Storm Surge Definitions STORM SURGE is the increase

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Storm Surge Definitions: • STORM SURGE is the increase in water level due to

Storm Surge Definitions: • STORM SURGE is the increase in water level due to a storm (hurricane) • STORM TIDE is the total water level measured above a reference datum during a storm (the combination of astronomical tide and storm surge). • EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE is the storm surge due to a storm that forms outside of the tropics. A typical example would be a “Nor’Easter”. 2

Tide with Storm Surge STORM SURGE HIGH TIDE MEAN TIDE (MSL) DUNE LOW TIDE

Tide with Storm Surge STORM SURGE HIGH TIDE MEAN TIDE (MSL) DUNE LOW TIDE

DEEP WATER a. Top view of Sea Surface A B b. Side view of

DEEP WATER a. Top view of Sea Surface A B b. Side view of Cross Section “ABC” C Wind Eye A B 0’ 5 O’ 100’ 150’ 200’ Current C MSL

LANDFALL a. Top view of Sea Surface and Land A B C b. Side

LANDFALL a. Top view of Sea Surface and Land A B C b. Side view of Cross Section “ABC” Sand Dunes on Barrier Wind Island STORM SURGE Wind Eye MSL 0’ A 5 O’ B Current 100’ 150’ 200’ Mainland Barrier Island Continental Shelf C

Sub-grid elements: Individual Grid • 1 dimensional flow for rivers and streams Barrier •

Sub-grid elements: Individual Grid • 1 dimensional flow for rivers and streams Barrier • Barriers • Cuts between barriers Water Surface above a square • Channel flow with chokes and expansions Transport Points Stair Step Rise • Increased friction for trees and mangroves Water Depth above a square Surge Points DATUM

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SLOSH Basins 17

SLOSH Basins 17

Wind Input To SLOSH • Embedded parametric hurricane wind model requires: – TRACK Positions

Wind Input To SLOSH • Embedded parametric hurricane wind model requires: – TRACK Positions - Latitude & Longitude – INTENSITY of the Storm - (change in pressure) (not observed wind speed) – SIZE of the Storm - Radius of maximum wind • Wind Model solves a differential equation for wind speed and direction • Forward speed is incorporated into asymmetry. • Advantages: – Universal (not “calibrated” to location) – Utilizes “forecastable” hurricane parameters (Does have errors) – Tested on many past hurricanes 18

SLOSH Model runs and creates a rexfile and an “envelope of high water”. The

SLOSH Model runs and creates a rexfile and an “envelope of high water”. The “Envelope” is the highest the water got in a particular grid cell during the Model run. Designed for use with hurricane evacuation planning – MEOW: Maximum Envelope of Water • Highest water due to a family of parallel tracks with same direction, speed and intensity – MOM: Maximum of MEOWs • Highest water due to a set of MEOWs. • Rex File: Enables us to start to use it for real-time storm surge forecasting. (only used about 12 hours before projected landfall) – FEMA HLT (Hurricane Liaison Team) – Intent is for first response and recovery – Convert envelope in real time to ESRI Arc. GIS. shp files • Used as input to hydrology’s DWOPER river model • Historical hurricane runs 19