SAS SOLUTION DE JOUR SAS OTTAWA PLATFORM USER

SAS FORECAST SERVER WHAT IS FORECASTING? Forecasting is all about predicting the future as

SAS FORECAST SERVER WHAT IS FORECASTING? Forecasts History Prediction Interval 3 Copyright © 2013,

SAS FORECAST SERVER WHERE IS FORECASTING USED? 4 Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc.

SAS FORECAST SERVER WHY USE SAS FORECAST SERVER? • Generates large quantities of high-quality

SAS FORECAST SERVER BENEFITS OF THE GUI • Set up the hierarchy, parameters and

SAS FORECAST SERVER General features • Fully automated to produce large quantities of forecasts

SAS FORECAST SERVER INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY COMPONENTS SAS® FORECAST SERVER Time Series Exploration Forecast Modeling

SAS FORECAST SERVER Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. GUI

SAS FORECAST SERVER Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. WEB-BASED INTERFACE

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SAS FORECAST SERVER WHAT IS FORECASTING? Forecasting is all about predicting the future as accurately as possible, given all of the information available, including historical data and knowledge of future events that might impact the forecasts. -Rob J Hyndman A forecast is a numerical prediction of a future value for a time series. Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

SAS FORECAST SERVER WHY USE SAS FORECAST SERVER? • Generates large quantities of high-quality forecasts quickly and automatically • Enables organizations to plan more efficiently and effectively for the future. • Allows forecasters to focus their efforts on the most important forecasts. • Easy to use GUI based interface 14. 1: Web-Based Interface • Generates SAS code Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

SAS FORECAST SERVER BENEFITS OF THE GUI • Set up the hierarchy, parameters and business rules interactively • Generate automatic forecasts • Reconcile up and down the hierarchy: bottom-up, top-down or middle-out forecasting. • Identify exceptions automatically and generate exception reports • Incorporate individual judgement or outside information • Test what-if scenarios and determine their likely effect on future demand • Publish results Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

SAS FORECAST SERVER General features • Fully automated to produce large quantities of forecasts • Easy-to-use GUI (Forecast Studio) • Interactive and batch • Multiple concurrent users Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. FEATURES Modeling features • Extensive capabilities for time series exploration • Optimized model parameters • Extensible model repository • Intermittent demand • UCM (unobserved components models) • ARIMA(X) • Dynamic regression • ESM (exponential smoothing models) • User-defined Project features • Hierarchical forecasting • Hierarchical reconciliation • Overrides • Events Management • Outlier detection • What-if scenario analysis

SAS FORECAST SERVER INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY COMPONENTS SAS® FORECAST SERVER Time Series Exploration Forecast Modeling Batch Interface SAS® Forecast Studio SAS® Forecast Server Procedures SAS® Time Series Studio Scalable Manageable Reliable Copyright © 2013, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. Quickly create a very large number of forecasts Generate statistical forecasts with limited resources Produce sound forecasts following appropriate forecasting practices