South Oxfordshire Data Pack latest update 040817 District

South Oxfordshire Data Pack latest update: 04/08/17 District Data Analysis Service Bella Image (iimage@oxford. gov. uk)

Index (Hover a word, right click, and press ‘L’) South Oxfordshire 2017 1. Population 2. Travel 3. Economy a. Enterprises b. Employment 4. Welfare & Benefits 5. Education & Skills 6. Housing 7. Deprivation 8. Crime 9. Health 2

Can’t find what you need in this data pack? Try one of the following : • District Data website – Charts of the Month (data for whole county) – South Oxfordshire homepage – South Oxfordshire reports for small areas (parishes, wards etc) • Local Insight (ask the District Data Analyst for a password) • JSNA (Joint Strategic Needs Assessment) for Oxfordshire South Oxfordshire 2017 • Health Profiles • Strategic Intelligence Assessment (crime data) …or the District Data Analyst will be happy to help! Bella Image (part-time) iimage@oxford. gov. uk 07483 011 142 3

1. POPULATION 4

Population: growth In mid-2016, South Oxfordshire’s total population was estimated at 138, 128. Between 2004 and 2016, the population has grown by 9, 821 people or 8%. CHART: Population of South Oxfordshire, 2001 -2016 138 000 136 000 1, 4% Population Percentage Change 1, 0% 134 000 Population 1, 2% 132 000 0, 8% 130 000 0, 6% 128 000 0, 4% Percentage Change 140 000 126 000 124 000 122 000 138, 1 k 137, 0 k 135, 5 k 133, 9 k 132, 6 k 130, 7 k 129, 4 k 128, 8 k 128, 3 k 128, 9 k 130, 1 k 131, 6 k 133, 5 k 135, 0 k 136, 0 k 137, 4 k 0, 2% 0, 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: ONS, 2016 mid-year estimates South Oxfordshire 2017 5

Population change • South Oxfordshire’s population estimate increased by 716 between 2015 and 2016. • Most (52%) of this increase has been from natural change (births minus deaths). • Migration can be divided into: – Internal migration (from within the UK): net inflow of 170 persons – International migration: net inflow of 77 persons • In all, migration accounts for 247 persons or 3% of South Oxfordshire’s increase. 2 500 CHART: Population change, 2015 to 2016 2 000 Other 22 Migration Natural Change 1 500 1 000 500 747 76 22 690 100 -500 South Oxfordshire 2017 247 971 0 Cherwell 1 647 Oxford -1 369 406 South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf 78 71 -86 Source: ONS 2016 mid year estimates 6

Population change: international immigration In 2011, 9% of South Oxfordshire residents were born outside the UK. • 2001 Between 2001 and 2011, the total number of residents of South Oxfordshire born outside the UK increased from 9, 400 to 12, 400 (an increase of 32%). 2011 CHART: Country of birth of South Oxfordshire residents , 2001 to 2011 – selected countries 958 886 917 851 1 026 829 622 614 408 445421 137 France Germany India Ireland Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV 08; Census 2011 table QS 203 South Oxfordshire 2017 Poland 27 599 648 178 Romania South Africa United States

Distribution of age groups Working Age: 60% Age 0 -15: 19% CHART 1: Distribution of different ages 63% South Oxf 60% England ≈ 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Age 65+: 21% 66% 65% 64% 63% 62% 61% 60% 59% 58% 57% CHART 2: Working Age as a proportion of the population In South Oxfordshire, 60% of the population are working age (16 -64). This is below the England proportion (63%). The proportion of the population which is working-age has been declining since around 2007, due largely to the growth in those aged 65+. South Oxfordshire 2017 8

Population: estimates by ward, 2015 In 2015, the largest ward in South Oxfordshire was Thame (11, 766 residents) and the smallest was Chalgrove (3, 427 residents). Ward Name All Ages The population of Didcot is 27, 028 (of whom 12% are aged 65+). % 65+ Benson & Crowmarsh 7, 983 1, 558 20% Berinsfield 4, 072 796 20% Chalgrove 3, 427 693 20% Chinnor 7, 915 1, 712 22% Cholsey 8, 646 1, 845 21% 10, 532 645 6% Didcot South 9, 935 1, 736 17% Didcot West 6, 561 905 14% Forest Hill & Holton 3, 661 785 21% Garsington & Horspath 3, 510 860 25% Goring 3, 755 1, 228 33% Haseley Brook 4, 085 761 19% 11, 744 2, 895 25% Kidmore End & Whitchurch 3, 799 849 22% Sandford & the Wittenhams 3, 940 845 21% Sonning Common 7, 313 1, 921 26% 11, 766 2, 377 20% Wallingford 7, 905 1, 618 20% Watlington 4, 057 979 24% Wheatley 4, 032 970 24% Woodcote & Rotherfield 8, 774 1, 893 22% 137, 412 27, 871 22% Didcot North East Older people (aged 65+) make up at least a quarter of the population in 4 wards (Garsington & Horspath, Goring, Henley, Sonning Common). Overall, 22% of the district is aged 65+. 65 plus Henley-on-Thames Thame TABLE: Population by ward, 2015 Total Source: ONS, SAPE 18 DT 8, mid-year 2015 South Oxfordshire 2017 9

