Risk Scorecard Making risk visible and actionable Brett
Risk Scorecard Making risk visible and actionable…. Brett Knowles CMA Foundation Thought Leader for Performance Measurement Performance Management Brett. Knowles@pm 2 Consulting. com © pm 2 Consulting. com 1
Our clients have been profiled by the Thought. Leaders Over the last 10 years, every book written by the founders of the Balanced Scorecard, Drs Kaplan and Norton have profiles our clients. 2
Four Clients have become Kaplan-Norton Hall of Fame Winners! Hall of fame Winner – 1999. Quadrupling of share price, Growth 30% above industry, exceptional customer and employee satisfaction. Hall of fame Winner – 2001. 8 -Fold increase in share price, ground-breaking development of intangible asset measurement, exceptional stakeholder satisfaction. Drs Kaplan and Norton’s prestigious Hall of Fame award, presented by Kaplan & Norton to the best scorecards in the world. Hall of Fame Winner – 2004. Breakthrough performance results including average annual revenue growth of 20 percent, net income improvement from $19. 4 million to $100. 9 million. Datacraft Hall of fame Winner – 2011. In three years revenues grew 8%, productivity 8. 5%, and profit 27%. Customer satisfaction is up 13% and employee engagement is up 12%.
Risk Scorecard’s Location in the e -MAGs Strategy 1) Strategy Model Performance Metrics 2) Balanced Scorecard Core Processes 3) Process Strategic Performance Analysis 6) Performance Dashboards 4) Strategic – Organization Design Process Improvement Initiatives 8) Accountability & Compensation 5) Initiative Strategic Performance Analysis 7) Process Improvement Management Risk Ledger 10) Risk Scorecard 9) Strategic Management Practices 4
The Risk Scorecard RISK ELEMENTS STRATEGIC GOALS & PRIORITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A B C D © pm 2 Consulting. com 5
The Risk Scorecard RISK ELEMENTS STRATEGIC GOALS & PRIORITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A B C D © pm 2 Consulting. com 6
The Risk Scorecard RISK ELEMENTS STRATEGIC GOALS & PRIORITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A B C D © pm 2 Consulting. com 7
The Risk Scorecard RISK ELEMENTS STRATEGIC GOALS & PRIORITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A 10% B 50% C 20% D 20% © pm 2 Consulting. com 8
The Risk Scorecard RISK ELEMENTS STRATEGIC GOALS & PRIORITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A 10% B 50% C 20% D 20% © pm 2 Consulting. com 9
The Risk Scorecard What benefit would this offer your leadership team? © pm 2 Consulting. com 10
Benefits to the Leadership Team Visibility of the risks Ë Alignment around criticality of each risk Ë Ability to focus on the few Ë Actionable information Ë © pm 2 Consulting. com 11
The Risk Scorecard What benefit would this offer your Board? © pm 2 Consulting. com 12
Benefits to the Board of Directors Confidence in the Leadership Team Ë Visibility of risks Ë Alignment and support with the Leadership Team Ë Ability to focus on the few Ë © pm 2 Consulting. com 13
The Risk Scorecard What benefit would this offer your Investors? © pm 2 Consulting. com 14
Benefits to Investors Confidence in the Leadership Team Ë Visibility of risks Ë Ability to take risks into account when determining risk tolerance Ë © pm 2 Consulting. com 15
The Risk Scorecard If you could build this next week, would you? © pm 2 Consulting. com 16
USE CASE EXAMPLE © pm 2 Consulting. com 17
STRATEGY © pm 2 Consulting. com 18
The Overall Process STRATEGY RISKS STRATEGIC RISK REGISTER RISK SCORECARD © pm 2 Consulting. com 19
Frederick Industries Story Frederick 20
FINANCIAL Frederick To be our customers’ supplier of choice by providing a quality product with exceptional service at a competitive price. F 1: Profitable Growth v 1 F 2: Low Cost Producer 5% 5% C 1: Build Loyalty CUSTOMERS 3% C 2: Low Price C 3: Quality Product 15% INTERNAL 16% 5% ENABLERS 4% 6% I 2: Develop New Products E 1: Invest in Our People 4% I 1: Continuous Improvement I 4: Anticipate Customer Needs 10% E 2: Embrace Change 4% C 4: Great Service I 3: Improve Inventory Management 15% E 3: Promote a Safe Work Place 6% 4% E 4: Leverage Technology
The Overall Process STRATEGY RISKS STRATEGIC RISK REGISTER RISK SCORECARD © pm 2 Consulting. com 22
RISK CATEGORIES © pm 2 Consulting. com 23
There are countless Frameworks… © pm 2 Consulting. com 24
STRATEGIC RISK ASSESSMENT © pm 2 Consulting. com 25
Your Strategic Risk Assessment STRATEGY RISKS STRATEGIC RISK REGISTER RISK SCORECARD © pm 2 Consulting. com 26
Strategic Risk Analysis © pm 2 Consulting. com 27
Strategic Risk Analysis © pm 2 Consulting. com 28
Strategic Risk Analysis © pm 2 Consulting. com 29
Strategic Risk Matrix Low impact/Low probability – Risks in the bottom left corner are low level, and can often be ignored. Low impact/High probability – Risks in the top left corner are of moderate importance – if these things happen, you can cope with them and move on. However, you should try to reduce the likelihood that they'll occur. High impact/Low probability – Risks in the bottom right corner are of high importance if they do occur, but they're very unlikely to happen. For these, however, you should do what you can to reduce the impact they'll have if they do occur, and you should have contingency plans in place just in case they do. High impact/High probability – Risks towards the top right corner are of critical importance. These are your top priorities, and are risks that you must pay close attention to. © pm 2 Consulting. com 30
RISK SCORECARD © pm 2 Consulting. com 31
The Risk Scorecard STRATEGY RISKS STRATEGIC RISK REGISTER RISK SCORECARD © pm 2 Consulting. com 32
Building the Risk Scorecard © pm 2 Consulting. com 33
Pulling in the Impact Estimates © pm 2 Consulting. com 34
Finding Leading Indicators Leading indicator of that aspect of risk occurring. In this example, a leading indicator of the ERP Implementation Failing on the Strategic Objective Profitable Growth might be: • ERP Customer Profitability Roll-up vs. non-ERP roll-up • ERP Revenue growth projections based on ERP numbers © pm 2 Consulting. com 35
Graphing the Impact Graphical representation of the leading-indicator’s projection of risk that is occurring with respect to that strategic objective. (Strategic Weighting) * (Impact) * (Leading Indicator Performance) © pm 2 Consulting. com 36
Understanding the Graphs Even though they both have a risk-impact of four and a poorly performing risk indicator, because C 4 has a weighting of 4% it has a shorter bar-graph than I 1 with a weighting of 16% © pm 2 Consulting. com 37
Looking at Each Risk Providing the Predictive Indicator for each risk is the sum of: (Strategic Weighting) * (Impact) * (Leading Indicator Performance) across all strategic objectives. © pm 2 Consulting. com 38
The Impact of Strategic Weighting © pm 2 Consulting. com 39
The Impact of Strategic Weighting © pm 2 Consulting. com 40
Key Risk Points © pm 2 Consulting. com 41
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NEXT STEPS © pm 2 Consulting. com 43
Next Steps 1. CMA Risk Scorecard 2. Risk. Scorecard. net © pm 2 Consulting. com 44
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