Strategic Management At the Inflection Point of Exponential

  • Slides: 55
Download presentation
Strategic Management At the Inflection Point of Exponential Socio. Technological Change Dr. Ed Forrest

Strategic Management At the Inflection Point of Exponential Socio. Technological Change Dr. Ed Forrest Web. Pages: • Emerging Technium • Cognitive Computing Watson Apps

-Everything that can be… Digitized Connected Automated -Will be… Digitized Connected Automated

-Everything that can be… Digitized Connected Automated -Will be… Digitized Connected Automated

52, 000 Smart Devices Every Minute In 2025 …. 30 billion by 2020 and

52, 000 Smart Devices Every Minute In 2025 …. 30 billion by 2020 and then nearly triple again to 80 billion five years later.

FEAR, ANXIE TY & DEPRE SSION

FEAR, ANXIE TY & DEPRE SSION

What Fear Looks Like…

What Fear Looks Like…

What Anger Looks Like… O R W ! G N

What Anger Looks Like… O R W ! G N

America’s Top Fears October 13, 2015

America’s Top Fears October 13, 2015

I AM ANXIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE… Are Robots Gunning for our Jobs? Across 9

I AM ANXIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE… Are Robots Gunning for our Jobs? Across 9 countries, > one-in-four 16 to 25 believe their job will be done by computer within 10 years. Stephanie Jones | May 12, 2016

Random sample of 1, 500 adults ranked fears of 88 different items: 1 -not

Random sample of 1, 500 adults ranked fears of 88 different items: 1 -not afraid to 4 -very afraid. . The fears were divided into 10 different categories https: //youtu. be/ee. Fyf. W-Uw. BA …technology 2 nd place. . behind natural

AI and the Economy | Erik Brynjolfsson

AI and the Economy | Erik Brynjolfsson

Impact of Horse-Less Carriage

Impact of Horse-Less Carriage

 • Not Just Jobs – (in # & nature- what do & how

• Not Just Jobs – (in # & nature- what do & how do it) • But Companies & changing /disappearing Whole Industries

0 1 = 6 1 0 2 s r a ye = 6 1

0 1 = 6 1 0 2 s r a ye = 6 1 20 % 0 5

Dec 14, 2016 --https: //medium. com/american-enterprise-institute/fortune-500 -firms-1955 -v-4 ee 7281 f 32 fc#. 6

Dec 14, 2016 --https: //medium. com/american-enterprise-institute/fortune-500 -firms-1955 -v-4 ee 7281 f 32 fc#. 6 nw 5 ahmht

not just companies but industries being disrupted…

not just companies but industries being disrupted…

1 2

1 2

IN 1971 -Intel released the 4004, its first ever microprocessor • measuring 12 square

IN 1971 -Intel released the 4004, its first ever microprocessor • measuring 12 square millimetres • contained 2, 300 transistors • The gap between each transistor was 10, 000 nanometres (billionths of a metre) in size, about as big as a red blood cell double something 22 times and you have 4 m times more of it, or perhaps something 4 m times better. … that is indeed what has happened. . . whereas the 4004 had 2, 300 of them, the Haswell E-5, launched in 2014, has 5 billion, just 22 nm apart.

BC AC

BC AC

ry e v E e ob 12 nt o o S e , v

ry e v E e ob 12 nt o o S e , v Cur nths g o n i M l b 2 ou ry 1 D e e v g E d g le he ; ” e Know dge Doublin v ry r e u v C e g y l n i le mate oubl i x D o Know e r g p ry 25 ap led e d w v e e o l s n g b r “K lin ou Hou ed the s doub ledge d wl wa reat o e c n know g k r f d e l n o e l l a s u w e F m II kno fferent typ ology nster til 1900 hu i r a m k W c n y 18 n ld di h r Bu r u c s e o t e a v t a e W e o h l f p o an dt. dge notice. By the end re not as sim example, n ical knowle 13 months a or ry in ry centu oday things f growth. F ears and cl ubling eve ill lead to y w T do so years. ferent rate g every two owledge is t of things” if in kn terne n i “ have d ge is doubl ge human e ra of th rs. ed l e t v w u a o o n n k ut o build ry 12 hou B e. h s t h , t mon o IBM wledge eve t g n i d Accor ling of kno ub the do

Combination of: 1)Inability to see/ think clearly (cog-biases) 2)w/ penchant to only think linearly…

Combination of: 1)Inability to see/ think clearly (cog-biases) 2)w/ penchant to only think linearly… in a dematerializing Exponential world ….

Historical Record of Inane Inaccuracies

Historical Record of Inane Inaccuracies

List of Cognitive Biases

List of Cognitive Biases

Not Mentally or Organizationally wired for Significant Change

Not Mentally or Organizationally wired for Significant Change

Well into Digitalization of: • All Media- books, Encyclopedias, mags & newspapers, records/music, movies…

Well into Digitalization of: • All Media- books, Encyclopedias, mags & newspapers, records/music, movies… • All Info-Intermediaries: travel/ Real Estate agents, customer service reps… • Physical objects: Any & all-3 D printable • Life-forms & Life-itself: Robots & Human-Genome, DNA sequencing & editing w/ CRISPER • Reality: Augmented & Virtual • Human Conscious & subconscious: Dream. Catcher

Dematerialization= Demonetization

Dematerialization= Demonetization

Internet of Realities Internet of Things Internet of Information

Internet of Realities Internet of Things Internet of Information

Can We Turn Our Dreams Into Watchable Movies? 02/04/2016 12: 55 pm ET |

Can We Turn Our Dreams Into Watchable Movies? 02/04/2016 12: 55 pm ET | Updated 5 days ago Facebook VR Demo

Jobs: Number & Nature Industries: Organization & Operations

Jobs: Number & Nature Industries: Organization & Operations