Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Niall O’Neill, Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency GSS Conference – September 2016, University of Manchester

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Structure of the presentation • Background and Political context • New Outcomes Focussed Framework • NISRA’s role in the Framework Development • NISRA’s current role in the process

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Political context 17 November 2015

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Why change the existing approach? • Input/ output/ process driven and monitored accordingly • To encourage move from a silo approach • To place wellbeing at the core Carnegie Roundtable recommended that the NI Executive. . . • Agree a set of strategic commitments and outcomes (the Wellbeing Framework) and place this at the core of the 2016 -2021 Programme for Government.

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Societal wellbeing

Performance Accountability Population Accountability Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Outcomes Focused Approach Outcome Condition of well-being for a population/sub-population (adults, children, families, communities) Population Indicator Measurable data which helps quantify achievement of the Outcome Performance Measures Measurable data which helps quantify the impact of a project/service e. g. All people are safe e. g. Crime rates Perception of Crime Incidence of hate crime e. g. How much did we do? How well did we do it? Is anyone better off?

Performance Accountability Population Accountability Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Outcomes Focused Approach Outcome Condition of well-being for a population/sub-population (adults, children, families, communities) e. g. All people are safe e. g. Crime rates Perception of Crime Incidence of hate crime e. g. How much did we do? How well did we do it? Is anyone better off? Draft Programme for Government Framework Population Indicator Measurable data which helps quantify achievement of the Outcome Performance Measures Measurable data which helps quantify the impact of a project/service

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Political context 17 November 2015

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Process 1. Initial series of workshops • Broad areas – what information do we have • Awareness of Outcomes approach 2. Subsequent workshops to create a first draft framework • Progressed by 2 Permanent Secretaries 3. Immediate post-election period • Framework readied for consultation

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Process – NISRA’s role 1. Initial series of workshops • Growing a sustainable economy and investing in the future • Creating opportunities, tackling disadvantage and improving health and wellbeing • Protecting our people, the environment and creating safer communities plus building a strong and shared community

Dissatisfaction with political system/ politicians 95 Divided society/legacy issues/ Local Divided society/legacy maintenance of peaceissues/ 67 issues 40 maintenance of peace 67 No No issues/worries Don’t know 36 Don’t know 34 34 issues/worries 36 Transport / travel 131

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Process – NISRA’s role 2. Subsequent workshops to create a first draft framework • Blank sheet of paper stuff requiring close collaboration between • Departmental Statisticians and Lead policy personnel. • Statisticians across the Agency • Outcomes drafted • Indicators suggested – pros and cons highlighted • A lot of work and communication was key • To some extent there was reassurance for NISRA

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Election Day 5 May 2016 - Formation of New NI Executive - Discussions to agree Draft Framework

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Process – NISRA’s role 3. Immediate post-election period • NISRA’s role to advise on the availability and limitations of potential indicators. • Draft much of the Framework Document relating to indicators • Measurement Annexes – Initial Technical Notes

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government THE FRAMEWORK • 14 Outcomes • 42 Indicators • 33 data currently available • 9 data development required

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We prosper through a strong, competitive, regionally balanced economy

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We live and work sustainably – protecting the environment

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We have a more equal society

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We enjoy long, healthy, active lives

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We are an innovative, creative society, where people can fulfil their potential

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We have more people working in better jobs

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We have a safe community where we respect the law, and each other

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We care for others and we help those in need

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We are a shared society that respects diversity

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We are a confident, welcoming, outward-looking society

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We give our children and young people the best start in life

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We have high quality public services

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We have created a place where people want to live and work, to visit and invest

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Framework We connect people and opportunities through our infrastructure

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Initial Reaction

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Initial Reaction

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Similarities. . . 16 Outcomes - 50 Indicators • Value of Exports • Broadband coverage • Nation Brands Index • % Low Qualifications • Underemployment • Graduates in positive destinations • Healthy birth weight • Support for people with care needs • Crime victimisation • Relative poverty • Cultural engagement • Greenhouse gas emissions • Public transport or active travel journeys 7 Goals – 46 Indicators • Low birth weight • Healthy life expectancy and deprivation gap • NO 2 in air • Child development • GCSE attainment • Levels of Qualifications • Innovation-active businesses • Recycling • ‘Good jobs’ • Relative poverty • Employment • Cultural participation • Greenhouse gas emissions • Respect 10 Domains – 41 Measures • Healthy life expectancy at birth • Cultural participation • GCSE attainment • Greenhouse gas emissions • Household waste that is recycled • % Low Qualifications

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government NISRA’s current role in the process • Establishment of Technical Assessment Panel • Statistical Quality • Setting Baseline • Determining threshold for change • Departmental Statisticians - Delivery Plans • Departmental Statisticians – Performance level accountability

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Summary - Impact on NISRA – Good and Bad Good • Statisticians central to development of framework • Statisticians central to development of detailed delivery plan • Reassuring that, in the main, NISRA was able to meet demand • Technical Assessment Panel ensures transparency on data limitations and future reporting • Provides a focus for planning future statistical priorities Bad • Resource intensive at a time of scarce resources • Variability in understanding of OBA • Time pressure

Statistician Input into Northern Ireland Programme for Government Thanks for listening. Niall O’Neill NISRA niall. o’neill@finance-ni. gov. uk 02890 348121