Population characteristics: Rural vs Urban • • • South Oxfordshire is the 7 th most rural district in the South East region (out of 67). It has a density 2. 0 people per hectare compared with 4. 7 people per hectare across the South East and 5. 0 across England. The 2011 Census suggested that 50% of South Oxfordshire’s population lives in urban contexts, while the other 50% live in rural contexts. However, due to building programmes this will now have changed. Rural: village 22, 501 (17%) Rural: hamlet and isolated dwellings 10, 529 (8%) Urban: city / town 67, 252 (50%) Rural: town & fringe 33, 975 (25%) CHART: South Oxfordshire rural vs. urban population, 2011 Census Sources: Population from ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates. Hectares from ONS Census 2011 table KS 101 South Oxfordshire 2017 10

Population projections South Oxfordshire is projected to have a population Data Note: This graph uses subnational population projections (SNPPs) published by the ONS. These do not allow for scheduled house-building within local areas. of 154, 000 in 2039. • In 2039, older people (65+) are expected to make up 29% of the population. The number of older people will have increased by 62% since 2014: population 137, 000 180 Age 65+ Age 20 -64 Population, in thousands 160 140 120 2039: population 154, 000 36 38 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 44 44 44 27 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 33 33 34 35 36 100 80 77 78 78 78 77 77 77 76 76 76 60 40 20 32 32 32 33 33 33 34 34 33 33 33 South Oxfordshire 2017 2039 2038 2037 2036 2035 2034 2033 2032 2031 2030 2029 2028 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 0 Source: ONS 2014 -based SNPPs 11

Aging population: the oldest group • Proportionally, those aged 85+ represented 3% of the district’s population in in 2014. – This is higher than the England rate, where 2% of residents were estimated to be 85+ in 2014. 7, 0% South Oxfordshire 6, 0% 5, 0% 2039: 10, 000 people (7% of all residents) England 2014: 3, 800 people (3% of all residents) 4, 0% By 2039, the number of people aged 85+ in South Oxfordshire is expected to reach 10, 000. – This is 7% of the local population. (The England figure is 5%). • The number of individuals aged 85+ will grow by 263% between 2014 and 2039. 3, 0% 2, 0% 1, 0% England 2014: 2% 0, 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 • England 2039: 5% CHART: Proportion of the population that is aged 85+ Source: ONS 2014 -based SNPPs South Oxfordshire 2017 12

2. TRAVEL Data under theme of ‘travel’ is from the 2011 Census 13

Commuting: location of work, 2011 The number of commuters has increased by 9% since the 2011 census. South Oxfordshire has net commuting outflows of 8, 358 persons. Vale of White Horse Commuting in 23, 654 2 622 Reading 2 615 Oxford 2 541 Wycombe 1 521 Wokingham 1 336 West Berkshire 1 170 Cherwell 1 150 London 836 West Oxfordshire 828 0 2 000 2011 Commuting into South Oxfordshire 4 000 Commuting out 32, 012 (incl. homeworking / no regular place of work) 38, 702 3 946 Aylesbury Vale Working within South Oxon 6 000 8 000 Oxford Vale of White Horse London Reading Wycombe Aylesbury Vale West Berkshire Wokingham Cherwell Windsor and Maidenhead West Oxfordshire 7 369 6 217 3 518 2 514 2 236 1 586 1 256 1 076 2011 Commuting 1 014 out of South 699 Oxfordshire 516 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 Source: ONS 2001 Census table T 103 and T 10; 2011 Census table WU 03 South Oxfordshire 2017 14

Commuting: to Oxford • • According to the Census 2011 survey, 14% commuters in South Oxfordshire travelled to Oxford to work. The area with the highest proportion was the rural area to the east of the city including Stanton St John with 50% commuting to Oxford Middle layer super output areas Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU 02 South Oxfordshire 2017 15

Commuting: to Science Vale CHART: Number of people by local authority of residence commuting to work to Science Vale (Harwell, Milton Park, Culham), 2011 MAP: Areas of Oxfordshire with highest % of people commuting to Science Vale 64% 8% 4% 4% Total = 18, 600 Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU 01 South Oxfordshire 2017 16

Commuting: mode of travel 50 000 Taxi: 103 Passenger: 2, 800 45 000 CHART: Commuting to work in South Oxfordshire 40 000 35 000 30 000 Source: Census 2011, QS 701 EW 25 000 Driver: 44, 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 Bicycle: 2, 600 Bus: 2, 200 Train: 3, 600 Public transport Car /van On foot: 7, 700 Motorbike etc: 1, 000 Manpower Other At the 2011 Census 63, 900 South Oxfordshire residents commuted to work. • Of these, 9% used public transport, 73% were in a car and 16% were cycling or on foot. • Nationally 13% use public transport. Changes since 2011 are not available for South Oxfordshire specifically but national factsheets for 2016 (including on school runs and shopping trips) can be found on the National Transport Survey website. South Oxfordshire 2017 17

