THE 2016 ELECTIONS AND THE GOOD GOVERNANCE INDEX

OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION • • • I. INTRODUCTION II. FRAMEWORK ON GOOD GOVERNANCE III.

I. Introduction How it started? NSCB initiatives to contribute to the knowledge database on

I. Introduction Interesting international statistics! Corruption Perception Index, by Rank (Transparency International) 100 Global

I. Introduction Political Dynasty in the Philippines 13 th National Convention on Statistics October

II. Framework on Good Governance Economic 1. Sustainable Management of Resources 2. Enhanced Government

II. Framework on Good Governance Provincial Good Governance Index (PGGI) The PGGI is the

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Philippine GGI improved between 2011 and

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Top 10: 9 from Luzon! 1

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 8 of the Top 10 Provinces

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Note: Rank out of 79 provinces

IV. The Voters’ Index THE VOTERS’ INDEX • Aims to measure the “wisdom” of

IV. The Voters’ Index Provincial Voters’ Index during the 2016 Elections Voters’ index worsened

V. Political Dynasty and Good Governance Index 9 of the 10 provinces with the

VI. The Way Forward v PSS has role in the measurement and monitoring of

Thank you! 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La

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THE 2016 ELECTIONS AND THE GOOD GOVERNANCE INDEX: PERFORMANCE, PROMISES, OR POLITICAL DYNASTIES? By Romulo A. Virola, Kristine Faith S. Agtarap, Priscille C. Villanueva, and Mai Lin C. Villaruel Presented by Mai Lin C. Villaruel 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION • • • I. INTRODUCTION II. FRAMEWORK ON GOOD GOVERNANCE III. RESULTS – PROVINCIAL GG: 2011 AND 2014 IV. THE VOTERS’ INDEX V. POLITICAL DYNASTY AND GOOD GOVERNANCE INDEX • VI. THE WAY FORWARD 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

I. Introduction How it started? NSCB initiatives to contribute to the knowledge database on governance: v Development of a Governance Framework in 1998 under the “Development of Governance Indicators and Design of a Database & Information Network on Governance Statistics” supported by the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

I. Introduction Interesting international statistics! Corruption Perception Index, by Rank (Transparency International) 100 Global Competitiveness Index of the Philippines, Rank (World Economic Forum) 80 60 40 2010 -2011 -2012 -2013 -2014 -2015 -2016 Number of countries included every year: 139, 142, 144, 148, 144 and 140 in 2010 -2011, 2011 -2012, 2012 -2013, 2013 -2014, 2014 -2015 and 2015 -2016, respectively. 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

I. Introduction Political Dynasty in the Philippines 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

II. Framework on Good Governance Economic 1. Sustainable Management of Resources 2. Enhanced Government Responsiveness to the poor Political 1. Improvement of internal and external security 2. Law enforcement and administration of justice 3. Elimination of graft and corruption 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City Administrative 1. Efficiency in the delivery of services 2. Improved transparency and accountability 3. Continuous building of capacities 4. Expanded use of ICT

II. Framework on Good Governance Provincial Good Governance Index (PGGI) The PGGI is the weighted arithmetic average of the economic governance index (EGI), political governance index (PGI), and the administrative governance index (AGI) Detailed Component Indices EGI = Ave (SMRI, EGRPI) where: SMRI = Ave (Management of Financial Resources Index, Management of Human Resources Index) EGRPI = Ave (Poverty Index, Inflation Rate) AGI = Education Index + Health Index + (Power Index + Telephone Density Index) / 2 3 PGI = Ave (Voters’ Turn-out Rate Index, Crime Solution Efficiency Rate Index 22) 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Philippine GGI improved between 2011 and 2014! Philippines 2005 2008 100. 40 115. 81 148. 1 165. 6 Economic Governance Index (EGI) 99. 51 146. 04 191. 4 222. 8 Political Governance Index (PGI) 96. 55 70. 66 110. 2 127. 7 102. 57 100. 63 117. 4 121. 1 Good Governance Index (GGI) Administrative Governance Index (AGI) 2011 2014 PGGI by major islands 160 150 140 130 Luzon(w/o NCR) 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City Visayas 2011 2014 Mindanao

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Top 10: 9 from Luzon! 1 from the Visayas! Nueva Vizcaya has the most improved GGI rank from 2011 to 2014! 50 40 30 20 10 0 e e n o ya rte ate ort nio irin b ca No N N u s U z i l l l Q V Ma La De De De va a o n e g sa n ga Nu gu oa uri b A S m Za ga Ifu Note: Rank out of 79 provinces in the Philippines 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City o piz cija E Ca a ev Nu 10 Most Improved: 5 from Luzon 2 from the Visayas 3 from Mindanao 10 Most Deteriorated: 5 from Luzon 2 from the Visayas 3 from Mindanao

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 8 of the Top 10 Provinces in 2011 GGI are still the top Provinces 2014 GGI Province 2011 GGI Rank 2014 GGI Rank Mt. Province 182. 8 1 203. 2 2 Biliran 182. 8 2 161. 5 17 Siquijor 182. 2 3 194. 6 4 Batanes 181. 1 4 180. 2 9 Cagayan Quirino 180. 3 180. 1 5 6 188. 7 207. 9 5 1 Ilocos Sur 178. 8 7 187. 0 7 Kalinga 178. 5 8 181. 1 8 Apayao Camiguin 177. 9 175. 8 9 10 187. 3 152. 5 6 24 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

III. Results - Provincial GGI: 2011 and 2014 Note: Rank out of 79 provinces in the Philippines 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

IV. The Voters’ Index THE VOTERS’ INDEX • Aims to measure the “wisdom” of the voters in selecting candidates • A rating or grade of “ 0” or “ 1” is assigned to a province, depending on the results of the election and their GGI: If the governor (or his relative) Most improved or best performing province Least improved or worst performing province Won 1 0 Lost 0 1 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

IV. The Voters’ Index Provincial Voters’ Index during the 2016 Elections Voters’ index worsened from 2013 to 2016! GGI Voters’ Index 2007 2010 2013 2016 Top 10 GGI 0. 70 0. 90 0. 60 Top 10 Most improved GGI 0. 60 0. 70 1. 00 0. 80 10 Lowest GGI 0. 20 0. 40 0. 00 10 Least improved GGI 0. 20 0. 40 0. 50 0. 10 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

V. Political Dynasty and Good Governance Index 9 of the 10 provinces with the lowest share of political dynasty ranked well in 2014 GGI. half of the 10 provinces with the highest prevalence of political dynasty ranked unfavorably (46 th 79 th) in 2014 GGI 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

VI. The Way Forward v PSS has role in the measurement and monitoring of good governance. v Compilation of GGI at the municipal and city level v Proper dissemination and advocacy towards public appreciation of GGI v Capacity building for both producers and users of GGI v The government and the private sector must invest in governance statistics! 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City

Thank you! 13 th National Convention on Statistics October 3 -4, 2016, EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City