QATAR STATISTICS DAY FORUM Statistics and Development in

QATAR STATISTICS DAY FORUM Statistics and Development in Qatar - Data Challenges Role of Official Statistics in Supporting Development Plans: A Case Study of Malaysia Dr. Abdul Rahman Hasan Department of Statistics, Malaysia abrahmanh@stats. gov. my Four Seasons’ Hotel, Doha Qatar 10 December 2013 / 7 Safar 1435 H

OUTLINE 1 OVERVIEW: DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA 2 PHASES OF DEVELOPMENT & CURRENT STRATEGY 3 POLICY FORMULATION & DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 4 HOW DOSM FULFILLS ITS ROLE 5 SCENARIO OF MALAYSIA’S SOCIO-ECONOMY 6 CHALLENGES AND MOVING FORWARD 7 CONCLUSION 2

OVERVIEW DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA (DOSM)

BACKGROUND OF DOSM Established in 1949 under the provisions of the Statistics Ordinance 1949 - Bureau of Statistics. Under the provisions of the Statistics Act 1965 (Revised 1989), known as Department of Statistics, Malaysia. The function as stipulated in the Act: TO COLLECT and INTERPRET STATISTICS for the purpose of formulation or implementation of Government policies in WHATEVER FIELDS as needed by the Government or fulfilling the requirements of trade, commerce, industry, agriculture or others. Malaysia’s Statistical System: A centralised system and at the same time allows other government agencies to collect statistics to fulfill their own needs 4

STATISTICS ATTRIBUTES FOR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING §Anticipate the need for detailed statistics /small area /subnational statistics; §Relevance; §Fit for the purpose: Malaysia’s multicultural society needs more refined statistics (granular); and §Adopts the best practices & sound methodologies. Ultimately, credible statistics drives government policies for people’s well-being 5

PHASES OF DEVELOPMENT AND CURRENT STRATEGIC PLANNING

MALAYSIA’S ECONOMIC PROGRESS 7

SNAPSHOT MALAYSIA’S ECONOMIC POLICIES Vision 2020 National Vision Policy (NVP) National Development Policy (NDP) New Economic Policy (NEP) Pra-NEP, 1957 -70 Comprehensive development Increase integrity and competitiveness, 2001 -2010 Balanced development, 1991 -2000 (develop unite and fair community) Growth with equity, 1971 -90 (Eradicate poverty & reorganise society) • Opened economy/exports • Economy development and rural development 8

MALAYSIA’S VISION 2020 1 Malaysia People First, Performance Now Government Transformation Programme (GTP) Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) April 2009 January 2010 March 2010 9

POLICY FORMULATION AND DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

MALAYSIA’S DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY ECONOMIC MACRO STRATEGY ECONOMIC STABILITY Higher economic growth Lower inflation rate Lower unemployment rate To strengthened the public sector Encouraging investment climate Sustainability development To speed up industrial and services development Increasing Productivity and competitiveness Knowledge Based Economy 11

STRUCTURE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC POLICY FORMULATION PROCESS PARLIAMENT PEMANDU Cabinet Ministers National Economic Action Council, National Economic Negotiation Council National Development Council Draft Policy National Development Planning Committee National Implementation Council Main User Committee (MUC) Secretariat Dialogues with Private Sector Plan Circulars Ministries and Federal Agencies (including DOSM) Draft Economic Planning Unit Implementation & Coordination Unit General Framework Plan Inter Agency Planning Group (IAPG) Plan Circulars State Governments Dialogue/Meeting Private Sector 12

HOW DOSM FULFILL ITS ROLE

MAIN USER COMMITTEE Term of Reference: 1. 2. 3. 4. Identify and define statistical priorities and requirements in line with national planning; Coordinate, at the technical level, the collection and dissemination of statistics by government agencies in order to ensure, among others; i. The efficient and effective utilisation of available resources; ii. The use of standard concepts, definitions and classifications; iii. The use of appropriate and effective methods in the collection and production of statistics; and iv. The production of integrity, reliable and timely data; Set up Technical Working Groups for specific statistical activities where applicable; and Meetings will be held minimum two times a year. Committee Members: Chairman: Director General, Economic Planning Unit Chief Statistician Malaysia and representatives from Ministry of Finance; Bank Negara Malaysia; Ministry of International Trade and Industry; Malaysia Administrative Modernisation and Management Planning Unit; Performance Management Development Unit; Ministry of Human Resources; Inland Revenue Board; Companies Commission of Ultimately, drives government policies for people’s well-being Malaysia; credible Malaysiastatistics Productivity Corporation; Secretariat: Department of Statistics Malaysia and Economic Planning Unit. 14