Home working Across South Oxfordshire, 6% of workers work from home. • This compares to 3% nationally and 4% in the South East. MAP: Home working as a proportion of those economically active by LSOA Homeworking is highest in the area around Henley. The LSOA with the lowest homeworking is in southern Didcot (2%). The LSOA with the highest homeworking covers Lower Shiplake (21%). Lower layer super output areas (LSOAs) areas used mainly for reporting statistical data. They have an average of around 1, 500 residents and 650 households. Source: ONS Census 2011 table QS 701 South Oxfordshire 2017 18

A third of lone older people in rural areas have no car In 2011, 12% of South Oxfordshire households had no car. (The England figure is 26%). Urban households were more likely not to have a car. This is higher for lone older households (where a person 65+ lives alone): 43% of lone older households (2, 800 older people) had no car. Of those who live rurally, over a third had no car. In urban areas, nearly a half had no car. CHART: % of South Oxon households with no car 60% 50% All household types One person aged 65+ 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 8% 37% Rural South Oxfordshire 2017 15% 48% Source: ONS Census 2011 Urban 19

3 A. ECONOMY: ENTERPRISES 20

Enterprises: size & sector CHART: Number of enterprises by sector, South Oxfordshire 2016 In South Oxfordshire, in 2016, 91% of enterprises are ‘micro’ (ie. Arts & leisure; 580 • This is similar to the England proportion of 9%. Any given enterprise may have more than one local unit. South Oxfordshire 2017 Construction, 710 8, 025 enterprises This is similar to the England proportion of 89%. A further 8% of enterprises are ‘small’ (ie. with 10 -49 employees). Manufacturing ; 375 Business admin; 685 with 0 -9 employees). • Other; 645 Agriculture/ mining, 380 Professional, scientific & technical; 1 900 Trade & Retail; 935 Hospitality, 235 Comms, financial & property; 1 270 Source: Business Counts, Nomis 12/05/17 21

Enterprises: distribution by MSOA CHART: Distribution of enterprises across South Oxfordshire, 2016, by MSOA Source: UK Business Counts, Nomis Definition: MSOAs (middle layer super output areas) are used for reporting Census data. They have an average of around 7, 500 residents and 3, 000 households. In 2016, in South Oxfordshire, …the area with the greatest number of enterprises was in the area containing Stadhampton and Chalgrove (545). …the area with the smallest number of enterprises was in Didcot (125). Any enterprise may have more than one local unit (premises). South Oxfordshire 2017 22

Enterprises: births & deaths 1 000 900 800 700 600 500 400 Births South Oxf 705 700 500 450 860 770 740 Vale WH West Oxf 2011 2012 Deaths 650 South Oxf 625 600 550 930 Cherwell 2010 750 920 2013 2014 2015 695 665 650 660 610 Cherwell Vale WH West Oxf 400 2011 2012 South Oxfordshire 2017 2013 2014 Births. Since 2010 there has been an increasing number of new businesses. • In 2015 there were 11 new businesses per 100 existing enterprises. This is lower than the national rate (15 births per 100 businesses). Deaths. Since 2010 deaths have remained roughly the same. • There were 8 deaths per 100 businesses (compared to 10 per 100 nationally). 2015 23

3 B. ECONOMY: EMPLOYMENT 24

Numbers of jobs: various estimates There a number of sources of jobs data for South Oxfordshire. The table below shows the latest data, with a note of what is included within each dataset. Source of jobs data South Oxfordshire Note ONS Census 2011 Workplace population 61, 700 (2011) Workplace population has a usual place of work in the area, including both individuals who live and work in area and individuals who work in the area but commute from a home elsewhere. Includes all types of jobs but with some undercounting as some people will have more than one job. Available for small areas. Updated every 10 years. ONS Business Register and Employment Survey 59, 000 (2015) “Employee jobs” – from ONS survey of businesses. Excludes self-employed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for small areas. Updated annually. ONS Jobs 73, 000 (2015) A workplace-based measure, includes employee jobs, selfemployed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for LAs only. Updated annually. South Oxfordshire 2017 25

Employment: jobs through time Number of jobs: At latest count there were Job Density: There around 0. 88 jobs person aged 16 -64. This is the highest value since the series began. There are more jobs person in South Oxfordshire compared to England (0. 84) or the South East (0. 86). 73, 000 jobs in South Oxfordshire. 74 k 73 k 2014 2015 71 k 69 k 68 k 69 k 66 k 65 k 66 k 67 k 59 k 67 k 66 k 64 k 63 k 64 k 69 k 68 k ≈ 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 CHART: Count of jobs in South Oxfordshire 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: ONS. Taken from Nomis “Jobs Density” 26

