Successful Stock Signals 1022020 for traders and portfolio

Successful Stock Signals 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 1

Introduction n n 10/2/2020 Presentation of the book “Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers” By Tom Lloyd Sr. , author Articles in Market. Watch. com Seeking. Alpha. com Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities Magazine for traders and portfolio managers 2

Marc Chaikin “As a strong believer in the importance of combining fundamentals with technical analysis, I was immediately engaged in this book by Tom Lloyd. Successful Stock Signals reads like a trading diary written in the moment. WITH ITS WEALTH OF CHARTS THE READER SEES A CLEAR CUT PATH TO PROFITS. Tom puts you in the driver’s seat as he analyzes stock after stock with the tools he has used successfully in a long Wall Street career. IF YOU WANT TO MAKE CONSISTENT PROFITS IN THE STOCK MARKET, THIS BOOK IS A MUST READ. ” 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 3

Jeff Hirsch “I have been following Tom Lloyd’s timely signals for decades. In this treatise Tom Lloyd pulls together a library’s worth of the most effective technical analysis tools and MARKET TIMING TRICKS OF THE TRADE LIKE A PRO WITH TOM’S SIGNALS PLAYBOOK. ” 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 4

Chip Anderson n 10/2/2020 “Successful Stock Signals quickly focuses in on the key things technical investors need to concentrate on in order to be successful—technical signals that work. UNLIKE MANY OTHER INVESTING BOOKS THAT BEAT AROUND THE BUSH, TOM LLOYD GIVES YOU GREAT, USABLE ADVICE THAT CAN HELP ANYONE FIND GREAT TRADING OPPORTUNITIES IN ANY MARKET. ” for traders and portfolio managers 5

Topics of Discussion n n 10/2/2020 Integrating technical analysis with fundamentals Use technical analysis as the first step in selecting stocks--trading Use fundamental analysis as the second step--investing This approach keeps you in stocks beating the Index and having good fundamentals Buy & Sell Signals illustrated for traders and portfolio managers 6

Trading n n n 10/2/2020 Successful Signals for Traders Candlesticks: Hammer and Hanging Man reversal signals RSI, Relative Strength Index MACD, Mac Dee, Moving Average Convergence Divergence Fast Stochastic Support and Resistance for traders and portfolio managers 7

Technicals vs. Fundamentals n n 10/2/2020 Traders use technicals Portfolio managers use fundamentals Traders look at fundamentals Portfolio managers look at technicals for traders and portfolio managers 8

Investing n n n n 10/2/2020 Successful Signals for Portfolio Managers 200 -day moving average Relative Strength vs. Index The crosses: 50 -day X 200 -day Know Sure Thing Chaikin Money Flow On-Balance Volume for traders and portfolio managers 9

HPQ BEATS IBM 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 10

Beat the Index n n n 10/2/2020 IBM 50 -yr. turtle beating the Index HPQ 50 -yr hare beating the Index IBM “better name” HPQ “better performance” Now does the turtle catch the hare? Picking long-term best performers for traders and portfolio managers 11

HPQ TROUNCES THE INDEX 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 12

Successful Signals MSFT n n n n 10/2/2020 Double top “W” bottom Bullish rectangle Breakout Long-term flat lined chart No growth for 10 years Can you believe the breakout? for traders and portfolio managers 13

Shaky Signals LULU n n n 10/2/2020 Long-term, 5 -year, 200 -day uptrend with violations. 2 - year uptrend with violations Uptrend in Relative Strength with violations On-balance volume and MFI show weakness Chaikin money green 2 years, but sharp drop recently. Bounces after earnings for traders and portfolio managers 14

Successful Signals LULU n n n n n 10/2/2020 MACD Stochastic RSI Keltner Channels Pivot Point Parabolic SAR Directional Movement D 1 D 2 Relative Strength MFI On-balance volume for traders and portfolio managers 15

Successful Signals LNKD n n n n 10/2/2020 Money flow turns positive at $70 20 -day crosses above 50 -day MA MACD shows buying MFI turns up OBV turns up AD, Accum/Distr moves up Market turns up Price moves from $70 to $120 for traders and portfolio managers 16

