Technology Update ADLUG Annual Meeting Venice September 14
Technology Update ADLUG Annual Meeting, Venice September 14, 2018 Wolfgang Singer, Honorary Member of IBM IT-Specialist Community Singerw 2@gmail. com http: //singerw 2. wix. com/home
Transportation Google Self Driving Car (more than 8 mio miles driven with few accidents) Cars are unused 92 -96% Additional projects by: Tesla, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi, VW, Nissan, Toyota, Renault, GM, etc. . Waymo (Google) cooperates with Intel Legal concerns in some countries • Singapore is using self-driving taxis from nu. Tonomy Taxis Trucks • Helsinki is using self-driving buses • Uber launches self-driving Volvos in Pittsburg • Autonomous cars are going to save millions of lives • Traffic accidents kill 1. 2 million people worldwide a year • Ethical decisions? • Drivers might not be allowed on US highways by 2030 © 2018 W. Singer 2
Transportation • Volvo 360 c • Autonomous concept car without steering wheel • Selfdriving bedroom • Airbus and Audi Drone • Docks on 2 passenger cabin • All electric • Uber Elevate Air-Taxi • Designed to fly first with pilots and later autonomous • Flying at 200 -600 meters • Skyports on top of buildings • Planned availability for 2023 © 2018 W. Singer 3
Solar Highway • World’s first ‘Solar Panel’ Highway in China • 2 km test highway • Melting of snow in winter • Transfer into the power grid • Will enable data exchange of self driving cars • Inductive charging of electrical cars (Fisker battery by 2023 with double density and 500 miles reach and loaded in one minute). Video Youtube © 2018 W. Singer 4
Summit Supercomputer • IBM Summit is currently fastest of ‘Top 500’ computers • 122 quadrillion calculations/sec • Reclaims top ranking after 5 years of Chinese lead • Designed for HPC and AI workloads • At US Department of Energy • Used for fusion energy, material science, weather calculations © 2018 W. Singer 5
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Watson in 2 minutes © 2018 W. Singer 8
Watson in 2 minutes © 2018 W. Singer 9
Access to presentation Why Tomorrow Won't Look Like Today: Things that Will Blow Your Mind John Kelly at Milken © 2018 W. Singer 10
Watson Debater © 2018 W. Singer 11
Artificial Intelligence • Google Duplex Assistant • Robotic caller • 60% of US companies do not have an online booking system • Google assistant makes phone call in the background • Understands nuances of a conversation • Natural language understanding, deep learning and text to speech Example of a call • IBM NAO robot with Watson • NAO from Ehningen • Industry Consortium to control AI • Google, Amazon, IBM, Microsoft, Facebook • Control the threat for humanity Elon Musk: “Need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes” - nickbostrom. com/views/superintelligence. pdf Stephen Hawking: “Development of full AI could spell the end of the human race” © 2018 W. Singer 12
Google Duplex • Google Duplex Assistant • Robotic caller • 60% of US companies do not have an online booking system • Google assistant makes phone call in the background • Understands nuances of a conversation • Natural language understanding, deep learning and text to speech Example of a call • IBM NAO robot with Watson • NAO from Ehningen • Industry Consortium to control AI • Google, Amazon, IBM, Microsoft, Facebook • Control the threat for humanity Elon Musk: “Need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes” - nickbostrom. com/views/superintelligence. pdf Stephen Hawking: “Development of full AI could spell the end of the human race” © 2018 W. Singer 13
Artificial Intelligence • Google Duplex Assistant • Robotic caller • 60% of US companies do not have an online booking system • Google assistant makes phone call in the background • Understands nuances of a conversation • Natural language understanding, deep learning and text to speech Example of a call • IBM NAO robot with Watson • NAO from Ehningen • Industry Consortium to control AI • Google, Amazon, IBM, Microsoft, Facebook • Control the threat for humanity Elon Musk: “Need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes” - nickbostrom. com/views/superintelligence. pdf Stephen Hawking: “Development of full AI could spell the end of the human race” © 2018 W. Singer 14
IBM NAO Robot • Google Duplex Assistant • Robotic caller • 60% of US companies do not have an online booking system • Google assistant makes phone call in the background • Understands nuances of a conversation • Natural language understanding, deep learning and text to speech Example of a call • IBM NAO robot with Watson • NAO from Ehningen • Industry Consortium to control AI • Google, Amazon, IBM, Microsoft, Facebook • Control the threat for humanity Elon Musk: “Need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes” - nickbostrom. com/views/superintelligence. pdf Stephen Hawking: “Development of full AI could spell the end of the human race” © 2018 W. Singer 15