Employment: number of employees In 2015, businesses in South Oxfordshire employed 59, 000 people, of whom a third were part time. (NB this excludes the self-employed). GRAPH: Count of business employees, South Oxfordshire 2015 Source: ONS Business Register and Employment survey 45 000 40 000 FULL TIME PART TIME 35 000 30 000 Since 2009, full-time employment in South Oxfordshire has increased by 18%. Part-time employment has been roughly stable. Definitions: “Full-time”: those working more than 30 hours per week. “Part-time”: those working 30 hours or fewer per week. South Oxfordshire 2017 25 000 20 000 15 000 33 k 34 k 35 k 39 k 21 k 20 k 18 k 20 k 10 000 5 000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Definitions: “Employee” is anyone aged 16+ that an organization pays directly from its payroll, in return for a full- or part-time job or training scheme. It excludes the self-employed, voluntary workers, working owners who are not paid via PAYE. 27

Employment: by occupation In South Oxfordshire, in 2016, 60. 6% of employees are managerial or professional. • This is higher than the rate either regionally (49. 7%) or nationally (45. 5%). • In particular, a third of employees are in professional occupations, compared to only a fifth nationally. Source: Nomis area profiles South Oxfordshire 2017 28

Employment: national comparison Source: ONS Annual Population Survey 90% 85% South Oxfordshire 80% 79% Oxfordshire 75% 74% 70% ≈ England 65% YTD YTD YTD YTD Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 As measured by the Annual Population Survey, • 66% of the working age population is employed • 14% of the working age population is selfemployed • In all, 80% of the working aged are employed or self -employed. Employment has been higher than the national average since the series began. GRAPH: Proportion of those 16 -64 who are employed or self-employed South Oxfordshire 2017 29

Self-employment In South Oxfordshire in 2011, 18% of those in employment were self employed. • • Men are more likely than women to be selfemployed. Those in rural areas are more likely to be selfemployed than those in cities. 20% 18% 15% 10% 17% 15% 15% 17% 13% 5% 0% Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf England SE CHART: Self-employment in Oxfordshire, Also older people are more likely to be self-employed than younger people. • • • Of workers aged 60+ in South Oxfordshire, 32% are self-employed. This compares to 9% of workers aged 25 -29. (However, far fewer older people are economically active). South Oxfordshire 2017 30

Unemployment England 10, 0% Cherwell 9, 0% South Oxfordshire 8, 0% Vale of White Horse CHART: Unemployment (model-based) Source: Labour Force Survey West Oxfordshire 7, 0% 6, 0% 4, 8% 5, 0% 4, 0% 3, 0% 2, 8% 1, 0% Unemployment in all Oxfordshire rural districts has been consistently below England’s unemployment for over a decade. D YT YT D M ar -0 M 5 YT ar 0 D M 6 YT ar 0 D M 7 YT ar 0 D M 8 YT ar 0 D M 9 YT ar 1 D M 0 YT ar 1 D M 1 YT ar 1 D M 2 YT ar 1 D M 3 YT ar 1 D M 4 YT ar 1 D M 5 YT ar 1 D M 6 ar -1 7 0, 0% In Mar-17, the South Oxfordshire unemployment rate was 2. 8%. • (This is the number of people out of work, divided by the number of economically active individuals aged 16+). • This was equivalent to 1, 800 persons unemployed. South Oxfordshire 2017 31

Employees: Job Sectors CHART: Employment by sector In 2015, • 20% of South Oxfordshire employees were in ‘Scientific, technical, professional’ employment. – This is more than twice the England proportion (England 9%). • • 16% of South Oxfordshire employees work in ‘Trade’ (England 16%). Conversely, compared to the England proportions, South Ox employs fewer than average people in Manufacturing, Admin, and Health. Compared to 2009, there are 7, 300 more jobs. • There have been over 1, 000 new jobs in each of ‘Trade’, ‘Hospitality’ and ‘IT / financial’ services. • There have been 2, 300 new jobs in the ‘Scientific, technical, professional’ sector. • 500 jobs altogether have disappeared in ‘Manufacturing’ and ‘Construction’. Other 5 200 Health 4 600 Education 5 900 Admin 5 100 Manufacturing 3 100 Construction 2 800 South Oxfordshire 2015: 58, 600 jobs Scientific, technical, professional 11 600 Trade (motor, retail, wholesale) 9 600 Hospitality 5 100 IT, financial, property 5 600 Source: Business Register and Employment Survey South Oxfordshire 2017 32

Earnings: full-time In 2016, the median gross earnings of full-time employees resident in South Oxfordshire was £ 635 per week (equivalent to around £ 34, 378 a year). GRAPH: Median weekly earnings for full-time workers Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, 02/05/17 This is significantly higher than the national average. England average: £ 545 £ 800 £ 400 £ 583 £ 589 £ 635 £ 632 £ 575 £ 545 £ 582 Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox England South East £- South Oxfordshire 2017 33

