superimpose solution curves and slope fields later • The initial carrier is chosen randomly from the class, and all numbered participants stand up except for the initial carrier

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

Day Rand. Int Command Total # Infected Which Student #s were Infected? 0 rand.

Day Rand. Int Command Total # Infected Which Student #s were Infected? 0 rand. Int(1, 32, 1) 1 5 1 rand. Int(1, 32, 1) 2 22 2 rand. Int(1, 32, 2) 4 1, 20 3 rand. Int(1, 32, 4) 7 9, 30, 27 4 rand. Int(1, 32, 7) 10 8, 4, 24 5 rand. Int(1, 32, 10) 14 16, 13, 21, 12 6 rand. Int(1, 32, 14) 21 6, 26, 15, 11, 23, 31, 19 7 rand. Int(1, 32, 21) 24 29, 7, 17 8 rand. Int(1, 32, 24) 28 14, 32, 3, 18 9 rand. Int(1, 32, 28) 30 10, 28 10 rand. Int(1, 32, 30) 32 2, 25

The Logic of Logistics – PLOT

The Logic of Logistics – PLOT

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics •

The Logic of Logistics – Results Students immediately realize that the slope field appears

The Logic of Logistics – Results Students immediately realize that the slope field appears to fit the data well! The remaining time is spent solving the differential equation.

The Logic of Logistics - Solutions •

The Logic of Logistics - Solutions •

The Logic of Logistics - Solutions — ANALYTIC — MATHEMATICA — GEOGEBRA

The Logic of Logistics - Solutions — ANALYTIC — MATHEMATICA — GEOGEBRA

The Logic of Logistics - Extensions •

The Logic of Logistics - Extensions •

The Logic of Logistics - Summary •

The Logic of Logistics - Summary •

The Logic of Logistics Thank you for attending! 2018 Joint Mathematics Meetings AMS Special

The Logic of Logistics Thank you for attending! 2018 Joint Mathematics Meetings AMS Special Session on Modeling in Differential Equations High School, Two-Year College, Four-Year Institution Bill Skerbitz - Wayzata High School (Plymouth, MN) Access this talk at mrskerbitz. com/JMM 2018 -Logistics. pdf.