SIMULATION ACTIVITIES WITH NETLOGO Begin the simulation exercise

SIMULATION ACTIVITIES WITH NETLOGO • Begin the simulation exercise with these variables: – Infectiousness=75% – Population -fitness= 70% – Duration= 2 weeks – Population = 150 – Vaccinated=0%

Run Simulation • Run simulation with beginning variables • Stop simulation every 10 years to record data • Run simulation out for 100 years • Change variables, one at a time, and run simulation • Run as before, for 100 years, stopping every 10 years to record data • Chart data

CHANGING VARIABLES • CHANGE VACCINATED TO – 5%; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 10%; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 15%; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 20%; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA

CHANGING VARIABLES • CHANGE POPULATION FITNESS TO – 75%; RUN SIIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 80%; RUN SIIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 85%; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA

CHANGING VARIABLES • CHANGE POPULATION TO – 175; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 200; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA – 225; RUN SIMULATION, RECORD DATA

Analysis of Simulation • Record and Chart data from all runs, noting variable changes. • Analyze data from all runs, concentrating on the effects of variable changes on the population • Discuss results of your simulations.

QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION • PROPOSE RELEVANT QUESTIONS ABOUT VACCINATION RATES • PROPOSE RELEVANT QUESTIONMS ABOUT VIRAL CHANGE • PROPOSE RELEVANT QUESTIONS ABOUT POPULATION FITNESS