Earnings: part-time In 2016, the median gross earnings of part-time employees resident in South Oxfordshire was £ 193 per week. GRAPH: Part time workers: (a) average earnings and (b) average hours worked This was based on an average of 16. 9 hours per week, at an average rate of £ 11. 45 an hour. (The England average for parttime workers is £ 8. 95 an hour). Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, 02/05/17 £ 195 30 £ 185 28 26 24 £ 175 22 18, 6 H 18, 1 H £ 165 15, 9 H £ 155 18 H 19 H 18, 5 H 16, 9 H 18 16 £ 184 £ 164 £ 193 £ 181 £ 177 £ 183 Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox England South East South Oxfordshire 2017 20 Hours worked Gross weekly earnings Hours worked 14 34

NINO registrations: breakdown in 2016 Other /NK 68 (8%) Americas 44 (5%) EU-15 144 (16%) Africa 93 (11%) 76% are aged between 18 and 34. Asia 110 (12%) EU-Other 430 (48%) CHART: Number of NINO registrations in South Oxfordshire, 2016 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 02/05/17 South Oxfordshire 2017 890 In 2016, overseas nationals based in South Oxfordshire registered for a National Insurance number. 48% came from EU countries other than the EU 15. (This mostly means ‘accession’ countries and/or those in Eastern Europe. ) Definition of “EU-other”: Estonia, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Malta, Cyprus, Croatia 35

NINO registrations: change through time 1400 1 260 1200 1 045 1 015 1000 917 890 728 678 600 700 622 CHART: Number of NINO registrations in South Oxfordshire, 2002 -2016 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 02/05/17 522 467 412 936 884 800 1 099 400 200 0 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 20 15 20 16 Since 2013 there has been a growth in the number of NINO registrations. However, Brexit may change the pattern in future years. South Oxfordshire 2017 This data covers NINo allocations (a) for all types of work, incl. selfemployed & part-time students (b) whatever the length of stay in the UK (c) adult overseas nationals allocated a NINo to claim benefits or tax credits. 36

4. WELFARE & BENEFITS 37

Benefit claimants: client groups (working-age) bereaved; 160 other income related; 40 disabled; 550 In Nov-16, there were 4, 470 working-age benefit claimants in South Oxfordshire. • Of these, 52% are in the category “Employment Support Allowance or other incapacity benefits”. job seeker; 280 carer; 700 lone parent; 420 ESA & incapacity benefits; 2 320 CHART: Categories of benefit claimants, Nov-16 In South Oxfordshire, 5. 4% of the working-age population are on benefits. • This is lower than the rate England (10. 7%) Source: DWP working-age client group data, accessed through Nomis South Oxfordshire 2017 38

Benefit claimants: proportion of population (working age) 20, 0% England 15, 0% 11% 10, 0% South Oxfordshire 5% 5, 0% CHART: Proportion of workingage population claiming benefits Source: DWP working-age client group data, accessed through Nomis 6 v-1 No -15 No v 4 v-1 No 3 v-1 No -12 No v -11 No v -10 No v -09 No v -08 No v -07 No v -06 No v -05 No v 4 v-0 No -03 No v -02 No v -01 No v -00 No v -99 0, 0% In South Oxfordshire, 5. 4% of working-age residents today are on benefits, compared to 5. 7% in Aug-99. In England, today’s figure is 10. 7% compared to 14. 2% in 1999. South Oxfordshire 2017 39

Jobseekers: June 2017 5, 0% 4, 0% GRAPH: Claimants as % of economically active population, Jun-13 and Jun-17 Source: DWP through Nomis Jun-13 In June 2017, in South Oxfordshire, 0. 6% of economically active people were on unemployment benefit. This compares with a national average of 2. 3%. 4, 3% Jun-17 3, 0% 2, 6% 2, 5% 2, 3% 2, 0% 1, 5% 1, 1% 1, 0% 0, 7% 1, 3% 0, 6% 1, 4% 0, 7% 0, 0% Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf South Oxfordshire 2017 England South. East 40

Jobseekers: Change through time 1 200 GRAPH: South Oxfordshire Claimant Count, Jan-13 to Jun-17 1 000 In June 2017, 425 residents of South Oxfordshire were claiming benefits in respect of worklessness (either Jobseeker’s Allowance or Universal Credit). 800 Feb, Mar 2013 1130 Jun 2017 425 600 400 200 ян в ма -13 р ма -13 й ию -13 л се -13 н но -13 я ян -13 в ма -14 рма 14 й ию -14 л се -14 н но -14 я ян -14 вма 15 р ма -15 й ию -15 л се -15 н но -15 я ян -15 в ма -16 р ма -16 й ию -16 л се -16 н но -16 я ян -16 в ма -17 р ма -17 й 17 0 Source: DWP (Nomis), 14/07/17 South Oxfordshire 2017 41

