The 2030 Agenda The 2030 Agenda SDGs The

The 2030 Agenda

The 2030 Agenda SDGs

The 2030 Agenda SDGs & Science

The challenges before the 2030 Agenda

Heightened complexity • The challenge: – How to decide when linkages point in different directions – Need a way of measuring impacts to be able to compensate the trade-offs and to complement with additional policy options • Global models – Give a sense of global consistency – Provide a reference for national policies – But cannot directly guide national policies

Energy Systems models Modelling for sustainability: from global to national Global Physical Feasibility Sustainability Investments GLOBAL IAM Geo-Spatial Electrification National Energy Systems models National CGE or EW models GLOBAL CGE or EW CGE global trade models Global Damage cost Wellbeing CLIMATE MODELS: EMISSIONS & CLIMATE National Sustainable Development Policies Integrated Assessment Climate, Land, Energy, Water, Systems CLEWS Microsimulation

Genealogy of integrated assessment modelling

Sustainable development The food-energy-water nexus National Development Policies • Food, energy and water systems are highly interlinked • Often referred to by the term nexus • Part of broader development challenge as reflected in Agenda 2030 for Sustainable Development Food National Sustaina ble Energy Develop ment Policies Water

CLEWS An analytical framework and model Energy Model Energy for water processing and treatment • Energy for water pumping • Energy for desalination • Water available for hydropower • Water for power plant cooling • Water for (bio-)fuel processing • Energy for fertilizer production • Energy required for field preparation and harvest • Biomass for biofuel production and other energy uses Land-use Model Water Model • Water for biofuel crops (rain -fed and irrigated) • Water needs for food, feed and fibre crops (rain-fed and irrigated) GHG emissions Precipitation, temperature Climate •

Addressing complexity Modelling Tools Approach – Sound, adapted & based on NATIONAL development PRIORITIES Economywide Socioeconomic impact Integrated Assessment Energy Assessment Systems System Modelling Electricity for All – A suite of models. No single model can cover all relevant issues – Accessible, unrestrained from proprietary specification (open source) – User-friendly, communication effective – Tapping on research & the knowledge-creation communities – Responding to demands for CAPACITY BUILDING

BUILDING ANALYTICAL CAPACITY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT POLICIES 2005 -2015 20 countries 2015 -2017 • • Bolivia Costa Rica Ghana Kyrgyzstan Mongolia Nicaragua Paraguay Uganda

PROJECT SCHEDULE OF ACTIVITIES: CLEWS WORKSHOP I 40 hrs. /each S C O P I N G D A T A G A T H E R I N G WATER MODELLING Data use Scenarios Interpreting WORKSHOP 2 40 hrs. /each W O R K A T D I S T A N C E ENERGY MODELLING Data use Scenario Interpreting WORKSHOP 4 10 hours WORKSHOP 3 40 hrs. /each W O R K A T D I S T A N C E INTEGRATED MODELLING CLEWS Data use Scenario Interpreting W O R K A T D I S T A N C E - Insights from modeling - Informing policy debate - Outreach, disseminate ITERACTIVE MODEL BUILDING 1 st year 2 nd year P U B L I C A T I O N S

BUILDING INSTITUTIONS TO INFORM SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT POLICIES MODELS ECONOMY -WIDE ENERGY MICROSIMULATION SECTOR MODELS INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT SECTOR MODELS AWARNESS OF MODELLING MECHANICS, POWER AND LIMITATIONS

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