Seasonal Adjustment Center of Excellence SAUG and SACE
- Slides: 11
Seasonal Adjustment Center of Excellence SAUG and SACE: Status Report Point 2. 3 SAEG Meeting – July 7 th, 2015 SACE 1
Outline • Quick report on what has already been achieved by SAUG and SACE § JDemetra+, Documentation, Helpdesk, Assistance, Trainings etc. • What is on the agendas of the 2 groups § JDemetra+, Plug-ins, Training, studies etc. SACE 2
SAUG and SACE meetings, reports • SACE § Intermediary report (first year of activity) released in April 2015; § Last coordination meeting in Paris (19/05/2015) • SAUG § Last meeting in Paris (18/05/2015) • All minutes, reports and documents available on the CROS portal SACE 3
What has been achieved? • Release of JD+ 2. 0. 0 in February § Long testing period by SACE and SAUG § Complete documentation available (see next presentation by SG) • Moving to JD+ 2. 0. 0 § Already done or on-going in several institutes : INE Portugal, INSEE, STATEC, Eurostat (some units), Turk. Stat, Statistics Finland etc. § Coaching : Statistics Denmark, ELSTAT, CSO Ireland SACE 4
Cooperation SAUG-SACE on JD+ • Members of the 2 groups test JD+ and prepare (or did) the move to JD+. • Some points raised by the SAUG: § Seasonality Tests: Definition, Comparison § AMI in JD+ Tramo: Parsimony of ARIMA models SACE 5
Helpdesk • Very active • Some statistics as of 10/06/2015 § 64 questions, 32 institutes § 2 technical problems with JIRA: link broken and large delay in the answer for several cases. # of Posts Other Cases # of Real Questions 82 3 85 64 SACE Institutes % Solved Average Duration 32 100. 00 5. 81 6
Training and Coaching • Training at ELSTAT in February; coaching since. • Working with Statistics Denmark (Karen Keller) to use JD+ through SAS • Working with Irish CSO (Brian Cahill) to move to JD+ SACE 7
International Conferences • To promote JD+ • NTTS 2015 (Brussels, May 2015) • 35 th International Symposium on Forecasting (Riverside, June 21 -24). SACE 8
On the Agenda (1) • Ongoing improvement of the documentation • Ongoing testing of JD+, Helpdesk • Migration to JD+ § SAUG will pilot a template on different institutes SA practices and plans. • Using JD+ in production: various experiments § Using the cruncher with SAS. § Using JD+ modules with R. § Using a web service. SACE 9
On the Agenda (2) • Training for users § Lots of material from SACE members and partners. § Synthesis and first draft for December. • Training for developers § Difficult task, impressive work from NBB and BBk § First training for “new developers” scheduled in Eurostat September 15 -17 (Trainers: BBk, NBB, Insee) SACE 10
On the Agenda (3) • Plug-ins § First draft for governance of new Plug-ins available § Ongoing tests on the Benchmarking plug-in (ONS leader) § SAUG will propose a prioritized list of user requests § First works on new Plug-ins: § Output and Quality reporting (Insee – Istat) § Calendar effects (Insee-NBB) § Difficult: need to “become a developer”