5. EDUCATION & SKILLS 42

GCSE attainment 70% 60% In 2014/15, 65% of KS 4 pupils resident in South Oxfordshire attained the benchmark of 5+ A*to C grades including English and Maths. 65% 57% 60% 58% 61% 50% 40% 30% CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English 20% This is the highest in the district. 58% 61% 10% 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon Source: Department for Education, 2014/15 results NOTE: data excludes pupils in private schools South Oxfordshire 2017 43

GCSE attainment: by school In 2014/5, most of South Oxfordshire’s secondary schools were above the national average on the % of pupils achieving 5+ A*-C GCSEs (incl. English & Maths). Chiltern Edge Community School has the lowest score on this measure; however, it also has the highest number of disadvantaged children (19%, nearly a fifth). 72% 60% 73% 65% 57% 52% 46% South East 70% England Chiltern Edge Community School Didcot Girls' School CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English South Oxfordshire 2017 Gillotts School Icknield Community College Langtree School Lord Williams's School Source: Department for Education (2014/15 results) 44

Free School Meals pupils: attainment In Aug-14, the proportion of South Oxfordshire’s resident pupils achieving five GCSEs A*-C (including English and Mathematics) was 39%. This was higher than the England average. The attainment gap (ie. the gap between the FSM and non-FSM pupils) was 29 percentage points. This was greater than the gap for England (27 percentage points). 80% 68% 70% 62% 61% 58% 60% 64% 60% 63% England FSM average 50% 40% 39% 34% 30% 29% 26% 35% 24% Free School Meals 10% Not on FSM 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results South Oxfordshire 2017 45

Free School Meals pupils: non-attainment 40% 36% Free School Meals 35% Not on FSM 31% 30% In Aug-14, in South Oxfordshire, 24% 25% 20% 19% of free school 19% 17% 15% 10% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WHW. Oxon meal pupils did not achieve 5 GCSEs (A*-G) at end of Key Stage 4. This is higher than the national figure of 17%. CHART: Proportion of pupils who do not achieve 5 GCSEs Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results South Oxfordshire 2017 46

NEETs (Not in Education, Employment or Training) 5, 0% 4, 5% Cherwell 4, 0% 3, 5% 3, 0% 2, 5% West Ox Vale WH South Ox 2. 0% 2, 0% 1, 5% 1, 0% CHART: NEETs in South Oxfordshire 0, 5% Source: Oxfordshire County Council, Early Intervention Service 1, 8% 0, 0% Apr-14 Apr-15 2. 0% In Apr 2017 of young people in South Oxfordshire were classed as NEETs. The proportions are currently very similar across the Oxfordshire districts. South Oxfordshire 2017 Apr-16 Apr-17 Definition: NEETs are young people aged 17 -19 (Years 12 to 14) who are not in education, employment or training. 47

Apprenticeship participation stable over the past few years 2 500 2012/13 2 000 1700 1640 2013/14 2014/15 1660 1 500 1 000 500 0 Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon CHART: Numbers participating in apprenticeship programmes Source: FE data, through Oxfordshire LEP Apprenticeship participation has remained stable in South Oxfordshire over the past few years. However, trends may change in future. This will be the last year in which apprenticeship funding is largely grant funded. From April 2017, apprenticeships will be funded through a new apprenticeship levy on businesses. South Oxfordshire 2017 48

Qualifications 60% 2004 50% 2015 Bars: South Oxfordshire Crosses: England 37% 40% 30% 26% 20% 15% 20% 16% 15% 12% 10% 13% 16% 20% 38% No quals NVQ 1 NVQ 2 NVQ 3 NVQ 4+ 0% 9% 8% 4% 3% 10% 14% 13% 57% 2% Other No quals NVQ 1 NVQ 2 NVQ 3 NVQ 4+ Other 7% Source: Annual Population Survey, via Nomis In 2004, 38% of South Oxfordshire residents aged 16 -64 were at NVQ 4 or NVQ 5 (indicating a BA degree /higher diploma or above). In 2015, 57% (three-fifths) of South Oxfordshire residents were at NVQ 4+; much higher than the national average (37%). This was more than the national average of 26%. Moreover, now only 3% of residents have no qualification at all. South Oxfordshire 2017 49

6. HOUSING 50

Housing: South Oxfordshire key facts se 54, 100 households (Census 2011) r a ye 10 e rag 6: e 1 v A 20 ce pri a cre in % 9 4 1 Average house price 2016: £ 365 k 73% of households own their property (England 63%) 11% of households are in socially rented property (England 18%) Source: House price & increase: ONS, HPSSA table 9. Renting /ownership info: Census 2011. South Oxfordshire 2017 51

Social rented sector: occupancy Single person social rented households in South Oxfordshire 100% occupied: 90% • 78% of 1 bed 80% • 32% of 2 bed 70% • 15% of 3 bed 60% • 9% of 4 bed or more 50% 20% 40% 78% CHART: Occupancy of social rented households by number of bedrooms (South Oxfordshire 2011) 2% 1% 2% 17% 36% 30% 20% 6% 11% 5 people in household 23% 25% 22% 16% 10% 15% 0% 1 bedroom South Oxfordshire 2017 2 bedrooms 18% 23% 32% 10% 23% 6 or more people in household 3 bedrooms 4 people in household 3 people in household 2 people in household 1 person in household 9% 4 or more bedrooms Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 52

