SPONSORED BY Economic Impacts The Graduation Effect If

SPONSORED BY:

Economic Impacts – The Graduation Effect If Georgia’s Graduation Rate increased to 90% $160 million in additional income $10. 5 million in state and local tax revenue $600 million on health-care cost savings $260 million in home sales Source: Alliance for Excellent Education’s “The Graduation Effect” with support from State Farm; http//impact. all 4 ed. org/

Overview 1. Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2. Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3. Challenges in the Birth to Work Pipeline 4. What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones School Readiness Literacy by 3 rd Grade Numeracy by 8 th Grade High School Graduation Workforce and/or College Ready

School Readiness Percent of Children with School Readiness Skills

NAEP 4 th Grade Reading Percent At or Above Proficient 39% 37% 38% 35% 33% 37% 35% 32% 31% 29% 35% 34% 32% 38% 32% 34% 35% 34% 20 th State U. S. Georgia 29% 28% 27% 25% 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

NAEP 8 th Grade Math Percent At or Above Proficient 40% 38% 36% 35% 36% 34% 32% 30% 33% 34% 31% 27% 26% 37% 34% 29% 28% 24% 37% 28% 35% 36% 33% 31% U. S. 28% Georgia 25% 22% 2007 2009 2011 2013 20 th State 2015 2017

Georgia High School Graduation Rates Year High School Graduation Rate State Average 2014 73% 2015 79% 2016 79% 2017 81% 2018 82% Source: Governor’s Office of Student Achievement (2014 -17), Georgia Department of Education (2018)

Percent of ACT Tested High School Graduates Meeting College Readiness Benchmarks - Reading 55 51 50 45 40 44 44 46 46 47 47 44 49 46 Georgia Nation 35 30 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: ACT, National -- The Condition of College and Career Readiness 2018

Percent of ACT Tested High School Graduates Meeting College Readiness Benchmarks - Math 60 55 50 45 43 42 40 35 38 2014 38 2015 41 41 41 40 2016 2017 Source: ACT, National -- The Condition of College and Career Readiness 2018 Georgia Nation 40 40 2018

Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT Unemployment % Rate* May 2019 Approx. Annual Earnings** 2. 1% Bachelor’s Degree & Higher $70, 200 2. 8% Some college/ Associate Degree $43, 420 3. 5% HS Graduates, No College $38, 428 5. 4% Less than a High School Diploma $30, 056 Source: *U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table A-4. Employment status of the civilian population 25 years and over by educational attainment. **U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 5. Quartiles of usual weekly earnings of full-time wage and salary workers, approximation based on median earnings.

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity Higher health care & criminal justice costs Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood Higher public services costs Less voting; Less volunteering Low rate of community involvement Source: Levin, H. , et al. , (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

Barriers to Economic Growth: Adults Without A High School Diploma Compiled by Georgia Chamber of Commerce 2030, ACS 2015 5 -Year estimates

Barriers to Economic Growth: Adults Not Working, Ages 25 -64 Compiled by Georgia Chamber of Commerce 2030, ACS 2015 5 -Year estimates

Barriers to Economic Growth: Poverty Rates ACS 2015 5 -year estimates/Kids Counts Data Center

Barriers to Economic Growth No HS Diploma Adults Not Working Poverty

Challenges in the Birth to Work Pipeline

The Changing Face of Georgia 2006 -2017: Percent Population Increase Asian 31% Hispanic 21% Living in Poverty 16% Black 11% Total 8% White 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Source: U. S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2006 -2010 & 2013 -2017 5 -Year Estimates, calculations done by Atlanta Regional Commission

Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth Professional Families 1, 116 words Working Class Families 749 words Welfare Families 525 words Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3. ”

Achievement Gaps 4 th Grade Reading* 8 th Grade Math* HS Graduation** 82% 31% 35% 77% 58% 20% 25% 4% ar ne Le -In co ua ge Lo w *Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress, 2017 Percent of students proficient and above **Source: Georgia Department of Education, 2018 High School Graduation Rate rs e m nt tu de l. S Al Le ge En gli sh La ng ng ua s rs ar ne m -In co Lo w La English Language Learners sh All Students Low-Income En gli Al l. S tu de nt s e 10%

The Missing 57% 100 Georgia 9 th Graders Enter High School! 81 graduate HS 62 enroll in higher education 43 make it to their sophomore year Source: Ga DOE data for 2016 -2017 school year; projections by Atlanta Regional Commission

