Stages of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts Dr Jared O

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Stages of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts Dr. Jared O. Bell, Assistant Professor of International Relations

Stages of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts Dr. Jared O. Bell, Assistant Professor of International Relations & Public Administration Faculty of Business and Administration International University of Sarajevo

�What is a protracted conflict? How would you define a protracted conflict?

�What is a protracted conflict? How would you define a protracted conflict?

�A protracted conflict is a conflict that is long enduring, severe, complicated. What are

�A protracted conflict is a conflict that is long enduring, severe, complicated. What are so examples of protracted Ethnic conflicts going on around the globe now? Protracted Conflict

�Asymmetric �Symmetric Two Important Types of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts

�Asymmetric �Symmetric Two Important Types of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts

�Conflicts parties. that arise between dissimilar �Example: Between a rebel group and a government

�Conflicts parties. that arise between dissimilar �Example: Between a rebel group and a government Asymmetric Conflicts

�Conflicts parties. of interest between two similar �Example: Two different ethnic groups who maybe

�Conflicts parties. of interest between two similar �Example: Two different ethnic groups who maybe warring over resources. Symmetric Conflicts

Stages of Conflict of a Protracted Conflict

Stages of Conflict of a Protracted Conflict

�“Latent conflict" exists whenever individuals, groups, organizations, or nations have differences that bother one

�“Latent conflict" exists whenever individuals, groups, organizations, or nations have differences that bother one or the other, but those differences are not great enough to cause one side to act to alter the situation ( Brahm, 2003) What are some examples that may cause latent conflicts? Latent Conflict

Is the stage in which a conflict erupts and becomes visible to all parties.

Is the stage in which a conflict erupts and becomes visible to all parties. Conflict Emergence

is the stage in which a conflict grows and moves beyond just disagreement or

is the stage in which a conflict grows and moves beyond just disagreement or incompatibility. � Conflict Escalation

is the stage where the conflict lessens and parties can begin negotiating on moving

is the stage where the conflict lessens and parties can begin negotiating on moving beyond the issue that cause the conflict initially. � Conflict De-escalation

Conflict Escalation Versus Conflict De-escalation

Conflict Escalation Versus Conflict De-escalation

�Is the stage where all parties agree on specific terms to move forward and

�Is the stage where all parties agree on specific terms to move forward and the conflict ends. �Are conflicts Managed? Or Settled? Settlement

More definitions (2) � “Conflict settlement aims at establishing an institutional framework in which

More definitions (2) � “Conflict settlement aims at establishing an institutional framework in which the conflicting interests of the different principal conflict parties … can be accommodated to such an extent that incentives for cooperation and the non-violent pursuit of conflicts of interest through compromise outweigh any benefits that might be expected from violent confrontation” (Wolff 2006: 134 -135).

Conflict settlement aims at establishing an institutional framework in which the conflicting interests of

Conflict settlement aims at establishing an institutional framework in which the conflicting interests of the different principal conflict parties … can be accommodated to such an extent that incentives for cooperation and the non-violent pursuit of conflicts of interest through compromise outweigh any benefits that might be expected from violent confrontation” (Wolff 2006: 134 -135). Conflict Settlement

�Conflict management is an attempt to contain or limit the effects of an ongoing

�Conflict management is an attempt to contain or limit the effects of an ongoing ethnic conflict. Conflict Management

�Both of the above are distinct from conflict resolution, conflict transformation and reconciliation. Others

�Both of the above are distinct from conflict resolution, conflict transformation and reconciliation. Others Terms that maybe used

�This is the stage where parties in a conflict work to rebuild or fix

�This is the stage where parties in a conflict work to rebuild or fix damaged social institutions. �This is also a point where parties work to apologize and/or forgive one another for wrong doings committed during conflict. Post-Conflict Peace Building & Reconciliation

�Negative peace: absence of direct or personal violence (Galtung 1969; 1985); most often conceptualised

�Negative peace: absence of direct or personal violence (Galtung 1969; 1985); most often conceptualised as the absence of war (armed hostilities); �Positive peace: absence of structural violence (ibid. ). According to Barnes (2009) positive peace has been achieved “where democratic governance is established, where human rights are protected, and where sustained progress can be made towards development” Definitions of Peace

�Peace Processes �Peacemaking �Peace Building Ways of Peace

�Peace Processes �Peacemaking �Peace Building Ways of Peace

�Peace processes are “persistent peace initiatives involving the main antagonists in a protracted conflict”

�Peace processes are “persistent peace initiatives involving the main antagonists in a protracted conflict” (Darby and Mac. Ginty 2002: 2). Peace processes

�While peacemaking is concerned with bringing hostile parties to an agreement (Barnes 2009) Peacemaking

�While peacemaking is concerned with bringing hostile parties to an agreement (Barnes 2009) Peacemaking

�peacebuilding is more comprehensive, involving sustained and multidimensional efforts to address the structural causes

�peacebuilding is more comprehensive, involving sustained and multidimensional efforts to address the structural causes of conflict … and to reconcile relationships Peacebuilding