The International MANPADS Scenario The MANPADS Threat SA14

  • Slides: 12
Download presentation
The International MANPADS Scenario

The International MANPADS Scenario

The MANPADS Threat SA-14 fired at DHL cargo plane near Baghdad airport, November 2003

The MANPADS Threat SA-14 fired at DHL cargo plane near Baghdad airport, November 2003

A manpad used against an airliner is not a hit-to-kill weapon; it is more

A manpad used against an airliner is not a hit-to-kill weapon; it is more like a launch-to-scare weapon…There isn't a current and qualified airline crew that could not handle an inflight emergency regarding any. . . hit by a manpad. - Letter to the Editor, Aviation Week & Space Technology

Launch to Scare? DHL A 300 hit by a MANPADS near Baghdad International Airport,

Launch to Scare? DHL A 300 hit by a MANPADS near Baghdad International Airport, Nov. 2003

MANPADS Proliferation Source: Defense Intelligence Agency

MANPADS Proliferation Source: Defense Intelligence Agency

MANPADS Proliferation – Non-Govt • 1000 s acquired by non-state actors • 1996 -2001:

MANPADS Proliferation – Non-Govt • 1000 s acquired by non-state actors • 1996 -2001: acquistion by NSAs 14 confirmed, 27 reported • FAS Study: illicit MANPADS activity in at least 17 countries (mid-2001 -mid 2007)

Countries in which MANPADS were transferred to, used by, seized from, or stockpiled by

Countries in which MANPADS were transferred to, used by, seized from, or stockpiled by non-state actors (mid-2001 to mid-2007) Iraq Georgia Russia Lebanon France Colombia Liberia Nicaragua Tajikistan Afghanistan Chad Saudi Arabia Sudan Uganda Somalia Kenya Sri Lanka

MANPADS in Iraq • Hundreds, possibly thousands, of MANPADS outside of government control •

MANPADS in Iraq • Hundreds, possibly thousands, of MANPADS outside of government control • Sources: Saddam’s stockpiles, external One of 188 SA-7 missiles turned in by an Iraqi Civilian in October 2003

MANPADS in Iraq British Lynx helicopter hit by a MANPADS near Basra, 6 May

MANPADS in Iraq British Lynx helicopter hit by a MANPADS near Basra, 6 May 2006

Recent Reports • 100 Igla missiles “available immediately” to Viktor Bout SA-18 Igla •

Recent Reports • 100 Igla missiles “available immediately” to Viktor Bout SA-18 Igla • 30 “shoulder-fired, surface-to-air missiles” found in arms cache near Gaza. SA-16 Igla-1

Conclusion • MANPADS pose threat to all aircraft, although some are more vulnerable than

Conclusion • MANPADS pose threat to all aircraft, although some are more vulnerable than others • MANPADS have proliferated widely, including to many non-state groups • Terrorists and insurgents worldwide continue to acquire and use MANPADS

Questions?

Questions?

The MANPADS Threat A Civil Society Perspective MattThe MANPADS Threat A Civil Society Perspective Matt
CYBER THREAT INTELLIGENCE What is Threat Intelligence ThreatCYBER THREAT INTELLIGENCE What is Threat Intelligence Threat
Current threat levels Threat Level The threat levelCurrent threat levels Threat Level The threat level
New Policies Scenario Current Policies Scenario 450 ScenarioNew Policies Scenario Current Policies Scenario 450 Scenario
Question Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Make a scenarioQuestion Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Make a scenario
Three Economic Scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 ScenarioThree Economic Scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario
MANPADS What are they and how do theyMANPADS What are they and how do they
UNCLASSIFIED Missile and Space Intelligence Center MANPADS ComponentsUNCLASSIFIED Missile and Space Intelligence Center MANPADS Components
Total Threat Protection Securing All Your Threat VectorsTotal Threat Protection Securing All Your Threat Vectors
THREAT ASSESSMENT THREAT MANAGEMENT Employee Assistance Professional AssociationTHREAT ASSESSMENT THREAT MANAGEMENT Employee Assistance Professional Association
Threat Assessment Stafford County Public Schools Threat AssessmentThreat Assessment Stafford County Public Schools Threat Assessment