Steen Jackobsen Kaspar Huijsman Marbella 24 Oktober 2019
Steen Jackobsen & Kaspar Huijsman Marbella, 24 Oktober 2019
Steen Jakobsen & Kaspar Huijsman Marbella, 24 th of October 2019
WHAT IS BINCKBANK? • Binck. Bank is part of the Saxo Bank group • Combined we are one of Europe´s leading banks for investors • Founded in 1999 & 1992 • Bank & Fintech company • Award-winning service (Binck. Bank) and award winning platform (Saxo Bank) • 46 years of combined online experience with traders and investors • 12 years experience in Spain • Local Investment Academy
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BINCK INVESTMENT ACADEMY ON & OFFLINE
BINCK INVESTMENT ACADEMY ON & OFFLINE
BINCK INVESTMENT ACADEMY ON & OFFLINE TODAY:
Is there a new recession coming? . Steen Jakobsen, Chief Investment Officer, Saxo Bank Group Binck. Bank, Spain, October 2019 Saxo Group FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert The main macro themes indicate major changes in structure and markets German panic End of Monetary Policy Weaker US$ Recession Globalisation is dead (for now) End of negative yield in Europe US election dictates market not fundamentals Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE Social Riot/Inequality
Recession Alert World is short of growth, productivity & ideas – Monetary policy is dead, what’s next? Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Central banks is in full panic mode – number of central banks CUTTING interest rates… Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert The trade war is real not an illusion……Big losers and few winners Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
The Four Horsemen: The magic four ingredients to the global economy…. . and the near future. . 1. 2. 3. 4. Quantity of money Price of energy Globalisation/Productivity Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Global Credit Impulse – Looking 9 -12 month ahead…. Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert China’s credit impulse leads global activity by 9 months – Economic low in Q 1 -2020? (Answer: Maybe. ) Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Macro trends impacting markets Killer Dollar – strong US$ getting stronger…. Germany is in recession and in denial… Negative Yield in Europe has reached limits Brexit – the never ending story. . What is a ”divorce? ” US vs. China – A waiting game which China is winning Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert The Killer Dollar – only one policy tool left to “save” the world – A cheaper US$ Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Global $ liquidity is tight and will get worse into year-end…. . Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Negative Yield in Europe reached its limit – sign of low in interest rates or top in equity? Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert There are many problems in UK, but the biggest is not Brexit per se…. Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Central banks is in full panic mode – recession (why is it such an important point? ) Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert 1970 s revisit – end of 50 years cycle…. . now Breitner hair and social riots? Energy: Green is not the new black Stagflation favors value Emerging Market true value here…. . Weaker $ driver Social tension is rising. . globally ECB will hike in 2020 Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Nasdaq – its either 10% up or 25% down…. Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert Netherland top-25 Index: Looks very promising…. . Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert DAX: Test of old high – or recession sell-off? Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert EURUSD – is the low in? Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
Recession Alert GBP: We see big upside in UK growth next year…but for now? Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
EXAMPLE Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
SEMINARS AND TRAININGS Q 4 2019 Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
SPECIAL OFFER FOR YOU: Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! Saxo Bank FREE TO SHARE
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