Resilience Index Measurement and analysis ModelII RIMAII Resilience

Resilience Index Measurement and analysis Model-II RIMA-II Resilience Exchange Network Venue: NGO Forum Date 27 th March 2018 Owen Calvert Project Manager SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE FOR ECONOMIC RESILIENCY Juba, South Sudan Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

The RIMA-II model Resilience measurement at FAO

RIMA allows explaining why and how some households cope with shocks and stressor better than others do and provides rigorous framework for humanitarian and long-term development initiatives to build food secure and resilient livelihoods. The RIMA model RIMA (Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis) is an innovative quantitative approach that estimates resilience to food insecurity and generates the evidence for more effectively assisting vulnerable populations.

• The ability to prevent disasters and crises as well as to anticipate, absorb, accommodate or recover from them in a timely, efficient and sustainable manner (FAO, 2013) • The capacity of a household to bounce back to a previous level of well-being (for instance food security) after a shock (Alinovi, Mane & Romano, 2009) • The capacity that ensures adverse stressors and shocks do not have long-lasting adverse development consequences (Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group of the Food Security Information Network, 2014) Defining resilience RIMA perfectly suits several definitions of resilience:

Resilience pillars Operationalization of FSINs Adaptive, Transformative and Absorptive capacities Household resilience Social safety nets (SSN) Access to basic services (ABS) Assets (AST) Adaptive capacity (AC)

Definition Adaptive Capacity is the ability of a household to adapt to a new situation and develop new strategies of livelihood Social Safety Nets The Social Safety Nets pillar measures the ability of households to access timely and reliable assistance provided by international agencies, charities, and NGOs, as well as help from relatives and friends. Assets comprise both productive and non-productive assets. Examples of indicators include land, livestock and durables. Other tangible assets such as house, vehicle, and household amenities reflect living standards and wealth of a household. Access to Basic Services shows the ability of a household to meet basic needs, and access and effective use of basic services; e. g. , access to schools, health facilities; infrastructures and markets. Resilience pillars

RCI estimation The procedure

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS – WESTERNEQUATORIA FOOD CONSUMPTION SCORE FCS Poor Borderline Acceptable Total Percent 70 23 7 100 Food Consumption Score FCS Desegregated by county County Tambura Nzara Yambio Overall Poor 63. 8 68. 8 78. 5 70. 3 7% Border line 26. 3 27. 3 15. 2 22. 9 23% Acceptable 10. 0 3. 9 6. 3 6. 8 Total 70% 100 100 Poor Borderline Acceptable

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS FOOD GROUPS CONSUMPTION PER WEEK Variable CEREALS PULSES MILK MEAT VEG FRUIT SUGAR FISH Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max 236 3. 86 2. 13 0 7 236 0. 91 1. 74 0 7 236 0. 17 0. 78 0 7 236 236 236 0. 62 2. 87 0. 34 0. 55 0. 08 1. 05 1. 97 0. 86 1. 32 0. 28 0 0 0 7 7 2 Food Groups Consumption per week fg_cereals~s 5. 00 fish 4. 00 3. 00 fg_pulses 2. 00 1. 00 fg_sugar 0. 00 fg_fruit fg_milk fg_meat fg_veg

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS WATER QUALITY Source of drinking water Untreated water source/River Water from deep borehole fitted with a hand pump Tap water Surface water (run off, etc) Other(Rain water collected, Bottled water, treated tanker) Total % 44 24 9 20 Source of drinking water 2% 20% 3 100 44% 9% 24% Untreated water source/River Water from deep borehole fitted with a hand pump Tap water Surface water (run off, etc) Other(Rain water collected, Bottled water, treated tanker)

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS WATER TIME It takes approximately an hour for a household member to fetch water from the main source. Variable Time taken to and from main water source Obs Mean 236 52. 52 Std. Dev. 49. 78 Min Max 0. 6 345

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS SHOCKS PROPORTION 0. 02 0. 09 0. 28 0. 21 0. 44 0. 19 0. 06 0. 07 0. 45 0. 03 SHOCKS 0. 28 0. 21 0. 19 s ic m de rit Ep i cu se en t ol Vi 0. 03 y as e ht st Pe /tr fu el di se ug ro an d D ric es es an sp fo h ig H or tp od pr ic be r . . hh y ke of at h de m ey to fk en id cc /a ss ne em h. e t In co m en m uc ed pl oy ed R Ill 0. 07 0. 06 in 0. 09 0. 02 Em e ed uc 0. 45 0. 44 0. 50 0. 45 0. 40 0. 35 0. 30 0. 25 0. 20 0. 15 0. 10 0. 05 0. 00 R SHOCKS Reduce Employment Reduced Income Illness/accident of key hh member Death of key hh member High food prices High fuel/transport prices Drought Pest and disease Violent insecurity Epidemics

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS RCI AND PILLARS

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS RCI AND PILLARS

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS RCI AND PILLARS

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS RCI AND PILLARS

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS MALE VS. FEMALE RESILIENCE CAPACITY

RESILIENCE ANALYSIS AVERAGE RESILIENCE INDEX RCI FCS HDDS Improved water Distwater Productive ast Householdast Landsize TLU Accesscredit Borrow Accesscredit borrow freq Accesscredit Assistance Hhhedu Hhfedu Hhmedu Income Female Male Headed HH HH 26. 56 29. 4 17. 11 18. 72 3. 385 3. 784 0. 0923 0. 117 5. 342 3. 534 0. 272 0. 235 0. 797 0. 986 1. 738 1. 842 0. 0245 0. 0426 0. 0923 0. 0936 0. 0308 0. 0585 0. 0615 3. 092 3. 8 0. 0468 5. 491 2. 246 2. 523 1. 031 6. 298 1. 234