The Future of Intercity Bus Services in California

The Future of Intercity Bus Services in California Dr. Thomas Pogue Associate Director Center for Business and Policy Research University of the Pacific Cal. ACT 2017 Spring Conference, April 25, 2017

California Statewide Rural Intercity Bus Study (CIBS) 2017 Update Background Contextual Analysis October Needs Assessment April – August 2017 Planning Integration & Action Plan April – June 2017 Stakeholder and public outreach July 2016 – March 2017 – October 2017 Updated Statewide CIBS October 2017 – March 2018

Intercity Bus Service Context Locations Served 25, 000 23, 000 20, 000 Intercity Locations Serviced Nationally 11, 820 15, 000 10, 000 6, 000 5, 000 2, 415 0 1965 1982 1991 2010 California: 2010 intercity service served 287 locations Rural residents within intercity bus service area (2005): 94. 5% Rural residents within intercity bus service area (2010): Source: US Do. T (2005) & US Do. T RITA (2011)

Recent Federal Policies ISTEA of 1991=>TEA-21 of 1998=>SAFETEA-LU (2005)=> Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21 st Century (MAP 21) 2012=> Fixing America's Surface Transportation (FAST) Act of 2015=> ? Essential transportation services? Essential Air Service Program Long-distance Amtrak service

Recent State Policies California Policies Greenhouse gas emissions legislation 2015 Interregional Transportation Strategic Plan (ITSP) 2040 California Transportation Plan (CTP) of 2016 2013 California State Rail Plan (2018) High Speed Rail – Network Integration Strategic Service Plan (NISSP)

Other issues since 2008… Caltrans Division of Rail & Mass Transit (2014) AMTRAK Thruway Bus Services Growth & popularity of curbside busses Growth of shared mobility services Automated vehicles Shared automated vehicles Integrated ticketing/usage systems Online economy and parcel transportation

5311(f) Funding Evaluation Criteria Since 2008 California Intercity Bus Study Multi-year funding JARC merged into the 5311 program FAST Act unsubsidized portions of private intercity bus service as matches to federal funds, incl. 5311(f) Some other criteria Is there a recognized need? Was there external input and coordination? Are there sufficient funds to undertake the project? Is the project feasible? Duplication of service?

Intercity Bus Service & Strategic Interregional Corridors

What matters? Additional Issues? Priorities in intercity bus service? Capital Operating Planning/Marketing Coordination Intermodalism and essential transportation services Strategic corridors and/or unmet needs

Additional thoughts? Please share your thoughts with us: Contact me directly: Thomas Pogue tpogue@pacific. edu 209. 946. 2913 If you prefer to be anonymous: https: //www. surveymonkey. com/r/Calspring 17

THANK YOU!