Social rented sector: over-crowding In the 2011 Census, • 3, 797 (62%) of South Oxfordshire social rented households had one or two bedrooms. • • Of these, 322 (8. 5%) were occupied by four or more people. On this measure of over-crowding, South Oxfordshire was above the national average. Overcrowding: Percentage of social rented households with ONE OR TWO bedrooms that were occupied by four or more people (2011) South Oxfordshire 2017 Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 53

Social rented sector: under-occupancy In Census 2011, • 4, 489 social rented households in South Oxfordshire had 2 or more bedrooms • Of these, 1, 005 (22%) were occupied by one person. • South Oxfordshire’s rate of under-occupancy was below the national average but above the regional average. Under-occupancy: Percentage of social rented homes with TWO OR MORE bedrooms that were occupied by one person (2011) South Oxfordshire 2017 Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC 4405 54

Housing (un)affordability ratio In 2016, median housing was 11. 26 times the income of the average worker. • This is higher than the national value (7. 72). The cheapest market housing is more unaffordable, being 11. 84 times more than the income of the lowest salaried workers (both measured as the lowest quartile). 14, 00 12, 00 CHART: Ratio of house price to earnings (“affordability ratio”) 11, 84 11, 26 10, 00 8, 00 7, 72 7, 16 6, 00 England (median) South Oxfordshire (median) 4, 00 England (lower quartile) South Oxfordshire 2017 15 20 13 20 11 20 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 19 99 0, 00 97 Dividing house price by earnings gives a ratio of 11. 26. South Oxfordshire (lower quartile) 2, 00 19 Example: In 2016, mean house price in South Oxfordshire was £ 355, 000 and median workplace earnings was £ 31, 533. Source: Ratio of house price to workplace based earnings, ONS. Downloaded July 2017 55

7. DEPRIVATION 56

Index of Multiple Deprivation MAP: Index of Multiple Deprivation (2015), by decile According to the Indices of Deprivation 2015, there were no areas of the district ranked within the 20% most deprived in England. Of the district’s 89 LSOAs, 92% are in the top four deciles (score 7, 8, 9, 10). One LSOA in Didcot is in the third decile. There are two LSOAs in the fourth decile, in Didcot and Berinsfield. Definition: The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) is a combined index made up of seven domains: income, employment, skills, health, housing & services, crime, living environment. South Oxfordshire 2017 Definition: “Lower Super Output Areas” (LSOAs) are used for the reporting of small area statistics and typically include a population of between 1, 000 and 3, 000. Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 57

Deprivation affecting Children MAP: Income Deprivation affecting children (2015), by decile Of the district’s 89 LSOAs, only 51% are in the top four deciles (score 7 – 10) for the IDACI. 9 LSOAs (10%) score 1; of these, five are in Didcot, two in Berinsfield and one each in Wallingford and Thame. Two more LSOAs (2%) score 2, in Wallingford and near Chalgrove. Definition: This chart shows IDACI or Income Deprivation affecting Children & Young People Index. The IDACI measures the proportion of children (aged 0 -15) living in households below the poverty line. South Oxfordshire 2017 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 58

Deprivation: Geographical barriers to services Rural South Oxfordshire generally scores badly for access to services. • • MAP: Geographical barriers to services, by decile (2015) 25 LSOAs (28%) have a score of 1. A further 17 LSOAs (19%) have a score of 2. In all, almost half of South Oxfordshire’s LSOAs are among the worst 20% in England for access to services. Definition: “Geographical barriers to services” is a sub-domain of the IMD. It is made of four indicators measuring road distance to GP surgery, post office, primary school, and supermarket / general store. South Oxfordshire 2017 Same colour scale as previous maps! Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 59

MAP: Fuel Poverty 2015, % of households Fuel Poverty In South Oxfordshire in 2015, an estimated 4, 809 households (8. 5%) experienced fuel poverty. • This compares with 11. 0% of English households, and 9. 6% of Oxfordshire households. • Fuel poverty has increased since 2013 when 3, 854 households were estimated fuel poor. The area containing Shirburn and Britwell Salome has the highest fuel poverty at 15. 5%. Source: Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, publ. June 2017 South Oxfordshire 2017 Definition: Fuel Poverty is assessed using the ‘Low Income, High Costs’ indicator. This looks at households below the poverty line who have higher fuel costs than expected for their housing type. 60