Successful Signals Long Term, SBUX n n n n 10/2/2020 Monthly chart for long term signals Chaikin money flow shows buy and sell signals MACD histogram leads money flow Double top, Candlestick bottom Stochastic leads MACD buy/sell RSI confirms the Stochastic OBV, RS and +D 1 -D 1 buy/sell for traders and portfolio managers 17

Successful Signals CRM n n n 10/2/2020 Price violates 200 -day 50 -day MA comes down to 200 Price recovers above 200 -day MA 50 -day bounces up from 200 Money flow turns green before eps After eps big white candle closes at 148. 54 up 1. 77 for traders and portfolio managers 18

Successful Signals Trading CRM n n n 10/2/2020 Do you buy on the open? Opens at $148 MACD, RSI, Stochastic buy signals Parabolic SAR buy signal 50 -min and 200 -min uptrends Price running along the top of the upward Bollinger Band for traders and portfolio managers 19

DAY TRADING SALESFORCE. COM MONDAY, 8/27/12 buy 148, sell 152 Buybottom, Buy sell top 10/2/2020 for traders and portfolio managers 20

Successful Signals HD n n n n 10/2/2020 Breakout buy from $38 to $65 Candlestick signals lead Relative Strength leads +D 1 -D 1 Directional leads Volume/price breakout at $40 Golden cross 50 -day X 200 -day OBV and ADX confirm Signals remain positive to $65 for traders and portfolio managers 21

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Successful Signals TA+Fundamentals n n 10/2/2020 First step: find a good chart Second step: find good fundamentals S&P chart combines both TA and fundamentals Home Depot chart shows earnings, analyst target, star rating plus TA signals Rel. Strength, Moving Avg. for traders and portfolio managers 23

Successful Signals WMT n n 10/2/2020 Breakout at $55 runs up to $78 Pre-breakout signals: RSI, Candlesticks, Relative Strength, price gap, +D 1 -D 1 Direction, and PPO Concurrent signals: Chaikin money flow, change in trend and ADX TA + Fundamentals agree for traders and portfolio managers 24

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Successful Signals Short squeeze n n 10/2/2020 GMCR positive surprise creates short squeeze Day trading the bounce up from the bottom Big gap up no retracement very bullish Day trading the pullback in Stochastic and MACD for traders and portfolio managers 26

Successful Signals SPY n n n 10/2/2020 Long-term market signals 20 years SPY surrogate for S&P 500 5 Elliott waves to double top in 2000 at 124. 55 or near 1246 S&P 5 Elliott wave to head & shoulders top in 2007 at 141. 53 near 1415 Currently in the 5 th Elliott wave at 150 or near 1500 for traders and portfolio managers 27

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Successful Signals SPY n n n n 10/2/2020 Long-term 10 -year signals Sell signals in 2008 crash Buy signals in 2009 Fed rescue OBV buy signal at bottom at $75 RSI and Stochastic buy at $80 MACD buy at $100 Money flow buy at $100 for traders and portfolio managers 30

Successful Signals SPY n n n 10/2/2020 Weekly chart buy/sell signals Buy test of 200 -day uptrend Sell the RSI and Stochastic overbought signals 200 and 50 -day uptrend Latest Stochastic buy signal Not yet confirmed by MACD buy signal for traders and portfolio managers 31

Successful Signals SPY n n n 10/2/2020 Short term triple top All signals turn negative Start of short term selling cycle MACD, Stochastic RSI and Know Sure Thing are leading signals to drop in price Buy signals on the bounce back up for traders and portfolio managers 32

Successful Signals Summary n n n 10/2/2020 Charts are 100% accurate in signaling changes in supply and demand. No one should be surprised where price is going, signals tell you that. Fundamentals are only one factor creating supply and demand For traders, signals of supply/demand are more important than fundamentals For portfolio managers fundamentals are the factor for determining price targets. for traders and portfolio managers 33

Conclusions n n n 10/2/2020 For traders, use leading indicators to identify supply and demand ahead of the crowd and high frequency traders. For portfolio managers use leading indicators of Relative Strength so stocks outperform the benchmarks. Use TA and then Fundamentals Pick good charts check for good fundamentals. Avoids value traps. Keeps portfolio in outperforming stocks. for traders and portfolio managers 34