Artificial Intelligence • Google Duplex Assistant • Robotic caller • 60% of US companies do not have an online booking system • Google assistant makes phone call in the background • Understands nuances of a conversation • Natural language understanding, deep learning and text to speech Example of a call • IBM NAO robot with Watson • NAO from Ehningen • Industry Consortium to control AI • Google, Amazon, IBM, Microsoft, Facebook • Control the threat for humanity Elon Musk: “Need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes” - nickbostrom. com/views/superintelligence. pdf Stephen Hawking: “Development of full AI could spell the end of the human race” © 2018 W. Singer 16
Robotics • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 17
Door Opener and Factory Helper • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 18
Sophia AI Robot • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 19
Rubic Cube World Record • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 20
Drone World Record • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 21
Smart Home • Boston Dynamics • Door opener and factory helper • Sophia AI robot • Sophia interview • Rubic Cube solver • Rubic Cube • Drone World Record • 500 Intel Drones • Smart Home © 2018 W. Singer 22
Ngram Viewer Pointer to Engram © 2018 W. Singer 23
Health Care • Genetic reprogramming • ‘genetic scissors’ can cut/replace/insert genetic material with modifying enzymes (not yet for humans) • turn off specific genes (e. g. fat insulin receptors) • stem cell reseeding • create organs in pigs to be safely transplanted into humans CRISPR • 3 D printed organs (liver, kidney, heart, skin) in 2040 • Genetically engineered viruses? Bill Gates: “More dangerous than nukes? ” • Alzheimer healing trials in Zurich • dissolving Amyloide Plaques • one reason found: frequent use of sleeping pills © 2018 W. Singer 24
Mars Bioimaging • Colored 3 D CT images • Uses spectral imaging © 2018 W. Singer 25
Quantum computing More than a billion times faster than today’s computers. However, not a replacement for current computers. Silicon chip with four qubits Superconducting Qubits use Superposition and Entanglement Qubits are very instable, working at -273 C° error correction is a big problem IBM is the world leader in this technology © 2018 IBM TED Quantum Primer 26
First working quantum computer is closer to reality IBM scientists recently made important advancements with error detection and circuit design – steps toward realization of practical quantum computer. IBM Q announced October 2017 open APIs and Simulator for 56 Qubits. Potential uses: • Pharmaceutical Research • Materials Discovery • Artificial Intelligence • Weather and Earthquake science • Cryptoanalysis • Cloud Security © 2018 International Business Machines Corporation http: //research. ibm. com/ibm-q/ Quantum-Computing described in 5 levels
Current Cryptography Exposure • Quantum Computing will expose several crypto protocols • SSL, HTTPS, AES, DSA, RSA, etc. • large keys that needed 100 s years to be cracked, might be cracked in a few seconds • Solution is Lattice-based encryption • based on Fully Homomorphic Encryption • can be plugged into TLS and IKE Quantum-safe-cryptography © 2018 W. Singer 28
Fully Homomorphic Encryption Fully homomorphic encryption is a privacy enabling technology Allows encrypted user data to be processed without the server knowing the content Results returned to authorized user for decryption Privacy-enhanced cloud services Craig Gentry, a 35 -year-old IBM researcher, solved this 30 -year cryptographic problem 2010 2009 29 ACM Distinguished Dissertation Award Best Paper Award – IACR Crypto Privacy Enhancing Technology Award Privacy Innovation Award from the Intl. Association of Privacy Professionals © 2018 W. Singer 29
Ray Kurzweil Predictions Most of the predictions are based on exponential growth of technology (doubles approx. every year) 10 iteration: 1000 x, 20 iteration: 1 mio fold Cell phones in comparison to MIT computer (in 1965) are today 1000 times more processing power 1 mio times smaller 1 mio times cheaper 1 bio times increase in price/performance Compute power that was 40 years ago in a building, is currently in a cell phone, will be in 10 years at the size of a red blood cell 30
Ray Kurzweil Predictions 2017 2010’s: Glasses will beam images directly onto the retina. Computers have same processing power as human brains. 2020’s: Most diseases will go away (with the help of nanobots). Computers communicate as humans and pass Turing test. 2030’s: Brain is reverse engineered. Copy of the brain/knowledge can be stored. Virtual reality will become more exciting than reality. 2040’s: Nanotech foglets will create any object in physical world. Non-biological intelligence grows exponentially. Human beings will be a billion times more capable. 2045´s: Linking wirelessly neocortex to neocortex in the cloud For more information visit: http: //www. kurzweilai. net 31
Access to newest presentation If you need some of the videos, please send me an email © 2018 W. Singer 32
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