KEY COMPILATIONS / STATISTICS CENSUS/SURVEY/ SURVEY FRAMEWORK COMPILATION ECONOMICS 101 ECONOMICS (Active Establishments) SOCIAL & DEMOGRAPHY 70 HOUSEHOLDS (Living Quarters) GENERAL 9 1, 025, 845 7, 479, 385 15

SOURCES AND SCOPE OF DATA PRIMARY SOCIAL & DEMOGRAPHIC LFS, HIS, HES, Migration, Domestic Tourism, Informal Sector, Salaries & Wages, Environment, Integrity Survey, Literacy, ICT Consumption, Population & Housing Census, etc ECONOMIC Agriculture, Manufacturing, Services, Construction, Mining, Prices (CPI, PPI, SPI), Environment and ITS, etc SECONDARY International Trade Balance of Payments Tourism Vital Statistics Education Health Other social issues Others - Royal Malaysia Customs Department BNM/Dept. of Immigration Tourism Malaysia National Registration Department Ministry of Education Ministry of Health Various OGAs Various Sources (Accountant General, etc)

SOURCES AND SCOPE OF DATA(cont’d) ECONOMIC STATISTICS - EXAMPLES üConsumer Price Index üNational Accounts üBalance of Payment üExternal Trade üProducer Price Index üEmployment üCapital Stock üInput-Output Table üRegional IO üEconomic Indicators: Leading, Coincidence & Lagging Indexes üExternal Trade Indices üSocial Accounting Matrix üSystem Economic Environment Accounts üITS Report üInwards & Outwards FAT üInternational Investment Position üState GDP üExternal Trade Statistics üSupply and Utilization Accounts Selected Agricultural Commodities üTSA üICT SA üGross Fixed Capital Formation üIndex of Industrial Production üDistribution & Use of Income Accounts and Capital Account üIndex of Distributive Trade üSME

SOURCES AND SCOPE OF DATA(cont’d) SOCIAL STATISTICS - EXAMPLES ü Population ü Vital Statistics ü Labour Market ü Migration ü Wages & Salary ü Informal Sector ü Household Income ü Poverty ü MDGs ü Household Expenditure ü Environment ü Health ü Education ü Housing ü ICT Usage ü Domestic Tourism ü Other Social Statistics

DOSM CONTINUES TO EVOLVE Formulate strategic plans that identify focus areas and strategies in tandem with developments plans The first Strategic Plan (SP) 1988 -1993 Area of focus include identification, collection and compilation of priority data for; v Economic development; v Evaluations and monitoring of New Economics Policy; and v Manpower planning SP 2010 -2014 v Strategies are flexible and in line with the 10 th Malaysia Plan and main thrusts of national vision and “ 1 Malaysia – People First, Performance Now” concept; and v Take into account globalisation, economic liberalisaton, Economic Transformation Programme and Government Transformation Programme. 19

PROGRESS AND ACHIEVEMENTS In relation to the strategic plan, DOSM continuously strengthen its roles as a Producer of National Statistics for planning and development of the country. Current progress and achievements are: 1 Adoption of best practices and methodologies 5 Statistical advice service (Technical Working Group) E-Survey, CATI & PDA Integrated Households & Establisments Frame System Expertise service (local & oversea) Set-up Statiscal Training Institute Geospatial National Enterprise-Wide Statistical Systems (NEWSS) 2 3 4 Adoption of latest technology, Data Tapping and Data Mining Development of Data Warehouse Continuously research on statistical analysis; Journal of Dept. Statistics Strengthening of competent human capital & innovation 6 Strengthening statistical dissemination Portal / e-Services - free download - databased (Mys. IDC, PQI, METSS) Engagement with respondents/users 7 8 Compilation of new statistics (Index of Services, Satellite Accounts); to fulfill needs of ETP/GTP & Government new policies Enhanced role/network internationally ASEAN Statistics Economic & Social Commission For Asia and The Pacific (ESCAP) Statistical, Economic And Social Research & Training For Islamic Countries (SESRIC) United Nation Statistics Division (UNSD) Others (International Agency, NSO, Attachment Programme etc. ) 20

