SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE Population Growth Globalization

SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE Population Growth, Globalization, and Social Reorganization

DEMOGRAPHY • The study of population trends – Scientifically Organized • Statistical Analysis • Data Sources – United States Census – General Social Survey (GSS)

Early Demography • Malthus – Theorized that population would grow beyond level of sustainability • Marx – Theorized that economic systems would manage population growth

MODERN DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS • EVEN ADJUSTMENT • OVERSHOOT OSCILLATION • OVERSHOOT COLLAPSE

CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE • FORCES OF GLOBALIZATION vs. NONGLOBAL NORMS – LEGACY OF COLONIALISM

DIVISION OF GLOBAL SOCIETY • FIRST WORLD (CORE) • SECOND WORLD (SEMI-PERIPHERY) • THIRD WORLD (PERIPHERY)

WEALTH vs. RESOURCES • FIRST WORLD – INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, STRETCHED RESOURCES • SECOND WORLD – INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, ADEQUATE RESOURCES (NOW, BUT NOT IN THE FUTURE) • THIRD WORLD – LITTLE INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, EXCESS RESOURCES

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE • “HAVES” vs. “HAVE-NOTS • MAINTENANCE OF EXCESS CONSUMPTION BASED ON NEOCOLONIALISM • WIDENING FINANCIAL GAPS – INCREASINGLY PROBLEMATIC IMBALANCES IN BOTH SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL HEALTH

SOCIOLOGICAL IMAGINATION 1. WHAT IS CURRENT STRUCTURE? 2. WHAT IS HISTORICAL RECORD? 3. WHAT TYPE OF MEN ARE IN CHARGE?

THREE TYPES OF MEN 1. THOSE WITH POWER AND AWARENESS OF POTENTIAL AND CONSEQUENCES 2. THOSE WHOSE ACTIONS HAVE CONSEQUENCES BUT ARE UNAWARE 3. THOSE WITHOUT POWER; CONFINED TO EVERYDAY MILIEUX