Solving the Global Economic Politics of Peak Oil

Solving the Global Economic Politics of Peak Oil with Renewables Presented by Stephen L. Rush CEO of For Fuel Freedom (3 F Inc. ), Contrary Economist & Business Strategist World Green Energy Symposium October 22, 2010 TM TM Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc.

Overview Political-economics of future Oil Supply Resulting Economics of Peak Oil Decision Time for Governments Fossil Fuel Transition Plan Implementing Transition to Renewables How we arrived here Economic Choices Technology Choices Available Solving the Bio-fuel Supply Equation Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 1

The Politics of Petroleum Peak Oil Requires more Money and Energy to extract Kuwaiti Economists Global Oil Will Peak: Hubbert Model Tetonic (abiotic) 2014 Oil is Already Becoming Scarce Unnecessary & unstable Deep Ocean Drilling Oil Scarcity Can Be Prevented By Transition To Renewables Panic can lead to War Renewables can lead to Trade & Peace 9/29/202010 -10 -10 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 2

Peak Oil Predictions Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10

Economics of Scarcity Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10

The Time Is Now To avert a Crisis This is the Last Chance to Transition from Oil To determine Economic Options Plan to implement Best Technologies within 3 months Act Now to Avoid Economic Disparity Develop a Fossil-fuel Transition Plan A Well thought-out Plan will Stabilize Markets King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia said, “All of us must get used to a different lifestyle. ” 9/29/2020 Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 5

Fossil Fuel Transition Plan Determine your Level of Market Participation Expect Oil Shortfall to be 7. 3% Estimated Production Loss is 3. 4% 3. 9% is Compounded Economics (How scarcity affects the breakdown of oil supply) Evaluate Fuel and Energy Supply Select Economically Sustainable Technology Assess Local Renewable Resources Compare resources to your Energy Needs 3 months from now is latest to Start Development Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 6

Scarcity vs. Abundance Lessons of the Xinho Indians of So. America Food on the

Sources of Energy Making Smart Energy Choices Unsustainable Energy Sources: Oil Dams Geo-thermal Nuclear Petrol-chemical Coal, Nat’l Gas Wireless Grid Lethal Drawbacks: Desertification Seismic Disturbance Poor Health Ocean Acidificaton Famine Conditions Disease Sustainable Options can prevent calamity Renewables are here to save the day Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 9

Energy Demand Comparison Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10

Economic Considerations Transitional Energy Solutions Power Plant Oxy-fuel Process CO 2 Capture For Algae Bio-products Coal Power Plant Toxins Filter for Eco-products Such as Vehicle Battery lead, mercury for Cool Light Other DC Current Efficiencies Harnessing the Tide Green Buidling System Renewable Energy Solutions Bio-compost Bio-gas Bldg-integrated Energy Non-fossil fuel Wind Solar Cellulosic Fuels Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 11

Renewable Fuel Directions Sustainable Bio-fuels Options Bio-fuels and By-products from Algae Biodiesel Jet Grade Bio-fuel Bio-plastics Bio-oil Food Suppliments Bio-pharma Bio-fuels and By-products from Wastes Ethanol Bio-gas Bio-Fertilizer Glass Aggregate Hydrogen Bio-fuel Water Fuel Pellets Solving Bio-fuel Supplies Economic Equation Market for Renewable Products Consumer Convenience and Ethanol Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 12

A Brief History of Ethanol Development of Ethanol Roots in Persia, Appalacian Mtns, Brazil Liked for its Resemblence to Gasoline Easy Vehicle Maintenance and Use Persian Discoveries & Future Economies Proven tech thru the ages updated for today’s usage Distilled Alcohol -> Ethanol Optics and Electricity -> Solar Wind Inventions -> Non-fossil fuel Wind Astronomical Sci -> Int’l Space Participation Cell Transplantation -> Umbilical Stem Cells Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 13

Political - Economics of Ethanol Economic Threshold of Grain Ethanol Bio-fuels from Food Ecocologically unfriendly Eco-crops Apocalyptic Deforestation Western Climate and use of Corn Commoditiy Pricing Economics of fertilizer vs. Bio-fertilizers Supply Dilemma of Ethanol from Cellulose Sugar Limitations Production Threshold Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling . 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 14

Economic & Ecological Ethanol Next Generation Cellulosic Systems The use of Microbes Increase in feedstock or product Reuse and Recycling of Pulp By-products and markets Economics To Look For Economic Thresholds Breakeven Profit Analysis Raw Material to Product Output Ratio Raw Material Supplies Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 15

Differences in Ethanol Production Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010

How 3 F Inc. Accellerates the Supply Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling &

What Fits Your Transition Plan Utilizing Integrated By-products with Ethanol Does The System Provide Renewable Energy? Bio-compost Bio-gas Bio-oil Bio-plastics Bldg-integrated Energy CO 2 Sales Bio-Fertilizer Food Suppliments Glass Aggregate Wind Power Hydrogen Bio-fuel Jet Grade Bio-fuel Oxy-fuel Bio-pharma Solar Non-coal Fuel Pellets Water The Need for Bio-fuels and Renewables Cost to install Renewables in Iran? vs. Costs of Nuclear facilities, or War? Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 10 -10 -10 Page 18

Solving Supply Economics Bio-fuels needed to meet Oil Shortfall U. S. average fuel demand is 3, 898, 886, 420 brls. 112, 348, 162, 808 gallons gasoline 51, 405, 066, 828 gallons diesel E 85 is 72% and Bio-diesel is 86% of the energy in petroleum Replace the 7. 3% shortfall 7. 3% of the current U. S. fuel demand is equal to 23. 5 b gallons of ethanol, bio-diesel, jet fuel, bio-oil & bio-plastics Equal to 103 of 3 F Inc’s facilities in the first year At a cost of $40. 53 b US; decreasing scale after Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 19

Refining Cost vs Bio-fuel Capital Cost Operating Costs to run U. S. Refineries Total operating expenses for U. S. oil refineries: $1. 465 trillion U. S. dollars Could use it to buy 4, 000+ Plants Next generation bio-fuel systems Produce renewable energy in concert Global Operating Costs Global operating expenses for oil refineries: $10. 7 trillion dollars (estimated) Could buy 20, 000 Plants Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Page 20

Next Steps In The Plan Sustainable Renewable Choices This is the opportunity to explore your options Assess your best economic & technological fit Rate Economic Performance of these systems Find your next-generation of Sustainable Fuels Utilize Renewables Efficiently and Effectively It is easy to Retrofit existing infrastructure There is a huge market for it Supplies can coincide with Economic Change If Expansion Phases are timed to bring Renewable Systems to market quickly and methodically 9/29/202010 -10 -10 Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 21

Now is the Time to Plan Your Oil Transition A healthy environment makes for a healthy people and a healthy economy. A Presentation of For Fuel Freedom (3 F Inc. ) Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc.