Socioeconomic Profile PERO MERO CFO Forum 06 SEPTEMBER

Socio-economic Profile, PERO & MERO CFO Forum 06 SEPTEMBER 2013

REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE: 2013 2

Regional Development Profile 2013 SECTION 1 BACKGROUND: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT ROFILE 2013 SECTION 2 PURPOSE: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013 SECTION 3 CONTENT: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013 SECTION 4 SOURCES OF DATA: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013 SECTION 5 STATUS QUO: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013 SECTION 6 WAY FORWARD: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013 3

Background: Regional Development Profile 2013 Legislative Mandate: Section 26 of the MSA q The Council’s vision for the long term development of it’s communities. q An assessment of the existing development in the municipality which includes communities that do not have access to basic municipal services. q Council’s development priorities and objectives which includes it’s economic development aims and it’s internal transformation needs. q Council’s development strategies which must be aligned with national and provincial sectoral plans. q A Financial plan, which must include a budget projection of at least three years. q The Key Performance Indicators and Performance targets as determined in terms of section 41 of the MSA 32 OF 2000. 4

Purpose: Regional Development Profile q Provide a regional perspective on the Metro, Districts and Municipalities. q Ensuring that the Metro, District and local municipalities understand the socioeconomic reality for their respective regions. q Valuable insight can be gained as to the developmental challenges faced by communities within a specific municipal boundary. q. Regional Development Profile to be used as a data tool that can ensure that the information obtained will lead and guide planning & budgetary processes within municipal environment. 5

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013 Demographics 1. 1 Population Size 1. 2 Age and Gender Distribution 1. 3 Population Groups Social Development and Well-being 2. 1 Education and Human Development 2. 2 Literacy 2. 3 Education attainment 2. 4 Learner Enrolment and drop-out rates 2. 5 Access to FET colleges 2. 6 No fee Schools Health 3. 1 Health Care facilities 3. 2 HIV/AIDS Treatment and Care 3. 3 Child Health 3. 4 Maternal Health 3. 5 Community Based Services Crime 4. 1 Safety and Security 6

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013 Poverty and Inequality 5. 1 Human Development Index 5. 2 People living in Poverty 5. 3 Indigent Households 5. 4 Gini Coefficient Access to Municipal Services 6. 1 Water 6. 2 Energy 6. 3 Sanitation 6. 4 Refuse Removal 6. 5 Roads Economically Active Population 7. 1 Labour Force 7. 2 Unemployment 7. 3 Unemployment Rate 7. 4 Employment by Sector Finance and Resource Mobilisation 8. 1 National and Provincial Transfers 8. 2 Provincial Payments and Estimates 7

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013 Environmental Management 9. 1 Regional Water Volumes and Losses 9. 2 Water Service Levels 9. 3 Water Quality 9. 4 Waste Water Treatment 9. 5 Spatial Planning 9. 6 Air Quality 9. 7 Climate Change 8

Sources of Data: Regional Development Profile q Statistics South Africa: Census 2001 q Statistics South Africa: Census 2011 q Quantec Data q Municipal Economic Review Outlook 2013 q Sector Departments-Most Recent data 9

STATUS QUO: Regional Development Profile 2013 Released Regional Profiles 2012 November/December 2012 Invite municipalities to comment on content of Regional Profiles 2013 28 June 2013 and 01 July 2013 Forward Reminder to municipalities to comment on content or possible information required by municipalities on the Regional Development Profile 2013 10 July 2013 Received Inputs from municipalities on content of the Regional Development Profile 2013 13 July 2013 Data Collection and writing for 2013 Regional August 2013 -September 213 Development Profiles 10

STATUS QUO: Regional Development Profile 2013 Released Regional Profiles 2012 November/December 2012 Release draft Regional Development Profile 2013 to the Metro/ Districts and Municipalities September 2013 Roadshow on draft Regional Development Profiles-DCF/IDP Forum October 2013 Invitation to municipalities to comment on draft Regional Development Profile 2013 October 2013 Incorporate inputs from municipalities into Regional Development Profile 2013 October 2013 Release Regional Development Profiles to Metro/Districts and Municipalities for planning purpose and alignment to Budget 2014/2015 15 November 2013 11

PERO 2013

PERO: WESTERN PROVINCIAL ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK q Annual research report which provides an objective review and analysis of past estimated future economic growth and socio economic development of the Province. and q Socio-economic scanning to provide an evidence-based platform to inform and guide provincial planning and budgeting. q Analytical reference point for the provincial economic development strategies and interventions. q Contextualizes the challenge of shifting towards a inclusive growth and development trajectory in the Province. q Informs budget policy formulation and hence the budget of the Western Cape. q The PERO is informed by provincial government policy initiatives while, although not producing recommendations, has some influence on policy decisions. 13

Focus: Provincial Economic Review and Outlook 14

Focus: Provincial Economic Review and Outlook 15

MERO 2013

CONTENT: MUNICIPAL ECONOMIC REVIEW OUTLOOK CHAPTER 1 BACKGROUND AND OUTLINE OF REPORT CHAPTER 2 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK CHAPTER 3 SECTOR GROWTH, EMPLOYMENT AND SKILLS CHAPTER 4 VALUE CHAINS CHAPTER 5 INFORMAL SECTOR PROFILE CHAPTER 6 INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING 17

MERO: WC INDUSTRY COMPOSITION ACROSS DISTRICTS q 18

WC industry growth across districts (average annual real GDPR growth, 2000 -11) … 19

Western Cape: Revealed comparative advantage across districts (2011: LQ > 1) Cape Metro: • Tex, cloth & leather • Tourism • Finance, BPO, ICT • ‘Knowledge sector’ • Timber & furniture Cape Winelands: • Agric & processing Eden: • Agric & processing • Tourism • Building & construction • Communications & ICT • Timber & furniture West Coast: • Agric & processing Overberg: • Agric & processing • Tourism • Building & construction • Timber & furniture Central Karoo: • Agric & processing • Tourism • Building & construction • Electrical machinery • Finance & insurance

Business climate in informal sector: key points q Sample of 200 spread across municipalities and towns q Age, gender and education/skills q Regulation: benefits of non-compliance > costs (there is some effort to comply, e. g. by one third of respondents in WCD) q Duration (e. g. WCD): 50% 1 to 5 years; 21% 6 to 10 years; 20% more than 10 years, implying high survival rate q Employment (e. g. WCD): 40% single owner; 40% = 1 + 1; one enterprise 11 employees 21

Infrastructure investment & district economic growth – salient points q Differences in infrastructure investment and maintenance lead to different economic growth outcomes (as economic theory predicts): E. g. West Coast: 22

% Share of agro-processing industry in District GDPR, 2010 23

Non-Metro agricultural real GDPR, 2000 -11 (2000=100): sideways or contracting 24

WAY FORWARD: PERO & MERO q Provincial Top Management and Budget Policy Committee – September 2013 o Presentation on key findings and discussion q IDP Indaba – 16 September 2013 q Cabinet – 2 October o Presentation on key findings and discussion o Approval for publication q Tabling in Provincial Parliament by Minister of Finance, Economic Development and Tourism – 17 October 2013 q Budget Committee in Provincial Parliament - 17 October 2013 © Western Cape Government 2012 | 25

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