Sequential decision analytics and modeling ORF 411 Fall
- Slides: 36
Sequential decision analytics and modeling ORF 411 Fall, 2018 . Warren Powell Princeton University http: //www. castlelab. princeton. edu © 2017 Warren B. Powell, Princeton University
Week 1 - Monday Adaptive market planning © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 2
Narrative © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 3
Narrative © 2018 W. B. Powell
Narrative © 2018 W. B. Powell
Narrative © 2018 W. B. Powell
Narrative n © 2018 W. B. Powell
Stochastic gradient algorithms © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 8
Adaptive market planning n Gradient-based stochastic search » Powerful algorithm, but it an important class of sequential decision problem © 2018 W. B. Powell
Adaptive market planning n Stepsize rules » Harmonic stepsize formula (deterministic » Kesten’s rule (stochastic) » Discuss: • Scaling • Handling bias (learning) vs. noise (smoothing) © 2018 W. B. Powell
Adaptive market planning n Harmonic stepsize rules © 2018 W. B. Powell
Basic model Kesten’s stepsize rule © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 12
Basic model © 2018 W. B. Powell
Basic model © 2018 W. B. Powell
© 2018 W. B. Powell
Derivative-based stochastic search n © 2018 W. B. Powell
Derivative-based stochastic search n Mapping to box constraints © 2018 W. B. Powell
Basic model n Objective function © 2018 W. B. Powell
Basic model © 2018 W. B. Powell
Uncertainty modeling © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 20
Modeling uncertainty n © 2018 W. B. Powell
© 2018 W. B. Powell
Designing policies © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 23
Policies n Stepsize policies » Harmonic (deterministic) © 2018 W. B. Powell
Policies n Stepsize policies » Kesten (stochastic © 2018 W. B. Powell
Policies n Stepsize policies » Ada. Grad (stochastic) » Discuss variable scaling © 2018 W. B. Powell
Policy evaluation © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 27
Policies n © 2018 W. B. Powell
© 2018 W. B. Powell
© 2018 W. B. Powell
© 2018 W. B. Powell
Extensions © 2018 W. B. Powell Slide 32
Extensions © 2018 W. B. Powell
Extensions © 2018 W. B. Powell
Extensions © 2018 W. B. Powell
Extensions © 2018 W. B. Powell
- Sequential decision analytics
- Sequential decision analytics
- Objectives of decision making
- Slidetodoc.com
- Erickson nursing theory
- Relational vs dimensional data modeling
- Teramond
- Mimarimizdeki dini motifler
- Orf 523
- örf adet hukuku örnekleri
- Baki tuna yazıcı
- Bioinformatics lecture
- Orf
- Kurt reindl orf
- Scnc3111
- Subsplease.orf
- Orf finder
- Orf523
- Université de chlef
- Lisa orf
- Orf gene
- Orf transportation
- Lisa orf
- Orf transportation
- Modeling logic with decision tables
- Modeling logic with decision tables
- Decision table شرح
- Explain the decision tree modeling for capacity expansion
- Decision tree business analytics
- Decision models in business analytics
- Decision table and decision tree examples
- Nutrition 411
- Mgt 411
- Ece 411
- Csce 411
- Comp 411
- Cmsc 411 umd