Georgia’s Economic Development Needs JOB CHANGE 2015 -2025 387 086 Replacement 1, 151, 228 4, 956, 144 4 569 058 2015 TOP GROWING INDUSTRY SECTORS 2015 -2025 PROJECTIONS 2025 Georgia is experiencing a talent gap. This talent gap is a mismatch between degrees and skills needed by employers versus the degrees and skills of the population. Source: Compiled by Georgia Chamber of Commerce 2030, Jobs. EQ Analysis

Georgia’s Future Workforce 1. Increasing academic rigor and expectations + 2. Changing demographics + 3. Increasing demand for highly skilled labor force = Perfect Storm? Positive Collective Impact?

What Can We Do?

Economic Lifecycles HOW DO WE MAINTAIN THE INSULATE THE PIPELINE! PIPELINE?

Profile of Child Wellbeing and Academic Achievement 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Georgia Kids Count, Georgia Family Connection Partnership, http: //www. gafcp. org Bartow Catoosa Chattooga Dade Fannin Floyd Gilmer Gordon Murray Pickens Walker Whitfield

Babies Born to Mothers with <12 Years of Education 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Georgia Kids Count, Georgia Family Connection Partnership, http: //www. gafcp. org 2017 Bartow Catoosa Chattooga Dade Fannin Floyd Gilmer Gordon Murray Pickens Walker Whitfield

Percent Teens Not Working or in School 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2009 2013 2010 2014 2011 2015 2012 2016 2013 2017 Source: Georgia Kids Count, Georgia Family Connection Partnership, http: //www. gafcp. org Bartow Catoosa Chattooga Dade Fannin Floyd Gilmer Gordon Murray Pickens Walker Whitfield

Percent Low-Income by School District 67 57 56 52 49 nn in Da de Ba rto w Pi ck en Ca s to os a 60 Fa rd on 62 Go lm er Gi yd 68 Flo el d 71 hi tfi al ke r 74 W M ur ra y 74 W Ch at to o ga 81 % Low-Income (GA 62%) Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards, % Eligible for Free/ Reduced Meals 2018

Percent Low-Income and Proficient + Distinguished 3 rd Grade English Language Arts % Low-Income (GA 62%) Source: Georgia Department of Education, Georgia Milestones 2019 52 49 48 40 % Proficient+ (GA 42%) os a to en s 36 ck Pi Da 56 w 38 50 rto 41 Fa on Go rd er lm yd 37 57 nn in 49 60 Ba 62 de 67 Gi hi tfi Flo d r ke al y W 68 43 40 34 ur ra M 71 Ca Ch at to o ga 35 74 el 74 W 81

Percent Low-Income and Proficient + Distinguished 8 th Grade Math Source: Georgia Department of Education, Georgia Milestones 2019 46 56 52 44 to os s % Proficient+ (GA 35%) Ca en Pi ck w rto e 31 60 49 a 50 57 Ba Fa nn in 42 on rd Go % Low-Income (GA 62%) 60 Da d 62 51 lm er hi tfi 67 40 yd r ke W W al y ur ra M ga to o at Ch 45 36 25 68 Flo 41 71 Gi 74 d 74 el 81

Percent Low-Income and HS Graduation 74 94 88 74 71 84 80 68 95 67 62 94 60 92 57 96 87 56 52 M ga to o at Ch 88 49 ur ra y W al ke W r hi tfi el d Flo yd Gi lm er Go rd on Fa nn in Da de Ba rto w Pi ck en Ca s to os a 81 82 93 % Low-Income (GA 62%) Graduation Rate (GA 82%) Source: Georgia Department of Education, High School Graduation Rates 2018

Help Insulate the Pipeline Early Childhood Read to children every day: “Talk with Me Baby” Encourage participation of your early learning centers: “Quality Rated” Support “Get Georgia Reading Campaign” K – 12 System Leverage partnerships with business and post-secondary – internships and mentoring Consider dual enrollment high school/college Provide internships/ apprenticeships Post Secondary Participate and support: “Go Back. Move Ahead. ” Promote adult literacy efforts

Aligning Educational Strategies for Collective Impact Random Acts of Improvement GOALS Partially Aligned Acts of Improvement GOALS

Small Group Discussion

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