CORE VALUES Customers’ Satisfaction Good Conduct and Credibility Professionalism Core Values Competent Esprit de Corp Integrity and Accountability 21

SCENARIO OF MALAYSIA’S SOCIO-ECONOMY

POPULATION (‘ 000) 28 334 30 000 29 337 23 275 25 000 18 380 20 000 15 000 28 964 13 745 10 439 10 000 5 000 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2011 2012 23

LIFE EXPECTANCY 2012 2011 2010 2000 1990 1980 1970 61. 6 66. 4 68. 9 70. 0 71. 7 72. 0 72. 3 77. 2 77. 1 76. 8 74. 7 73. 5 70. 5 65. 6 24

GDP SHARE BY INDUSTRY GDP Share in constant price (%) GDP Nominal Price (RM million) GNI Per capita (RM) Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Construction Services 197 0 11, 829 1, 070 30. 8 6. 3 13. 4 3. 9 45. 6 198 0 53, 308 3, 703 22. 9 10. 1 19. 6 42. 8 199 0 119, 081 6, 298 16. 3 9. 4 24. 6 3. 5 46. 8 2000 356, 401 13, 939 8. 6 10. 6 30. 9 3. 9 49. 3 2010 797, 327 26, 969 7. 6 9. 8 25. 2 3. 2 53. 2 2011 884, 456 29, 683 7. 6 8. 8 25. 1 3. 2 54. 1 2012 941, 237 30, 667 7. 3 8. 4 24. 9 3. 5 54. 6 Year 25

INTERNATIONAL MERCHANDISE TRADE RM Million 800 000 Merchandise Trade Malaysia with ROW, 1980 -2012 700 000 Subprime mortgage crisis in US 600 000 TOTAL EXPORTS TOTAL IMPORTS 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 1 f 12 p 82 19 81 19 19 19 80 0 26

EMPLOYMENT Composition by sector (%) Year Employed (‘ 000) Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Construction Services 1982 5, 249. 0 31. 2 1. 0 15. 5 7. 2 45. 1 1990 6, 685. 0 26 0. 6 19. 9 6. 3 47. 2 2000 9, 269. 2 16. 7 0. 3 23. 5 8. 2 51. 3 2010 11, 899. 5 13. 6 0. 5 17. 7 9. 1 59. 1 2011 12, 284. 1 11. 5 0. 6 18. 1 9. 2 60. 6 2012 12, 723. 2 13. 2 0. 6 18. 0 9. 1 59. 1 27

PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME CLASS Income Class (RM) 1970 1984 1992 2009 2012 1, 999 and below 99. 2 87. 8 77. 6 49 33. 4 22. 7 2, 000 – 3, 999 0. 7 9. 1 16. 1 29. 6 32. 9 32. 6 4, 000 - 4, 999 0. 0 1. 2 2. 5 6. 7 9. 5 11. 1 5, 000 and above 0. 1 1. 9 3. 8 14. 7 24. 2 33. 6 Incidence of poverty 49. 3 20. 7 12. 4 6. 0 3. 8 1. 7 28

CHALLENGES & MOVING FORWARD

CHALLENGES AND MOVING FORWARD New competitors & changing expectations Rapid changes in the environment Increasing cost & difficulty of acquiring data Reducing budget Riding the big data wave Competition for skilled resources 30

CONCLUSION

CONCLUSION Effective policy for development planning and implementation requires reliable statistics. Thus, the role of NSO is paramount in producing relevant statistics that is timely and of high quality. Ultimately, credible statistics drives government policies for people’s well-being 32

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Ultimately, credible statistics drives government policies for people’s well-being TERIMA KASIH Thank You www. statistics. gov. my