8. CRIME 61

Crime: overall 100 CHART: Crimes per 1, 000 population, YTD Sep-16 80 Source: Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence Assessment 2017 60 40 20 0 • • • 60, 3 89, 7 37, 7 33, 7 30, 6 52, 9 Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox Oxfordshire There were 5, 178 reported crimes in South Oxfordshire in the year to September 2016. These figures do not include fraud. Crime in South Oxfordshire is around average when compared to its ‘statistical neighbours’ (which include places like Vale WH, West Oxfordshire, Chiltern and Horsham). Since the previous year, there was a reduction in ‘robbery’, but a growth ‘possession of weapons offences’. South Oxfordshire 2017 62

Crime: a few specific offences This chart indicates rates for a few specific offences. It is expected for crime to be higher in cities (e. g. Oxford). South Oxfordshire has a slightly higher rate of ‘violence against the person’ and ‘burglary’ than Vale WH or West Oxfordshire. Violence against the person 15 13, 2 Theft: Shoplifting Theft: Burglary 10 10, 6 9, 9 7, 8 7, 6 7, 0 6, 4 4, 3 4, 1 3, 5 3, 8 2, 9 2, 5 3, 2 0 Cherwell South Oxfordshire 2017 Source: Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence Assessment 2017 16, 1 5 For more crime figures, refer to the Strategic Intelligence Assessment for Oxfordshire. CHART: Crimes per 1, 000 population, YTD Sep-16 20 Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox 63

Crime: Child Sexual Offences, Hate Crime There were 15 ‘child sexual offences’ in South Oxfordshire in the year to date Sep-2016. This is 9% of Oxfordshire’s total. 100 92 90 2014 2015 80 2016 In 2016 there were 65 hate crimes in the ‘racism’ category. Hate crime increased in the months after June 2016 but has now decreased again. However, it is also now more likely to be reported. 400 300 40 38 165 36 116 26 16 15 15 20 8 100 12 6 Oxford S Ox Vale WH W Ox CHART: Child Sexual Offences Source: Oxfordshire SIA 2017 South Oxfordshire 2017 63 65 62 11 9 0 Cherwell 2016 195 200 29 2015 263 60 43 2014 303 24 37 54 69 31 25 26 0 Cherwell Oxford S Ox Vale WH W Ox CHART: Hate Crime: Race Source: Oxfordshire SIA 2017 64

9. HEALTH 65

Health: Year 6 obesity 30% 20% In South Oxfordshire, in 2015/16, Englan 19, 8% 152 Year 6 children were 10% South Oxfordshire 20 06 / 20 07 07 / 20 08 08 / 20 09 09 / 20 10 10 / 20 11 11 / 20 12 12 / 20 13 13 / 20 14 14 / 20 15 15 /1 6 0% CHART: Proportion of Year 6 children who are obese Source: Public Health England South Oxfordshire 2017 11, 8% obese. This is 11. 8% of the cohort. This is significantly less than the England rate of 19. 8%. • (i. e. the blue line is outside the error bars on the red line) Other public health info available through the South Oxfordshire Health Profile, available through Public Health England here 66

Health: long-term limiting illness (self-defined) 20% Daily activities limited 'a little' Daily activities limited 'a lot' 15% 9% 10% 8% NB: totals may not sum due to rounding. (11, 000 persons) 5% 6% 0% 8% (7, 500 persons) S. Oxon In South Oxfordshire in 2011, 18, 500 individuals (14%) felt that their day-to-day activities were limited either ‘a little’ or ‘a lot’ by a health problem or disability that had lasted more than 12 months. England CHART: Persons feeling their activities have been limited for at least a year by health This is lower than the England rate of 18%. (This measure is self-defining, and thus would differ from DWP benefit claimants. ) Source: Census 2011, Table QS 303 EW South Oxfordshire 2017 67

Health: Sport participation in South Oxfordshire above national average CHART: % of adult population (16+) playing sport at least three times a week Source: Active People Survey Sport England, up to 2016. Interactive Tool http: //activepeople. sportengland. org/ Since 2008, Sports England reports that there has been a steady increase in the proportion of adults engaging in sport at least three times a week. South Oxfordshire 2017 In South Oxfordshire, 19. 8% of adults meet this measure, which is more than the England level of 17. 7%. However the data is volatile and may not be significant. 68

Health: eating CHART 2: % of adults daily eating 5+ portions of fruit and veg CHART 1: % of adults with ‘healthy’ weight 100% 16% 13% 14% 12% 32% 29% 34% 60% Obese Overweight 50% Healthy weight Underweight 40% 80% 60% 34% 30% 40% 20% 53% 48% 3% 0% England 54% Oxfordshire Source: Active People Survey, Sport England South Oxfordshire 0% Vale of White Horse A healthy weight is one with a BMI between 18. 4 and 24. 9 (as defined by the World Health Organization). In 2014/15, 54% of South Oxfordshire residents were in this bracket. The others were mostly overweight. South Oxfordshire 2017 58% 60% 68% 58% 20% 51% 0% 2% 51% 53% 55% 58% 10% 2013 2014 0% England Oxfordshire South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse In 2014/5, three-fifths of South Oxfordshire residents ate at least five portions of fruit or veg daily. This is higher than the national average, and a slight increase since the previous year. 69

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